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This paper shows that a wide class of effective learning rules -- those that improve a scalar performance measure over a given time window -- can be rewritten as natural gradient descent with respect to a suitably defined loss function and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Lucas Shoji , Kenta Suzuki , Leo Kozachkov

Any data modeling exercise has two main components: parameter estimation and model selection. The latter will be the topic of this lecture note. More concretely we will introduce several Monte-Carlo sampling-based rules for model selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-28 Petre Stoica , Xiaolei Shang , Yuanbo Cheng

This paper characterizes optimal classification when individuals adjust their behavior in response to the classification rule. We model the interaction between a designer and a population as a Stackelberg game: the designer selects a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Elizabeth Maggie Penn , John W. Patty

Transformation-based learning has been successfully employed to solve many natural language processing problems. It has many positive features, but one drawback is that it does not provide estimates of class membership probabilities. In…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Radu Florian , John C. Henderson , Grace Ngai

A linear list is a collection of items that can be accessed sequentially. The cost of a request is the number of items that need to be examined before the desired item is located, i.e., the distance of the requested item from the beginning…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David Gamarnik , Petar Momcilovic

Scoring rules are used to evaluate the quality of predictions that take the form of probability distributions. A scoring rule is strictly proper if its expected value is uniquely minimized by the true probability distribution. One of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-05 Zoe Guan

In this work, we introduce a framework to study the effect of random operations on the combinatorial list-decodability of a code. The operations we consider correspond to row and column operations on the matrix obtained from the code by…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Atri Rudra , Mary Wootters

In applications of imprecise probability, analysts must compute lower (or upper) expectations, defined as the infimum of an expectation over a set of parameter values. Monte Carlo methods consistently approximate expectations at fixed…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-05 Nicholas Syring , Ryan Martin

We analyze a tree search problem with an underlying Markov decision process, in which the goal is to identify the best action at the root that achieves the highest cumulative reward. We present a new tree policy that optimally allocates a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-29 Yunchuan Li , Michael C. Fu , Jie Xu

Machine learning has been widely applied in many aspects, but training a machine learning model is increasingly difficult. There are more optimization problems named "black-box" where the relationship between model parameters and outcomes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Vu Tuan Hai

Algorithmic decision making has proliferated and now impacts our daily lives in both mundane and consequential ways. Machine learning practitioners make use of a myriad of algorithms for predictive models in applications as diverse as movie…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-15 Elena Khusainova , Emily Dodwell , Ritwik Mitra

Approximate inference in dynamic systems is the problem of estimating the state of the system given a sequence of actions and partial observations. High precision estimation is fundamental in many applications like diagnosis, natural…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Hannaneh Hajishirzi , Eyal Amir

Superoptimization requires the estimation of the best program for a given computational task. In order to deal with large programs, superoptimization techniques perform a stochastic search. This involves proposing a modification of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-12-06 Rudy Bunel , Alban Desmaison , M. Pawan Kumar , Philip H. S. Torr , Pushmeet Kohli

Probabilistic Law Discovery (PLD) is a logic based Machine Learning method, which implements a variant of probabilistic rule learning. In several aspects, PLD is close to Decision Tree/Random Forest methods, but it differs significantly in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-12-23 Alexander Demin , Denis Ponomaryov

In many risk-aware and multi-objective reinforcement learning settings, the utility of the user is derived from the single execution of a policy. In these settings, making decisions based on the average future returns is not suitable. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Conor F. Hayes , Mathieu Reymond , Diederik M. Roijers , Enda Howley , Patrick Mannion

Classification and Regression Trees (CARTs) are off-the-shelf techniques in modern Statistics and Machine Learning. CARTs are traditionally built by means of a greedy procedure, sequentially deciding the splitting predictor variable(s) and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-25 Rafael Blanquero , Emilio Carrizosa , Cristina Molero-Río , Dolores Romero Morales

Decision theories offer principled methods for making choices under various types of uncertainty. Algorithms that implement these theories have been successfully applied to a wide range of real-world problems, including materials and drug…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Agustinus Kristiadi

A Monte Carlo algorithm is said to be adaptive if it automatically calibrates its current proposal distribution using past simulations. The choice of the parametric family that defines the set of proposal distributions is critical for good…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-11 Christian Schäfer , Nicolas Chopin

In deterministic optimization, line searches are a standard tool ensuring stability and efficiency. Where only stochastic gradients are available, no direct equivalent has so far been formulated, because uncertain gradients do not allow for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-03 Maren Mahsereci , Philipp Hennig

In deterministic optimization, line searches are a standard tool ensuring stability and efficiency. Where only stochastic gradients are available, no direct equivalent has so far been formulated, because uncertain gradients do not allow for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-01-19 Maren Mahsereci , Philipp Hennig