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We propose a dynamic network model where two mechanisms control the probability of a link between two nodes: (i) the existence or absence of this link in the past, and (ii) node-specific latent variables (dynamic fitnesses) describing the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Piero Mazzarisi , Paolo Barucca , Fabrizio Lillo , Daniele Tantari

The hypothesis that committed revolving credit lines with fixed spreads can provide firms with interest rate insurance is a standard feature of models on these credit facilities' interest rate structure. Nevertheless, this hypothesis has…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-24 Miguel A. Duran

Using a data set which includes all transactions among banks in the Italian money market, we study their trading strategies and the dependence among them. We use the Fourier method to compute the variance-covariance matrix of trading…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Giulia Iori , Roberto Reno' , Giulia De Masi , Guido Caldarelli

This paper provides the first empirical network analysis of the Argentine interbank money market. Its main topological features are examined applying graph theory, focusing on the unsecured overnight loans settled from 2003 to 2017. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-17 Federico Forte

The Interbank Offered Rate is a vital benchmark interest rate in the financial markets of every country to which financial contracts are tied. In the light of the recent LIBOR manipulation incident, this paper seeks to address the fear that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-15 Murphy Choy , Enoch Chng , Koo Ping Shung

This study presents a generalization for a method examining the correlation function of an arbitrary system with interactions in an Ising model to obtain a value of correlation between two arbitrary points on a network. The establishment of…

General Physics · Physics 2017-06-13 Akira Saito

We demonstrate using multi-layered networks, the existence of an empirical linkage between the dynamics of the financial network constructed from the market indices and the macroeconomic networks constructed from macroeconomic variables…

General Economics · Economics 2019-03-18 Kiran Sharma , Anindya S. Chakrabarti , Anirban Chakraborti

Many social, technological and biological interactions involve network relationships whose outcome intimately depends on the structure of the network and on the strengths of the connections. Yet, although much information is now available…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Guido Caldarelli , Fabrizio Coccetti , Paolo De Los Rios

Recently, there has been a growing interest in network research, especially in these fields of biology, computer science, and sociology. It is natural to address complex financial issues such as the European sovereign debt crisis from the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-15 Hongwei Chuang , Hwai-Chung Ho

The DebtRank algorithm has been increasingly investigated as a method to estimate the impact of shocks in financial networks, as it overcomes the limitations of the traditional default-cascade approaches. Here we formulate a dynamical…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-21 Marco Bardoscia , Stefano Battiston , Fabio Caccioli , Guido Caldarelli

This paper presents a dynamic game framework to analyze the role of large banks in interbank markets. By extending existing models, we incorporate a large bank as a dynamic decision-maker interacting with multiple small banks. Using the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-22 Yuanyuan Chang , Dena Firoozi , David Benatia

The number of common friends (or connections) in a graph is a commonly used measure of proximity between two nodes. Such measures are used in link prediction algorithms and recommendation systems in large online social networks. We obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-14 Bikramjit Das , Souvik Ghosh

The manipulation of LIBOR by a group of banks became one of the major blows to the remaining confidence in financial industry. Yet, despite an enormous amount of popular literature on the subject, rigorous time-series studies are few. In my…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-07 Peter B. Lerner

Interbank contagion can theoretically exacerbate losses in a financial system and lead to additional cascade defaults during downturn. In this paper we produce default analysis using both regression and neural network models to verify…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-29 Riccardo Doyle

We address the problem of link reciprocity, the non-random presence of two mutual links between pairs of vertices. We propose a new measure of reciprocity that allows the ordering of networks according to their actual degree of correlation…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Diego Garlaschelli , Maria I. Loffredo

Evaluation of systemic risk in networks of financial institutions in general requires information of inter-institution financial exposures. In the framework of Debt Rank algorithm, we introduce an approximate method of systemic risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-14 Sebastian M. Krause , Hrvoje Štefančić , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli

In spite of the growing theoretical literature on cascades of failures in interbank lending networks, empirical results seem to suggest that networks of direct exposures are not the major channel of financial contagion. In this paper we…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-18 Fabio Caccioli , J. Doyne Farmer , Nick Foti , Daniel Rockmore

When banks extend loans to each other, they generate a negative externality in the form of systemic risk. They create a network of interbank exposures by which they expose other banks to potential insolvency cascades. In this paper, we show…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-26 Matt V. Leduc , Stefan Thurner

Graphs and networks provide a canonical representation of relational data, with massive network data sets becoming increasingly prevalent across a variety of scientific fields. Although tools from mathematics and computer science have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-11 Benjamin P. Olding , Patrick J. Wolfe

Systemic risk in banking systems remains a crucial issue that it has not been completely understood. In our toy model, banks are exposed to two sources of risks, namely, market risk from their investments in assets external to the banking…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-24 Aki-Hiro Sato , Paolo Tasca , Takashi Isogai