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The initial phase of an epidemic is often characterized by an exponential increase in the number of infected individuals. In this paper, we predict the exponential spreading rate of an epidemic on a complex network. We first find an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-21 Samuel Cure , Florian G. Pflug , Simone Pigolotti

In the real world, many complex systems interact with other systems. In addition, the intra- or inter-systems for the spread of information about infectious diseases and the transmission of infectious diseases are often not random, but with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-08-23 Junbo Jia , Zhen Jin , Xinchu Fu

Contact-tracing is an essential tool in order to mitigate the impact of pandemic such as the COVID-19. In order to achieve efficient and scalable contact-tracing in real time, digital devices can play an important role. While a lot of…

We propose a tractable epidemic model that includes containment measures. In the absence of containment measures, the epidemics spread exponentially fast whenever the infectivity rate is positive, $\lambda>0$. The containment measures are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-29 Ginestra Bianconi , Pavel L. Krapivsky

We study the relative importance of two key control measures for epidemic spreading: endogenous social self-distancing and exogenous imposed quarantine. We use the framework of adaptive networks, moment-closure, and ordinary differential…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-22 Leonhard Horstmeyer , Christian Kuehn , Stefan Thurner

Mathematical models of infectious diseases, which are in principle analytically tractable, use two general approaches. The first approach, generally known as compartmental modeling, addresses the time evolution of disease propagation at the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-09-16 Pierre-André Noël , Bahman Davoudi , Robert C. Brunham , Louis J. Dubé , Babak Pourbohloul

The dynamic nature of system gives rise to dynamical features of epidemic spreading, such as oscillation and bistability. In this paper, by studying the epidemic spreading in growing networks, in which susceptible nodes may adaptively break…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-20 Jie Zhou , Gaoxi Xiao , Siew Ann Cheong , Xiuju Fu , Lim Soon Wong , Stefan Ma , Tee Hiang Cheng

Recent years have seen a large amount of interest in epidemics on networks as a way of representing the complex structure of contacts capable of spreading infections through the modern human population. The configuration model is a popular…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-23 Frank Ball , Thomas House

We study the spreading of an infection within an SIS epidemiological model on a network. Susceptible agents are given the opportunity of breaking their links with infected agents. Broken links are either permanently removed or reconnected…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-11-07 Damian H. Zanette , Sebastian Risau Gusman

We study the diffusion of epidemics on networks that are partitioned into local communities. The gross structure of hierarchical networks of this kind can be described by a quotient graph. The rationale of this approach is that individuals…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-01-19 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Stefania Ottaviano , Delio Mugnolo , Francesco De Pellegrini

In epidemic modeling, the term infection strength indicates the ratio of infection rate and cure rate. If the infection strength is higher than a certain threshold -- which we define as the epidemic threshold - then the epidemic spreads…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-19 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio , Fahmida N. Chowdhury

The evolution of network structure and the spreading of epidemic are common coexistent dynamical processes. In most cases, network structure is treated either static or time-varying, supposing the whole network is observed in a same time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-23 Yanjun Lei , Xin Jiang , Quantong Guo , Yifang Ma , Meng Li , Zhiming Zheng

Complex networks describe a wide range of systems in nature and society. Frequently cited examples include Internet, WWW, a network of chemicals linked by chemical reactions, social relationship networks, citation networks, etc. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-02-26 James Kim

One of the major issues in the theoretical modeling of epidemic spreading is the development of methods to control the transmission of an infectious agent. Human behavior plays a fundamental role in the spreading dynamics and can be used to…

During an epidemic, infectious individuals might not be detectable until some time after becoming infected. The studies show that carriers with mild or no symptoms are the main contributors to the transmission of a virus within the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-17 Atefe Darabi , Milad Siami

Numerous real-world systems, for instance, the communication platforms and transportation systems, can be abstracted into complex networks. Containing spreading dynamics (e.g., epidemic transmission and misinformation propagation) in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-24 Jiajun Xian , Dan Yang , Liming Pan , Wei Wang

In this paper we study the interplay between epidemic spreading and risk perception on multiplex networks. The basic idea is that the effective infection probability is affected by the perception of the risk of being infected, which we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-26 Franco Bagnoli , Emanuele Massaro

Infectious pathogens often propagate by superspreading, which focusses onward transmission on disproportionately few infected individuals. At the same time, infector-infectee pairs tend to have more similar transmission potentials than…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-22 Noah Silva de Leonardi , Benjamin D. Dalziel

Understanding cascading failures or epidemics in networks is crucial for developing effective defensive mechanisms for many critical systems and infrastructures (e.g. biological, social and cyber networks). Most of the existing works treat…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-07-20 Jie Xu

Epidemics occur in all shapes and forms: infections propagating in our sparse sexual networks, rumours and diseases spreading through our much denser social interactions, or viruses circulating on the Internet. With the advent of large…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-02 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Antoine Allard , Jean-Gabriel Young , Louis J. Dubé
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