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Optimal execution, i.e., the determination of the most cost-effective way to trade volumes in continuous trading sessions, has been a topic of interest in the equity trading world for years. Electricity intraday trading slowly follows this…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-06 Christopher Kath , Florian Ziel

The recent liberalization of the electricity and gas markets has resulted in the growth of energy exchanges and modelling problems. In this paper, we modelize jointly gas and electricity spot prices using a mean-reverting model which fits…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-20 Noufel Frikha , Vincent Lemaire

The electricity market, which was initially designed for dispatchable power plants and inflexible demand, is being increasingly challenged by new trends, such as the high penetration of intermittent renewables and the transformation of the…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-10 Lina Silva-Rodriguez , Anibal Sanjab , Elena Fumagalli , Ana Virag , Madeleine Gibescu

In this paper we present a regression based model for day-ahead electricity spot prices. We estimate the considered linear regression model by the lasso estimation method. The lasso approach allows for many possible parameters in the model,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-26 Florian Ziel

This paper evaluates market equilibrium under different pricing mechanisms in a two-settlement 100%-renewables electricity market. Given general probability distributions of renewable energy, we establish game-theoretical models to analyze…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-23 Dongwei Zhao , Audun Botterud , Marija Ilic

The integration of renewable sources poses challenges at the operational and economic levels of the power grid. In terms of keeping the balance between supply and demand, the usual scheme of supply following load may not be appropriate for…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-04-07 Ashutosh Nayyar , Matias Negrete-Pincetic , Kameshwar Poolla , Pravin Varaiya

Energy market designs with non-merchant storage have been proposed in recent years, with the aim of achieving optimal market integration of storage. In order to handle the time-linking constraints that are introduced in such markets,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Linde Frölke , Eléa Prat , Pierre Pinson , Richard M. Lusby , Jalal Kazempour

As the number of prosumers with distributed energy resources (DERs) grows, the conventional centralized operation scheme may suffer from conflicting interests, privacy concerns, and incentive inadequacy. In this paper, we propose an energy…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Yue Chen , Changhong Zhao , Steven H. Low , Adam Wierman

In electricity markets, futures contracts typically function as a swap since they deliver the underlying over a period of time. In this paper, we introduce a market price for the delivery periods of electricity swaps, thereby opening an…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-13 Annika Kemper , Maren D. Schmeck , Anna Kh. Balci

In wholesale electricity markets, prices fluctuate widely from hour to hour and electricity generators price-hedge their output using longer-term contracts, such as monthly base futures. Consequently, the incentives they face to drive up…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-05 Alice Lixuan Xu , Jorge Sánchez Canales , Chiara Fusar Bassini , Lynn H. Kaack , Lion Hirth

Competition has been introduced in the electricity markets with the goal of reducing prices and improving efficiency. The basic idea which stays behind this choice is that, in competitive markets, a greater quantity of the good is exchanged…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Ettore Bompard , Yuchao Ma , Elena Ragazzi

How does dynamic price information flow among Northern European electricity spot prices and prices of major electricity generation fuel sources? We use time series models combined with new advances in causal inference to answer these…

Applications · Statistics 2011-10-26 Egil Ferkingstad , Anders Løland , Mathilde Wilhelmsen

The electricity market is threatened by supply scarcity, which may lead to very sharp price spikes in the spot market. On the other hand, demand-side's activities could effectively mitigate the supply scarcity and absorb most of these…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-08-23 Saeed Mohajeryami , Milad Doostan , Seyedmahdi Moghadasi , Peter Schwarz

This paper focuses on the operation of an electricity market that accounts for participants that bid at a sub-minute timescale. To that end, we model the market-clearing process as a dynamical system, called market dynamics, which is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Pengcheng You , Yan Jiang , Enoch Yeung , Dennice F. Gayme , Enrique Mallada

Recently, the volatility associated with marginal prices has increased due to large scale integration of renewable generation. Price volatility is undesirable from a consumer perspective. To address this issue, we present a framework for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Shantanu Chakraborty , Kyri Baker , Milos Cvetkovic , Remco Verzijlbergh , Zofia Lukszo

We formulate optimization problems to study how data centers might modulate their power demands for cost-effective operation taking into account three key complex features exhibited by real-world electricity pricing schemes: (i)…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-09-05 Cheng Wang , Bhuvan Urgaonkar , Qian Wang , George Kesidis , Anand Sivasubramaniam

We propose a new forward electricity market framework that admits heterogeneous market participants with second-order cone strategy sets, who accurately express the nonlinearities in their costs and constraints through conic bids, and a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-12-20 Anubhav Ratha , Pierre Pinson , Hélène Le Cadre , Ana Virag , Jalal Kazempour

The coordinated operation of interconnected but locally controlled electricity markets is generally referred to as a "coupling". In this paper we propose a new mechanism design for efficient coupling of independent electricity markets. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-13 Alfredo Garcia , Roohallah Khatami , Ceyhun Eksin , Furkan Sezer

Accurate prediction of electricity prices plays an essential role in the electricity market. To reflect the uncertainty of electricity prices, price intervals are predicted. This paper proposes a novel prediction interval construction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Xin Lu

Electricity price forecasting has become a critical tool for decision-making in energy markets, particularly as the increasing penetration of renewable energy introduces greater volatility and uncertainty. Historically, research in this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-11 Ciaran O'Connor , Mohamed Bahloul , Steven Prestwich , Andrea Visentin