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In this paper, we propose a complete modelling framework to value several batteries in the electricity intraday market at the trading session scale. The model consists of a stochastic model for the 24 mid-prices (one price per delivery…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-23 Enzo Cognéville , Thomas Deschatre , Xavier Warin

The problem of pricing utility-scale energy storage resources (ESRs) in the real-time electricity market is considered. Under a rolling-window dispatch model where the operator centrally dispatches generation and consumption under…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-26 Cong Chen , Lang Tong , Ye Guo

Recently, chance-constrained stochastic electricity market designs have been proposed to address the shortcomings of scenario-based stochastic market designs. In particular, the use of chance-constrained market-clearing avoids trading off…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Alvaro Gonzalez-Castellanos , Anton Hinneck , Robert Mieth , David Pozo , Yury Dvorkin

As electricity consumption grows, reducing peak demand--the maximum load on the grid--has become critical for preventing infrastructure strain and blackouts. Pricing mechanisms that incentivize consumers with flexible loads to shift…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Vade Shah , Jason R. Marden

Electricity price forecasting approaches generally fall into two categories: data-driven models, which learn from historical patterns, or fundamental models, which simulate market mechanisms. We propose a novel and highly efficient…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-27 Paul Ghelasi , Florian Ziel

This paper presents a perspective of functional analysis to analyze electric load and electricity pricing in the $L_2$ space and its isomorphic vector space, which also yields the general algebraic model of load and pricing associated with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-09 Jinghuan Ma , Jie Gu , Zhijian Jin

High shares of variable renewable energy necessitate substantial energy storage capacity. However, it remains unclear how to design a market that, on the one hand, ensures a stable and sufficient income for storage firms, and, on the other…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-06 Aviad Navon , Juri Belikov , Ariel Orda , Yoash Levron

In this paper analytic formulas for electricity derivatives are calculated. To this end, we assume that electricity spot prices follow a 3-regime Markov regime-switching model with independent spikes and drops and periodic transition…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-03-27 Joanna Janczura

During the last years, European intraday power markets have gained importance for balancing forecast errors due to the rising volumes of intermittent renewable generation. However, compared to day-ahead markets, the drivers for the intraday…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-06 Simon Hirsch , Florian Ziel

An optimal scheduling model for a microgrid participating in the electricity distribution market in interaction with a Distribution Market Operator (DMO) is proposed in this paper. The DMO administers the established electricity market in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Sina Parhizi , Amin Khodaei , Mohammad Shahidehpour

This paper addresses the question of how much to bid to maximize the profit when trading in two electricity markets: the hourly Day-Ahead Auction and the quarter-hourly Intraday Auction. For optimal coordinated bidding many price scenarios…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-27 Michał Narajewski , Florian Ziel

This paper evaluates the impact of the power extent on price in the electricity market. The competitiveness extent of the electricity market during specific times in a day is considered to achieve this. Then, the effect of competitiveness…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-30 Naser Rostamni , Tarik A. Rashid

We present new formulations of the stochastic electricity market clearing problem based on the principles of stochastic programming. Previous analyses have established that the canonical stochastic programming model effectively captures the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-11 Sakitha Ariyarathne , Harsha Gangammanavar

Due to the liberalization of markets, the change in the energy mix and the surrounding energy laws, electricity research is a dynamically altering field with steadily changing challenges. One challenge especially for investment decisions is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-27 Rick Steinert , Florian Ziel

In this paper, we study the price responsiveness of electricity consumption from empirical commercial and industrial load data obtained from Texas. Employing a dynamical system perspective, we show that price responsive demand can be…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-16 Jaeyong An , P. R. Kumar , Le Xie

In this paper we introduce a new concept for modelling electricity prices through the introduction of an unobservable intrinsic electricity price $p(\tau)$. We use it to connect the classical theory of storage with the concept of a risk…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-10 Wieger Hinderks , Ralf Korn , Andreas Wagner

The energy transition is expected to significantly increase the share of renewable energy sources whose production is intermittent in the electricity mix. Apart from key benefits, this development has the major drawback of generating a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-30 Thibaut Théate , Antonio Sutera , Damien Ernst

The availability of historical data related to electricity day-ahead prices and to the underlying price formation process is limited. In addition, the electricity market in Europe is facing a rapid transformation, which limits the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-27 Raffaele Sgarlato

The problem of heat and electricity pricing in combined heat and power systems regarding the time scales of electricity and heat, as well as thermal energy quality, is studied. Based on the asynchronous coordinated dispatch of the combined…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-18 Xinyi Yi , Ye Guo , Hongbin Sun , Qiuwei Wu , Li Xiao

We propose a novel machine learning approach for probabilistic forecasting of hourly day-ahead electricity prices. In contrast with the recent advances in data-rich probabilistic forecasting, which approximates distributions with few…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-04 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus
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