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Spreading phenomena are ubiquitous in nature and society. For example, disease, rumor, and information spread over underlying social and information networks. It is well known that there is no threshold for epidemic models on scale-free…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-16 Satoru Morita

Infectious diseases are a significant threat to human society which was over sighted before the incidence of COVID-19, although according to the report of the World Health Organisation (WHO) about 4.2 million people die annually due to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-05 Md Shahzamal , Saeed Khan

Accessibility percolation is a new type of percolation problem inspired by evolutionary biology. To each vertex of a graph a random number is assigned and a path through the graph is called accessible if all numbers along the path are in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-04-04 Stefan Nowak , Joachim Krug

We examine the spread of an infectious disease, such as one that is caused by a respiratory virus, with two distinct modes of transmission. To do this, we consider a susceptible--infected--susceptible (SIS) disease on a hypergraph, which…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-09 Tung D. Nguyen , Mason A. Porter

We consider a spatial stochastic model for a pathogen population growing inside a host that attempts to eliminate the pathogens through its immune system. The pathogen population is divided into different types. A pathogen can either…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Fábio Lopes , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

In majority bootstrap percolation on a graph G, an infection spreads according to the following deterministic rule: if at least half of the neighbours of a vertex v are already infected, then v is also infected, and infected vertices remain…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 József Balogh , Béla Bollobás , Robert Morris

We study a stochastic model of infection spreading on a network. At each time step a node is chosen at random, along with one of its neighbors. If the node is infected and the neighbor is susceptible, the neighbor becomes infected. How many…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-19 Bertrand Ottino-Löffler , Jacob G. Scott , Steven H. Strogatz

We consider random dynamics on the edges of a uniform Cayley tree with $n$ vertices, in which edges are either inflammable, fireproof, or burt. Every inflammable edge is replaced by a fireproof edge at unit rate, while fires start at…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-01 Jean Bertoin

The appearance of the coronavirus (COVID-19) in late 2019 has dominated the news in the last few months as it developed into a pandemic. In many mathematics and physics classrooms, instructors are using the time series of the number of…

Physics Education · Physics 2020-07-24 Paulo H. Acioli

Initiation and development of a malignant tumor is a complex phenomenon that has critical stages determining its long time behavior. This phenomenon is mathematically described by means of various models: from simple heuristic models to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-23 Yuri Kozitsky , Krzysztof Pilorz

A high fidelity model for the propagation of pathogens via aerosols in the presence of moving pedestrians is proposed. The key idea is the tight coupling of computational fluid dynamics and computational crowd dynamics in order to capture…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-09 Rainald Löhner , Harbir Antil

We formulate a compartmental model for the propagation of a respiratory disease in a patchy environment. The patches are connected through the mobility of individuals, and we assume that disease transmission and recovery are possible during…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-11 Indrajit Ghosh , Sk Shahid Nadim , Soumyendu Raha , Debnath Pal

Forest fire spreading is a complex phenomenon characterized by a stochastic behavior. Nowadays, the enormous quantity of georeferenced data and the availability of powerful techniques for their analysis can provide a very careful picture of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-06 Roberto Beneduci , Giovanni Mascali

We present a contact-based model to study the spreading of epidemics by means of extending the dynamic message passing approach to temporal networks. The shift in perspective from node- to edge-centric quantities enables accurate modelling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-07 Andreas Koher , Hartmut H. K. Lentz , James P. Gleeson , Philipp Hövel

In this article we present an example of a random oriented tree model on d-dimensional lattice, that is a forest in d=3 with positive probability. This is in contrast with the other random tree models in the literature which are a forest…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-23 Siva Athreya , Sreekar Vadlamani

Population dynamics with spatial information is applied to understand the spread of pests. We introduce a model describing how pests spread in discrete space. The number of pest descendants at each site is controlled by local information…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-20 Woo Seong Jo , Hwang-Yong Kim , Beom Jun Kim

In this paper we present a recurrence criterion for the frog model on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ with an i.i.d. initial configuration of sleeping frogs and such that the underlying random walk has a drift to the right.

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-19 Christian Döbler , Lorenz Pfeifroth

We study a rumour model from a percolation theory and branching process point of view. The existence of a giant component is related to the event where the rumour, which started from the root of a tree, spreads out through an infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-11 Valdivino Vargas Junior , Fábio Prates Machado , Krishnamurthi Ravishankar

We couple a multi-type stochastic epidemic process with a directed random graph, where edges have random lengths. This random graph representation is used to characterise the fractions of individuals infected by the different types of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-29 Tom Britton , Ka Yin Leung , Pieter Trapman

We consider a stochastic model, describing the growth of two competing infections on $\mathbb{R}^d$. The growth takes place by way of spherical outbursts in the infected region, an outburst in the type 1 (2) infected region causing all…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-24 Maria Deijfen , Olle Häggström