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We introduce a general model for the balance-sheet consistent valuation of interbank claims within an interconnected financial system. Our model represents an extension of clearing models of interdependent liabilities to account for the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-03 Paolo Barucca , Marco Bardoscia , Fabio Caccioli , Marco D'Errico , Gabriele Visentin , Guido Caldarelli , Stefano Battiston

Financial institutions obtain enormous amounts of data about user transactions and money transfers, which can be considered as a large graph dynamically changing in time. In this work, we focus on the task of predicting new interactions in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-24 Valentina Shumovskaia , Kirill Fedyanin , Ivan Sukharev , Dmitry Berestnev , Maxim Panov

We study the frictions in the patterns of trades in the Euro money market. We characterize the structure of lending relations during the period of recent financial turmoil. We use network-topology method on data from overnight transactions…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-24 Caterina Liberati , Massimiliano Marzo , Paolo Zagaglia , Paola Zappa

We analyze cascades of defaults in an interbank loan market. The novel feature of this study is that the network structure and the size distribution of banks are derived from empirical data. We find that the ability of a defaulted…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-21 Fariba Karimi , Matthias Raddant

The global financial system can be represented as a large complex network in which banks, hedge funds and other financial institutions are interconnected to each other through visible and invisible financial linkages. Recently, a lot of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-11 Fabio Caccioli , Paolo Barucca , Teruyoshi Kobayashi

The global financial crisis in 2007-2009 demonstrated that systemic risk can spread all over the world through a complex web of financial linkages, yet we still lack fundamental knowledge about the evolution of the financial web. In…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-11 Teruyoshi Kobayashi , Taro Takaguchi

This paper empirically analyzes a dataset published by the European Banking Authority. Our main aim was to study how the Leverage Ratio is affected by adverse financial scenarios. This was be followed by observing how Leverage Ratio…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-27 Jatin Dhingra , Kartikeya Singh , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

An interbank market lets participants pool the risk arising from the combination of illiquid investments and random withdrawals by depositors. But it also creates the potential for one bank's failure to trigger off avalanches of further…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Giulia Iori , Saqib Jafarey

P2P lending activities have grown rapidly and have caused the huge and complex networks of debtor-creditor relationships. The aim of this study was to study the underlying structural characteristics of networks formed by debtor-creditor…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-21 Lin Chen , Ping Li , Qiang Li

We derive a closed form solution for an optimal control problem related to an interbank lending schemes subject to terminal probability constraints on the failure of banks which are interconnected through a financial network. The derived…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-07 Francesco Cordoni , Luca Di Persio , Luca Prezioso

Understanding how people interact and socialize is important in many contexts from disease control to urban planning. Datasets that capture this specific aspect of human life have increased in size and availability over the last few years.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-21 Vedran Sekara , Sune Lehmann

Many countries have adopted negative interest rate policies with tiering remuneration, which allows for exemption from negative rates. This practice has led to higher interbank trading volumes, with market rates ranging between zero and the…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-21 Toshifumi Nakamura

The global financial system has become highly connected and complex. Has been proven in practice that existing models, measures and reports of financial risk fail to capture some important systemic dimensions. Only lately, advisory boards…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-07 Michalis Vafopoulos

We present a multilayer network model for credit risk assessment. Our model accounts for multiple connections between borrowers (such as their geographic location and their economic activity) and allows for explicitly modelling the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-07-27 María Óskarsdóttir , Cristián Bravo

Systemic liquidity risk, defined by the IMF as "the risk of simultaneous liquidity difficulties at multiple financial institutions", is a key topic in macroprudential policy and financial stress analysis. Specialized models to simulate…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-08 V. Macchiati , G. Brandi , G. Cimini , G. Caldarelli , D. Paolotti , T. Di Matteo

We test the hypothesis that interconnections across financial institutions can be explained by a diversification motive. This idea stems from the empirical evidence of the existence of long-term exposures that cannot be explained by a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-24 Jean-Cyprien Héam , Erwan Koch

Networks represent relationships between entities in many complex systems, spanning from online social interactions to biological cell development and brain connectivity. In many cases, relationships between entities are unambiguously…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-23 Ivan Brugere , Brian Gallagher , Tanya Y. Berger-Wolf

We study financial networks where banks are connected by debt contracts. We consider the operation of debt swapping when two creditor banks decide to exchange an incoming payment obligation, thus leading to a locally different network…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-13 Pál András Papp , Roger Wattenhofer

We use bank-level balance sheet data from 2005 to 2010 to study interactions within the banking system of five emerging countries: Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, and Taiwan. For each country we construct a financial network based…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-08 Diego Aparicio , Daniel Fraiman

We study the difference between the level of systemic risk that is empirically measured on an interbank network and the risk that can be deduced from the balance sheets composition of the participating banks. Using generalised DebtRank…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-07 Alessandro Ferracci , Giulio Cimini