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Related papers: An efficient SPDE approach for El Ni\~no

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This paper studies the chaotic behavior of hydrosphere and its influence on global weather and climate. We give mathematical arguments for the sea surface temperature (SST) to be unpredictable over the global ocean. The impact of SST…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-01-04 Marat Akhmet , Mehmet Onur Fen , Ejaily Milad Alejaily

Studying the response of a climate system to perturbations has practical significance. Standard methods in computing the trajectory-wise deviation caused by perturbations may suffer from the chaotic nature that makes the model error…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-07 Marios Andreou , Nan Chen

The numerical analysis of stochastic parabolic partial differential equations of the form $$ du + A(u) = f \,dt + g \, dW, $$ is surveyed, where $A$ is a partial operator and $W$ a Brownian motion. This manuscript unifies much of the theory…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-16 Martin Ondrejat , Andreas Prohl , Noel Walkington

We present a nonlinear dynamical approximation method for time-dependent Partial Differential Equations (PDEs). The approach makes use of parametrized decoder functions, and provides a general, and principled way of understanding and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Daan Bon , Benjamin Caris , Olga Mula

Solving elliptic partial differential equations (PDEs) is a fundamental step in various scientific and engineering studies. As a classic stochastic solver, the Walk-on-Spheres (WoS) method is a well-established and efficient algorithm that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Silei Song , Arash Fahim , Michael Mascagni

We develop a data-driven methodology based on parametric It\^{o}'s Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) to capture the real asymmetric dynamics of forecast errors. Our SDE framework features time-derivative tracking of the forecast,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-11 Renzo Caballero , Ahmed Kebaier , Marco Scavino , Raúl Tempone

Spatially distributed problems are often approximately modelled in terms of partial differential equations (PDEs) for appropriate coarse-grained quantities (e.g. concentrations). The derivation of accurate such PDEs starting from finer…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Liang Qiao , Radek Erban , C. T. Kelley , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDE) on graphs were introduced by Cerrai and Freidlin [Ann. Inst. Henri Poincar\'e Probab. Stat. 53 (2017) 865-899]. This class of stochastic equations in infinite dimensions provides a minimal…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Wai-Tong Louis Fan

In this article, we construct a numerical method for a stochastic version of the Susceptible Infected Susceptible (SIS) epidemic model, expressed by a suitable stochastic differential equation (SDE), by using the semi-discrete method to a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-28 Yiannis Kiouvrekis , Ioannis S. Stamatiou

A popular approach for modeling and inference in spatial statistics is to represent Gaussian random fields as solutions to stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) of the form $L^{\beta}u = \mathcal{W}$, where $\mathcal{W}$ is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-03 David Bolin , Kristin Kirchner

The effects of El Ni\~no's two distinct flavors, East Pacific (EP) and Central Pacific (CP)/Modoki El Ni\~no, on global climate variability have been studied intensively in recent years. Most of these studies have made use of linear…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-01-11 Marc Wiedermann , Jonatan F. Siegmund , Jonathan F. Donges , Reik V. Donner

We construct flexible spatio-temporal models through stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) where both diffusion and advection can be spatially varying. Computations are done through a Gaussian Markov random field approximation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Martin Outzen Berild , Geir-Arne Fuglstad

In this paper we propose an all-in-one statement which includes existence, uniqueness, regularity, and numerical approximations of mild solutions for a class of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with non-globally monotone…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Sara Mazzonetto , Diyora Salimova

The El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a fluctuation in sea surface temperature (SST) and pressure across the equatorial Pacific Ocean with a period of 2-7 years. As the largest mode of interannual variability on Earth, ENSO shapes…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-05 PJ Tuckman , Da Yang

Partial differential equations (PDEs) are used, with huge success, to model phenomena arising across all scientific and engineering disciplines. However, across an equally wide swath, there exist situations in which PDE models fail to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Marta D'Elia , Qiang Du , Christian Glusa , Max Gunzburger , Xiaochuan Tian , Zhi Zhou

While most spatial data can be modeled with the assumption that distant points are uncorrelated, some problems require dependence at both far and short distances. We introduce a model to directly incorporate dependence in phenomena that…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-04 Joshua Hewitt , Jennifer A. Hoeting , James Done , Erin Towler

Although the governing equations of many systems, when derived from first principles, may be viewed as known, it is often too expensive to numerically simulate all the interactions they describe. Therefore researchers often seek simpler…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-03 Tapio Schneider , Andrew M. Stuart , Jin-Long Wu

A numerical analysis for the fully discrete approximation of an operator Lyapunov equation related to linear SPDEs (stochastic partial differential equations) driven by multiplicative noise is considered. The discretization of the Lyapunov…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Adam Andersson , Annika Lang , Andreas Petersson , Leander Schroer

Correlated with the trend of increasing degrees of freedom in robotic systems is a similar trend of rising interest in Spatio-Temporal systems described by Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) among the robotics and control communities.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Ethan N. Evans , Andrew P. Kendall , Evangelos A. Theodorou

We consider a delay differential equation (DDE) model for El-Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability. The model combines two key mechanisms that participate in ENSO dynamics: delayed negative feedback and seasonal forcing. We perform…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-29 Michael Ghil , Ilya Zaliapin , Sylvester Thompson