Fluctuation theory for Markov random walks
Abstract
Two fundamental theorems by Spitzer/Erickson and Kesten/Maller on the fluctuation type (positive divergence, negative divergence or oscillation) of a real-valued random walk with iid increments and the existence of moments of various related quantities like the first passage into and the last exit time from for arbitrary are studied in the Markov-modulated situation when the are governed by a positive recurrent Markov chain on a countable state space , thus for a Markov random walk . Our approach is based on the natural strategy to draw on the results in the iid case for the embedded ordinary random walks , where denote the successive return times of to state , and an analysis of the excursions of the walk between these epochs. However, due to these excursions, generalizations of the afore-mentioned theorems are not one-to-one extensions of those in the iid case and cannot be as illustrated by a number of counterexamples. In fact, various excursion measures will have to be introduced so as to characterize the existence of moments of different quantities.
Cite
@article{arxiv.1608.08377,
title = {Fluctuation theory for Markov random walks},
author = {Gerold Alsmeyer and Fabian Buckmann},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1608.08377},
year = {2017}
}
Comments
64 pages, 1 figure