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Summary 1. Infectious disease outbreaks in plants threaten ecosystems, agricultural crops and food trade. Currently, several fungal diseases are affecting forests worldwide, posing a major risk to tree species, habitats and consequently…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-18 S. Orozco-Fuentes , G. Griffiths , M. J. Holmes , R. Ettelaie , J. Smith , A. W. Baggaley , N. G. Parker

We study the frog model on \( \mathbb{Z} \) with geometric lifetimes, introducing a random survival parameter. Active and inactive particles are placed at the vertices of \( \mathbb{Z} \). The lifetime of each active particle follows a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-04 Gustavo O. de Carvalho , Fábio P. Machado

Identifying the infection sources in a network, including the index cases that introduce a contagious disease into a population network, the servers that inject a computer virus into a computer network, or the individuals who started a…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Wuqiong Luo , Wee Peng Tay , Mei Leng

From footpaths to flight routes, human mobility networks facilitate the spread of communicable diseases. Control and elimination efforts depend on characterizing these networks in terms of connections and flux rates of individuals between…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-29 Kyle B Gustafson , Basil S. Bayati , Philip A. Eckhoff

Bootstrap percolation is a type of cellular automaton which has been used to model various physical phenomena, such as ferromagnetism. For each natural number $r$, the $r$-neighbour bootstrap process is an update rule for vertices of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-09 Béla Bollobás , Karen Gunderson , Cecilia Holmgren , Svante Janson , Michał Przykucki

Using a probability of novel encounter derived from a physical model, we augment the SIR compartmental model for disease spread. Scenarios with the same initial trajectories and identical $R_0$ values can diverge greatly depending on the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-15 Peter Cotton

Pathogen introduction in plant communities can cause serious impact and biodiversity losses that may take long time to manage and restore. Effective control of epidemic spreading in the wild is a problem of paramount importance, because of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-15 Ignacio Taguas , José A. Capitán , Juan C. Nuño

We study a stochastic epidemic model consisting of elements (organisms in a community or cells in tissue) with fixed positions, in which damage or disease is transmitted by diffusing agents ("signals") emitted by infected individuals. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-05 Fernando P. Faria , Ronald Dickman

We consider the edge-based compartmental models for infectious disease spread introduced in Part I. These models allow us to consider standard SIR diseases spreading in random populations. In this paper we show how to handle deviations of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-03 Joel C. Miller , Erik M. Volz

The spread of an infection, a contagion, meme, emotion, message and various other spreadable objects have been discussed in several works. Burning and firefighting have been discussed in particular on static graphs. Graph burning simulates…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-17 Arya Tanmay Gupta

Source detection (SD) is the task of finding the origin of a spreading process in a network. Algorithms for SD help us combat diseases, misinformation, pollution, and more, and have been studied by physicians, physicists, sociologists, and…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Ben Bals , Michelle Döring , Nicolas Klodt , George Skretas

Bootstrap percolation in (random) graphs is a contagion dynamics among a set of vertices with certain threshold levels. The process is started by a set of initially infected vertices, and an initially uninfected vertex with threshold $k$…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-03 Nils Detering , Jimin Lin

Two stochastic models of susceptible/infected/removed (SIR) type are introduced for the spread of infection through a spatially-distributed population. Individuals are initially distributed at random in space, and they move continuously…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Geoffrey R. Grimmett , Zhongyang Li

We give a necessary and sufficient condition for species coexistence in a parasite-host growth process on infinite $d$-ary trees. The novelty of this work is that the spreading and death rates for hosts depend on the distance to the nearest…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-16 Sarai Hernandez-Torres , Matthew Junge , Naina Ray , Nidhi Ray

Contagion processes on networks, including disease spreading, information diffusion, or social behaviors propagation, can be modeled as simple contagion, i.e. involving one connection at a time, or as complex contagion, in which multiple…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-19 Giulia Cencetti , Diego Andrés Contreras , Marco Mancastroppa , Alain Barrat

We study the dynamics of secondary infections on networks, in which only the individuals currently carrying a certain primary infection are susceptible to the secondary infection. In the limit of large sparse networks, the model is mapped…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Sam Moore , Peter Mörters , Tim Rogers

Airborne infection risk analysis is usually performed for enclosed spaces where susceptible individuals are exposed to infectious airborne respiratory droplets by inhalation. It is usually based on exponential, dose-response models of which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-01 Yannis Drossinos , Nikolaos I. Stilianakis

We consider multiple diseases spreading in a static Configuration Model network. We make standard assumptions that infection transmits from neighbor to neighbor at a disease-specific rate and infected individuals recover at a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Joel C. Miller

The theme of this paper is the analysis of bootstrap percolation processes on random graphs generated by preferential attachment. This is a class of infection processes where vertices have two states: they are either infected or…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-23 Mohammed Amin Abdullah , Nikolaos Fountoulakis

We address the problem of localizing the source of infection in an undirected, tree-structured network under a susceptible-infected outbreak model. The infection propagates with independent random time increments (i.e., edge-delays) between…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Kesler O'Connor , Julia M. Jess , Devlin Costello , Manuel E. Lladser
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