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Related papers: An efficient SPDE approach for El Ni\~no

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We develope a perturbation theory for stochastic differential equations (SDEs) by which we mean both stochastic ordinary differential equations (SODEs) and stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). In particular, we estimate the $…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Martin Hutzenthaler , Arnulf Jentzen

A systematic Bayesian framework is developed for physics constrained parameter inference ofstochastic differential equations (SDE) from partial observations. The physical constraints arederived for stochastic climate models but are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-11-25 Daniel Peavoy , Christian L. E. Franzke , Gareth O. Roberts

This paper investigates a numerical probabilistic method for the solution of some semilinear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs in short). The numerical scheme is based on discrete time approximation for solutions of systems…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Achref Bachouch , Mohamed Anis Ben Lasmar , Anis Matoussi , Mohamed Mnif

A spatiotemporal oscillator model for El Ni\~no/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is constructed based on the sea surface temperature (SST) and thermocline depth dynamics. The model is enclosed by introducing a proportional relationship between…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-06-08 Yaokun Li

A new method for solving numerically stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with multiple scales is presented. The method combines a spectral method with the heterogeneous multiscale method (HMM) presented in [W. E, D. Liu, and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-28 A. Abdulle , G. A. Pavliotis

Extreme El Ni\~no events, such as occurred in 1997--1998, can induce severe weather on a global scale, with significant socioeconomic impacts that motivate efforts to understand them better. However, extreme El Ni\~no events are rare, and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-30 Sarah Packman , Justin Finkel , Dorian S. Abbot , Eli Tziperman

A new class of stochastic field models is constructed using nested stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). The model class is computationally efficient, applicable to data on general smooth manifolds, and includes both the…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-19 David Bolin , Finn Lindgren

We study a general class of singular degenerate parabolic stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) which include, in particular, the stochastic porous medium equations and the stochastic fast diffusion equation. We propose a fully…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Ľubomír Baňas , Benjamin Gess , Christian Vieth

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are popular tools to analyse time series data in many areas, such as mathematical finance, physics, and biology. They provide a mechanistic description of the phenomeon of interest, and their…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-01 Théo Michelot , Richard Glennie , Catriona Harris , Len Thomas

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) are the mathematical tool of choice for modelling spatiotemporal PDE-dynamics under the influence of randomness. Based on the notion of mild solution of an SPDE, we introduce a novel neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Cristopher Salvi , Maud Lemercier , Andris Gerasimovics

The stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) approach is widely used for modeling large spatial datasets. It is based on representing a Gaussian random field $u$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$ as the solution of an elliptic SPDE $L^\beta u =…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-31 David Bolin , Alexandre B. Simas , Zhen Xiong

The El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a mode of interannual variability in the coupled equatorial ocean/atmosphere Pacific. El Ni\~no describes a state in which sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific increase and upwelling…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-07-12 John Guckenheimer , Andrew Roberts , Axel Timmermann , Henk Dijkstra

In this article, we introduce and analyze a deep learning based approximation algorithm for SPDEs. Our approach employs neural networks to approximate the solutions of SPDEs along given realizations of the driving noise process. If applied…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Christian Beck , Sebastian Becker , Patrick Cheridito , Arnulf Jentzen , Ariel Neufeld

Stemming from the stochastic Lotka-Volterra or predator-prey equations, this work aims to model the spatial inhomogeneity by using stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). Compared to the classical models, the SPDE model is more…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-11-21 N. N. Nhu , G. Yin

The skill of seasonal precipitation forecasts is assessed worldwide -grid point by grid point- for the forty-years period 1961-2000. To this aim, the ENSEMBLES multi-model hindcast is considered. Although predictability varies with region,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-04-20 R. Manzanas , M. D. Frías , A. S. Cofiño , J. M. Gutiérrez

We introduce a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) with elliptic operator in divergence form, with measurable and bounded coefficients and driven by space-time white noise. Such SPDEs could be used in mathematical modelling of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Mounir Zili , Eya Zougar

We present a novel solution method for It\^o stochastic differential equations (SDEs). We subdivide the time interval into sub-intervals, then we use the quadratic polynomials for the approximation between two successive intervals. The main…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-01 Faezeh Nassajian Mojarrad

We propose a novel framework for discovering Stochastic Partial Differential Equations (SPDEs) from data. The proposed approach combines the concepts of stochastic calculus, variational Bayes theory, and sparse learning. We propose the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-29 Yogesh Chandrakant Mathpati , Tapas Tripura , Rajdip Nayek , Souvik Chakraborty

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) represent a very active research field with numerous recent developments and breakthrough results. There are several well-established approaches and methods used to construct solutions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Christian Kuehn , Alexandra Neamtu

We study a numerical method to compute probability density functions of solutions of stochastic differential equations. The method is sometimes called the numerical path integration method and has been shown to be fast and accurate in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Linghua Chen , Espen Robstad Jakobsen , Arvid Naess