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As the proportion of total power supplied by renewable sources increases, it gets more costly to use reserve generation to compensate for the variability of renewables like solar and wind. Hence attention has been drawn to exploiting…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-08-26 Ashutosh Nayyar , Matias Negrete-Pincetic , Kameshwar Poolla , Pravin Varaiya

Decarbonizing electric grids is a crucial global endeavor in the pursuit of carbon neutrality. Taking carbon emissions from generation into account when pricing electricity usage is an essential way to achieve this goal. However, such…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Yue Chen , Changhong Zhao

Electricity price forecasting supports decision-making in energy markets and asset operation. Probabilistic forecasts are increasingly adopted to explicitly quantify uncertainty, typically issued as quantile predictions or ensembles of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-22 Simon Hirsch , Florian Ziel

In face of the pressing need of decarbonization in the power sector, the re-design of electricity market is necessary as a Marco-level approach to accommodate the high penetration of renewable generations, and to achieve power system…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Ziqing Zhu , Siqi Bu , Ka Wing Chan , Bin Zhou , Shiwei Xia

The new technologies emerging in the energy sector pose new requirements for both the regulation and operation of the electricity grid. Revised tariff structures and the introduction of local markets are two approaches that could tackle the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-19 Bence Suto , Daniel Divenyi

Electricity market price predictions enable energy market participants to shape their consumption or supply while meeting their economic and environmental objectives. By utilizing the basic properties of the supply-demand matching process…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-11 Ana Radovanovic , Tommaso Nesti , Bokan Chen

The smart grid vision entails advanced information technology and data analytics to enhance the efficiency, sustainability, and economics of the power grid infrastructure. Aligned to this end, modern statistical learning tools are leveraged…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-17 Vassilis Kekatos , Yu Zhang , Georgios B. Giannakis

We consider the scenario where $N$ utilities strategically bid for electricity in the day-ahead market and balance the mismatch between the committed supply and actual demand in the real-time market, with uncertainty in demand and local…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-15 Tianyu Zhao , Hanling Yi , Minghua Chen , Chenye Wu , Yunjian Xu

Electricity prices in liberalized markets are determined by the supply and demand for electric power, which are in turn driven by various external influences that vary strongly in time. In perfect competition, the merit order principle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-12 Julius Trebbien , Leonardo Rydin Gorjão , Aaron Praktiknjo , Benjamin Schäfer , Dirk Witthaut

In this paper a unifying energy-based approach is provided to the modeling and stability analysis of power systems coupled with market dynamics. We consider a standard model of the power network with a third-order model for the synchronous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-07-28 Tjerk Stegink , Claudio De Persis , Arjan van der Schaft

We present modeling and analysis of day-ahead spatio-temporal energy markets in which each competitive aggregator aims at making the highest profit by managing a complex mixture of different energy resources, such as conventional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Takayuki Ishizaki , Masakazu Koike , Nobuyuki Yamaguchi , Yuzuru Ueda , Jun-ichi Imura

Electricity prices strongly depend on seasonality of different time scales, therefore any forecasting of electricity prices has to account for it. Neural networks have proven successful in short-term price-forecasting, but complicated…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-03 Andreas Wagner , Enislay Ramentol , Florian Schirra , Hendrik Michaeli

Optimizing the total cost of power systems is a common tool for network operation and planning. Besides valuable information about how to run and possibly expand a power system, the optimization provides an optimal Locational Marginal Price…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-18 Fabian Hofmann , Markus Schlott

Electricity price forecasting is a critical tool for the efficient operation of power systems and for supporting informed decision-making by market participants. This paper explores a novel methodology aimed at improving the accuracy of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-13 Bartosz Uniejewski , Florian Ziel

Locational Marginal Price (LMP) is a dual variable associated with supply-demand matching and represents the cost of delivering power to a particular location if the load at that location increases. In recent times it become more volatile…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Shantanu Chakraborty , Remco Verzijlbergh , Milos Cvetkovic , Kyri Baker , Zofia Lukszo

Regulators and utilities have been exploring hourly retail electricity pricing, with several existing programs providing day-ahead hourly pricing schedules. At the same time, customers are deploying distributed energy resources and smart…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-11 Phillippe K. Phanivong , Duncan S. Callaway

The United States' power market is featured by the lack of judicial power at the federal level. The market thus provides a unique testing environment for the market organization structure. At the same time, the econometric modeling and…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-06-13 Chelsea Sun

We study a competitive electricity market equilibrium with two trading stages, day-ahead and real-time. The welfare of each market agent is exposed to uncertainty (here from renewable energy production), while agent information on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-03 Vladimir Dvorkin , Jalal Kazempour , Pierre Pinson

Studies looking at electricity market designs for very high shares of wind and solar often conclude that the energy-only market will break down. Without fuel costs, it is said that there is nothing to set prices. Symptoms of breakdown…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-29 Tom Brown , Fabian Neumann , Iegor Riepin

The increase of renewables in the grid and the volatility of the load create uncertainties in the day-ahead prices of electricity markets. Adaptive robust optimization (ARO) and stochastic optimization have been used to make commitment and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-18 Dimitris Bertsimas , Angelos G. Koulouras
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