English

Stochastic optimization for numerical evaluation of imprecise probabilities

Computation 2021-03-05 v1

Abstract

In applications of imprecise probability, analysts must compute lower (or upper) expectations, defined as the infimum of an expectation over a set of parameter values. Monte Carlo methods consistently approximate expectations at fixed parameter values, but can be costly to implement in grid search to locate minima over large subsets of the parameter space. We investigate the use of stochastic iterative root-finding methods for efficiently computing lower expectations. In two examples we illustrate the use of various stochastic approximation methods, and demonstrate their superior performance in comparison to grid search.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2103.02659,
  title  = {Stochastic optimization for numerical evaluation of imprecise probabilities},
  author = {Nicholas Syring and Ryan Martin},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2103.02659},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

18 pages, 6 figures, 1 table

R2 v1 2026-06-23T23:43:44.099Z