English
Related papers

Related papers: An efficient SPDE approach for El Ni\~no

200 papers

We study the Allen-Cahn equation with a cubic-quintic nonlinear term and a stochastic $Q$-trace-class stochastic forcing in two spatial dimensions. This stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) is used as a test case to understand,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Christian Kuehn

In this paper, we study numerical approximations for optimal control of a class of stochastic partial differential equations with partial observations. The system state evolves in a Hilbert space, whereas observations are given in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Feng Bao , Yanzhao Cao , Hongjiang Qian

Semilinear hyperbolic stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) find widespread applications in the natural and engineering sciences. However, the traditional Gaussian setting may prove too restrictive, as phenomena in mathematical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-04 Andrea Barth , Andreas Stein

Dominant modes of SST in the west and east Pacific show strong but regionally different gradients caused by waves, internal dynamics, and anthropogenic warming, which drives air-sea interaction in the Pacific. The study discusses the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-08 Lekshmi S , Rajib Chattopadhyay , D. S. Pai , M. Rajeevan , Vinu Valsala , K. S. Hosalikar , M. Mohapatra

We consider a highly idealized model for El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability, as introduced in an earlier paper. The model is governed by a delay differential equation for sea surface temperature in the Tropical Pacific, and it…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-01-13 Ilya Zaliapin , Michael Ghil

We give a new take on the error analysis of approximations of stochastic differential equations (SDEs), utilizing and developing the stochastic sewing lemma of L\^e (2020). This approach allows one to exploit regularization by noise effects…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Oleg Butkovsky , Konstantinos Dareiotis , Máté Gerencsér

Physical models with uncertain inputs are commonly represented as parametric partial differential equations (PDEs). That is, PDEs with inputs that are expressed as functions of parameters with an associated probability distribution.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-15 Benjamin M. Kent , Catherine E. Powell , David J. Silvester , Małgorzata J. Zimoń

Anomalies during an El Nino are dominated by a single, irregularly oscillating, mode. Equatorial dynamics has been linked to delayed-oscillator models of this mode. Usually, the El Nino mode is regarded as an unstable mode of the coupled…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-02-03 Gerrit Burgers

In this work, we investigate the numerical approximation of the second order non-autonomous semilnear parabolic partial differential equation (PDE) using the finite element method. To the best of our knowledge, only the linear case is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-01-27 Antoine Tambue , Jean Daniel Mukam

This paper introduces time-continuous numerical schemes to simulate stochastic differential equations (SDEs) arising in mathematical finance, population dynamics, chemical kinetics, epidemiology, biophysics, and polymeric fluids. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

We present a model and variance reduction method for the fast and reliable computation of statistical outputs of stochastic elliptic partial differential equations. Our method consists of three main ingredients: (1) the hybridizable…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-13 Ferran Vidal-Codina , Ngoc-Cuong Nguyen , Mike B. Giles , Jaime Peraire

For parabolic stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs), we show that the numerical methods, including the spatial spectral Galerkin method and further the full discretization via the temporal accelerated exponential Euler method,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-22 Chuchu Chen , Ziheng Chen , Jialin Hong , Diancong Jin

El Ni\~no exhibits distinct Eastern Pacific (EP) and Central Pacific (CP) types which are commonly, but not always consistently, distinguished from each other by different signatures in equatorial climate variability. Here, we propose an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-11-21 Marc Wiedermann , Alexander Radebach , Jonathan F. Donges , Jürgen Kurths , Reik V. Donner

We consider a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) which describes the velocity field of a viscous, incompressible non-Newtonian fluid subject to a random force. Here, the extra stress tensor of the fluid is given by a polynomial…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-09 Nobuo Yoshida

We study the convergence rates of the semi-discrete (SD) method originally proposed in Halidias (2012), Semi-discrete approximations for stochastic differential equations and applications, International Journal of Computer Mathematics,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-06 Ioannis S. Stamatiou , Nikolaos Halidias

Very strong El Ni\~no events occur sporadically every 10-20 years. The origin of this bursting behavior still remains elusive. Using a simplified 3-dimensional dynamical model of the tropical Pacific climate system, which captures the El…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-05-04 Andrew Roberts , Esther Widiasih , Axel Timmermann , Christopher K. R. T. Jones , John Guckenheimer

Construction of splitting-step methods and properties of related non-negativity and boundary preserving numerical algorithms for solving stochastic differential equations (SDEs) of Ito-type are discussed. We present convergence proofs for a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Esteban Moro , Henri Schurz

We consider optimal control of a new type of non-local stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). The SPDEs have space interactions, in the sense that the dynamics of the system at time $t$ and position in space x also depend on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Nacira Agram , Astrid Hilbert , Khouloud Makhlouf , Bernt Øksendal

Nonstationarity is a major challenge in analyzing spatial data. For example, daily precipitation measurements may have increased variability and decreased spatial smoothness in areas with high mean rainfall. Common nonstationary covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-31 Geoffrey Colin Lee Peterson , Joseph Guinness , Adam Terando , Brian J. Reich

This work presents a numerical analysis of computing transition states of semilinear elliptic partial differential equations (PDEs) via the index-1 saddle dynamics, or equivalently, the gentlest ascent dynamics. To establish clear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Lei Zhang , Xiangcheng Zheng , Shangqin Zhu
‹ Prev 1 3 4 5 6 7 10 Next ›