Related papers: Conditioned local limit theorems for random walks …

For a stochastic difference equation $D_n=A_nD_{n-1}+B_n$ which stabilises upon time we study tail distribution asymptotics of $D_n$ under the assumption that the distribution of $\log(1+|A_1|+|B_1|)$ is heavy-tailed, that is, all its…

Random walks in random scenery are processes defined by $Z_n:=\sum_{k=1}^n\xi_{X_1+...+X_k}$, where $(X_k,k\ge 1)$ and $(\xi_y,y\in\mathbb Z)$ are two independent sequences of i.i.d. random variables. We suppose that the distributions of…

We consider a discrete time semi-Markov process where the characteristics defining the process depend on a small perturbation parameter. It is assumed that the state space consists of one finite communicating class of states and, in…

Let $G$ be a directed graph on finitely many vertices and edges, and assign a positive weight to each edge on $G$. Fix vertices $u$ and $v$ and consider the set of paths that start at $u$ and end at $v$, self-intersecting in any number of…

We consider the probability that a two-dimensional random walk starting from the origin never returns to the half-line $ (- \infty,0] \times {0}$ before time $n$. Let $X^{(1)}=(X_{1},X_{2})$ be the increment of the two-dimensional random…

Symmetric heavily tailed random walks on $Z^d, d\geq 1,$ are considered. Under appropriate regularity conditions on the tails of the jump distributions, global (i.e., uniform in $x,t, |x|+t\to\infty,$) asymptotic behavior of the transition…

We consider a Markov chain $\{X_n\}_{n=0}^\8$ on $\R^d$ defined by the stochastic recursion $X_{n}=M_n X_{n-1}+Q_n$, where $(Q_n,M_n)$ are i.i.d. random variables taking values in the affine group $H=\R^d\rtimes {\rm GL}(\R^d)$. Assume that…

Given a countably infinite group $G$ acting on some space $X$, an increasing family of finite subsets $G_n$ and $x\in X$, a natural question to ask is what asymptotical distribution the sets $G_nx$ form. More formally, we define for a…

We consider first passage times $\tau_u = \inf\{n:\; Y_n>u\}$ for the perpetuity sequence $$ Y_n = B_1 + A_1 B_2 + \cdots + (A_1\ldots A_{n-1})B_n, $$ where $(A_n,B_n)$ are i.i.d. random variables with values in ${\mathbb R} ^+\times…

The aim of this paper is to use non asymptotic bounds for the probability of rare events in the Sanov theorem, in order to study the asymptotics in conditional limit theorems (Gibbs conditioning principle for thin sets). Applications to…

Two new test statistics are introduced to test the null hypotheses that the sampling distribution has an increasing hazard rate on a specified interval [0,a]. These statistics are empirical L_1-type distances between the isotonic estimates,…

Two fundamental theorems by Spitzer/Erickson and Kesten/Maller on the fluctuation type (positive divergence, negative divergence or oscillation) of a real-valued random walk $(S_{n})_{n\ge 0}$ with iid increments $X_{1},X_{2},\ldots$ and…

For affine stochastic differential equation with uniformly distributed time delay the local asymptotic properties of the likelihood function are studied. Local asymptotic normality, local asymptotic mixed normality, periodic local…

For a random walk on the integer lattice $\mathbb{Z}$ that is attracted to a strictly stable process with index $\alpha\in (1, 2)$ we obtain the asymptotic form of the transition probability for the walk killed when it hits a finite set.…

Let \alpha ([0,1]^p) denote the intersection local time of p independent d-dimensional Brownian motions running up to the time 1. Under the conditions p(d-2)<d and d\ge 2, we prove lim_{t\to\infty}t^{-1}\log P\bigl{\alpha([0,1]^p)\ge…

Let $\{X(t),t\ge0\}$ be a centered Gaussian process and let $\gamma$ be a non-negative constant. In this paper we study the asymptotics of $P\{\underset{t\in [0,\mathcal{T}/u^\gamma]}\sup X(t)>u\}$ as $u\to\infty$, with $\mathcal{T}$ an…

Let $\xi_1,\xi_2,...$ be independent identically distributed random variables and $F:\bbR^\ell\to SL_d(\bbR)$ be a Borel measurable matrix-valued function. Set $X_n=F(\xi_{q_1(n)},\xi_{q_2(n)},...,\xi_{q_\ell(n)})$ where $0\leq…

We consider random walks perturbed at zero which behave like (possibly different) random walks with i.i.d. increments on each half lines and restarts at $0$ whenever they cross that point. We show that the perturbed random walk, after being…

We consider a random walk X_n in non-i.i.d. environment and show that the ratio of log X_n to log n converges in probability to a positive constant.

Let (X_t, t>=0) be a Levy process started at 0, with Levy measure nu and T_x the first hitting time of level x>0: T_x:=inf{t>=0; X_t>x}. Let $F(theta, mu, rho,.) be the joint Laplace transform of (T_x, K_x, L_x): F(theta,mu,rho,x)…