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We develop a feedback control method for networked epidemic spreading processes. In contrast to most prior works which consider mean field, open-loop control schemes, the present work develops a novel framework for feedback control of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-23 Nicholas J. Watkins , Cameron Nowzari , George J. Pappas

The epidemic threshold of a social system is the ratio of infection and recovery rate above which a disease spreading in it becomes an epidemic. In the absence of pharmaceutical interventions (i.e. vaccines), the only way to control a given…

The effects of local and global connectivity on the spread of synergistic susceptible-infected-removed epidemics were studied in lattice models with infinite- and finite-range rewiring (small-world and small-world-like models). Several…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-16 David Broder-Rodgers , Francisco J. Pérez-Reche , Sergei N. Taraskin

In many complex systems, the dynamic processes that take place on a network and the changes in the network topology are intertwined. Here, we propose a model of coevolutionary dynamics of information spreading which is accompanied with link…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-01 Jeehye Choi , Byungjoon Min

The epidemic threshold of a spreading process indicates the condition for the occurrence of the wide spreading regime, thus representing a predictor of the network vulnerability to the epidemic. Such threshold depends on the natural history…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-20 Eugenio Valdano , Chiara Poletto , Vittoria Colizza

We study the effect of the connectivity pattern of complex networks on the propagation dynamics of epidemics. The growth time scale of outbreaks is inversely proportional to the network degree fluctuations, signaling that epidemics spread…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 Marc Barthelemy , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

Most epidemic models assume equal mixing among members of a population. An alternative approach is to model a population as random network in which individuals may have heterogeneous connectivity. This paper builds on previous research by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Erik Volz

A key question in many network studies is whether the observed correlations between units are primarily due to contagion or latent confounding. Here, we study this question using a segregated graph (Shpitser, 2015) representation of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Yufeng Wu , Rohit Bhattacharya

In contrast to previous common wisdom that epidemic activity in heterogeneous networks is dominated by the hubs with the largest number of connections, recent research has pointed out the role that the innermost, dense core of the network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-05-04 Claudio Castellano , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

Mathematical modeling of disease spreading plays a crucial role in understanding, controlling and preventing epidemic outbreaks. In a microscopic description of the propagation of a disease over the complex network of human contacts, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-08 Federico Malizia , Luca Gallo , Mattia Frasca , Vito Latora , Giovanni Russo

We show how one can trace in a systematic way the coarse-grained solutions of individual-based stochastic epidemic models evolving on heterogeneous complex networks with respect to their topological characteristics. In particular, we have…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Andreas I. Reppas , Konstantinos Spiliotis , Constantinos Siettos

We study numerically the variability of the outbreak of diseases on complex networks. We use a SI model to simulate the disease spreading at short times, in homogeneous and in scale-free networks. In both cases, we study the effect of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Pascal Crépey , Fabián P. Alvarez , Marc Barthélemy

Contact tracing, the practice of isolating individuals who have been in contact with infected individuals, is an effective and practical way of containing disease spread. Here, we show that this strategy is particularly effective in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-12 Abbas K. Rizi , Leah A. Keating , James P. Gleeson , David J. P. O'Sullivan , Mikko Kivelä

Our ability to uncover complex network structure and dynamics from data is fundamental to understanding and controlling collective dynamics in complex systems. Despite recent progress in this area, reconstructing networks with stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-18 Zhesi Shen , Wen-Xu Wang , Ying Fan , Zengru Di , Ying-Cheng Lai

A model for epidemic spreading on rewiring networks is introduced and analyzed for the case of scale free steady state networks. It is found that contrary to what one would have naively expected, the rewiring process typically tends to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-29 Yonathan Schwarzkopf , Attila Rakos , David Mukamel

Network epidemiology has become a core framework for investigating the role of human contact patterns in the spreading of infectious diseases. In network epidemiology represents the contact structure as a network of nodes (individuals)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-06-10 Petter Holme

The spatial structure of populations is a key element in the understanding of the large scale spreading of epidemics. Motivated by the recent empirical evidence on the heterogeneous properties of transportation and commuting patterns among…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-03-19 Vittoria Colizza , Alessandro Vespignani

Multigraphs are graphs in which multiple links between pairs of nodes are allowed, whereas they are forbidden in simple graphs, the latter being widely used in network science. Simple graphs generated by the configuration model have served…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-29 Paulo H. Lorenzoni , Wesley Cota , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Silvio C. Ferreira

Motivated by the increasing number of COVID-19 cases that have been observed in many countries after the vaccination and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, we propose a mathematical model on time-varying networks for the spread…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-09 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

This paper presents a compact pairwise model that describes the spread of multi-stage epidemics on networks. The multi-stage model corresponds to a gamma-distributed infectious period which interpolates between the classical Markovian…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-12-08 N. Sherborne , K. B. Blyuss , I. Z. Kiss