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Machine learning models serve critical functions, such as classifying loan applicants as good or bad risks. Each model is trained under the assumption that the data used in training and in the field come from the same underlying unknown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-23 Eliran Roffe , Samuel Ackerman , Orna Raz , Eitan Farchi

The interconnectedness of financial institutions affects instability and credit crises. To quantify systemic risk we introduce here the PD model, a dynamic model that combines credit risk techniques with a contagion mechanism on the network…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-10 Daniele Petrone , Vito Latora

Peer-to-peer (P2P) lending is a fast growing financial technology (FinTech) trend that is displacing traditional retail banking. Studies on P2P lending have focused on predicting individual interest rates or default probabilities. However,…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-11-01 Jessica Foo , Lek-Heng Lim , Ken Sze-Wai Wong

The latest financial crisis has painfully revealed the dangers arising from a globally interconnected financial system. Conventional approaches based on the notion of the existence of equilibrium and those which rely on statistical…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-12 V. Sasidevan , Nils Bertschinger

We provide a framework for detecting relevant insurance companies in a systemic risk perspective. Among the alternative methodologies for measuring systemic risk, we propose a complex network approach where insurers are linked to form a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-24 Gian Paolo Clemente , Alessandra Cornaro

Whereas traditional credit scoring tends to employ only individual borrower- or loan-level predictors, it has been acknowledged for some time that connections between borrowers may result in default risk propagating over a network. In this…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-26 Sahab Zandi , Kamesh Korangi , María Óskarsdóttir , Christophe Mues , Cristián Bravo

Over the last couple of decades in the lending industry, financial disintermediation has occurred on a global scale. Traditionally, even for small supply of funds, banks would act as the conduit between the funds and the borrowers. It has…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-24 Soumajyoti Sarkar , Hamidreza Alvari

Systemic risks of default contagion in the Russian interbank market are investigated. The analysis is based on considering the bow-tie structure of the weighted oriented graph describing the structure of the interbank loans. A probabilistic…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-05 A. V. Leonidov , E. L. Rumyantsev

Based on the assumption that economic complexity is characterised by the interactions of economic agents (who) constantly change their actions and strategies in response to the outcome they mutually create, this paper presents how network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-03-09 Johannes Preiser-Kapeller

Network-based marketing refers to a collection of marketing techniques that take advantage of links between consumers to increase sales. We concentrate on the consumer networks formed using direct interactions (e.g., communications) between…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Shawndra Hill , Foster Provost , Chris Volinsky

We propose a statistical model for weighted temporal networks capable of measuring the level of heterogeneity in a financial system. Our model focuses on the level of diversification of financial institutions; that is, whether they are more…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-15 Juraj Hledik , Riccardo Rastelli

Since the latest financial crisis, the idea of systemic risk has received considerable interest. In particular, contagion effects arising from cross-holdings between interconnected financial firms have been studied extensively. Drawing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Nils Bertschinger , Julian Stobbe

This paper analyzes the hypothesis that returns play a risk-compensating role in the market for corporate revolving lines of credit. Specifically, we test whether borrower risk and the expected return on these debt instruments are…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-24 Miguel A. Duran

We study online social networks in which relationships can be either positive (indicating relations such as friendship) or negative (indicating relations such as opposition or antagonism). Such a mix of positive and negative links arise in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-03-15 Jure Leskovec , Daniel Huttenlocher , Jon Kleinberg

Signed graphs are widely used to analyze complex systems such as social, political, and biological networks. The notion of balance, a key concept of signed graphs, reflects the stability of relationships. While it has been extensively…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Zeyu Wang , Kudria Sergei , Jingbang Chen , Jiawei Chen , Xinyu Wang , Xiaodong Luo , Can Wang

We study the incentives of banks in a financial network, where the network consists of debt contracts and credit default swaps (CDSs) between banks. One of the most important questions in such a system is the problem of deciding which of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-19 Pál András Papp , Roger Wattenhofer

Geographic dispersion of depositors, borrowers, and banks may prevent funding from flowing to high loan demand areas, limiting credit access. Using bank-county-year level data, we provide evidence of the geographic imbalance of deposits and…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-08 Victor Aguirregabiria , Robert Clark , Hui Wang

An analysis of the Japanese credit market in 2004 between banks and quoted firms is done in this paper using the tools of the networks theory. It can be pointed out that: (i) a backbone of the credit channel emerges, where some links play a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-09 G. De Masi , Y. Fujiwara , M. Gallegati , B. Greenwald , J. E. Stiglitz

This mini-project models propagation of shocks, in time point, through links in connected banks. In particular, financial network of 100 banks out of which 15 are shocked to default (that is, 85.00% of the banks are solvent) is modelled…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-26 Sunday Akukodi Ugwu

This paper introduces a credit risk rating model for credit risk assessment in quantitative finance, aiming to categorize borrowers based on their behavioral data. The model is trained on data from Experian, a widely recognized credit…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-19 O. Didkovskyi , N. Jean , G. Le Pera , C. Nordio
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