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Many finite-state reversible Markov chains can be naturally decomposed into "projection" and "restriction" chains. In this paper we provide bounds on the total variation mixing times of the original chain in terms of the mixing properties…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-04 Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

We consider a model of stationary population with random size given by a continuous state branching process with immigration with a quadratic branching mechanism. We give an exact elementary simulation procedure of the genealogical tree of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-05 Jean-François Delmas , Romain Abraham

Despite their performance and widespread use, little is known about the theory of Random Forests. A major unanswered question is whether, or when, the Random Forest algorithm is consistent. The literature explores various variants of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-12 Nicholas Waltz

Random spanning trees are among the most prominent determinantal point processes. We give four examples of random spanning trees on ladder-like graphs whose rungs form stationary renewal processes or regenerative processes of order two,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-04 Achim Klenke

One of the fundamental questions in population dynamics is how biological populations respond to environmental perturbations. In population dynamics, the mean fitness and the fraction of a trait in the steady state are important because…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-27 Koya Katayama , Ryuna Nagayama , Sosuke Ito

Markov random fields are used to model high dimensional distributions in a number of applied areas. Much recent interest has been devoted to the reconstruction of the dependency structure from independent samples from the Markov random…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2010-03-09 Guy Bresler , Elchanan Mossel , Allan Sly

Classical conditions for ensuring the robust stability of a linear system in feedback with a sector-bounded nonlinearity include small gain, circle, passivity, and conicity theorems. In this work, we present a similar stability condition,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-18 Saman Cyrus , Laurent Lessard

We introduce a new model of random tree that grows like a random recursive tree, except at some exceptional "doubling events" when the tree is replaced by two copies of itself attached to a new root. We prove asymptotic results for the size…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Jakob E. Björnberg , Cécile Mailler

Forward-time models of diversification (i.e., speciation and extinction) produce phylogenetic trees that grow "vertically" as time goes by. Pruning the extinct lineages out of such trees leads to natural models for reconstructed trees…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-07 Amaury Lambert , Tanja Stadler

The reconstruction of phylogenies from DNA or protein sequences is a major task of computational evolutionary biology. Common phenomena, notably variations in mutation rates across genomes and incongruences between gene lineage histories,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-30 Elchanan Mossel , Sebastien Roch

Consider the edge-deletion process in which the edges of some finite tree T are removed one after the other in the uniform random order. Roughly speaking, the cut-tree then describes the genealogy of connected components appearing in this…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-23 Jean Bertoin , Grégory Miermont

We consider the problem of estimating the evolutionary history of a set of species (phylogeny or species tree) from several genes. It is known that the evolutionary history of individual genes (gene trees) might be topologically distinct…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-11-18 Gautam Dasarathy , Robert Nowak , Sebastien Roch

We show that the growth of a unimodular random rooted tree $(T,o)$ of degree bounded by $d$ always exists, assuming its upper growth passes the critical threshold $\sqrt{d-1}$. This complements Timar's work who showed the possible…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-11 Miklós Abert , Mikołaj Frączyk , Ben Hayes

Decision trees have long been recognized as models of choice in sensitive applications where interpretability is of paramount importance. In this paper, we examine the computational ability of Boolean decision trees in deriving, minimizing,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Gilles Audemard , Steve Bellart , Louenas Bounia , Frédéric Koriche , Jean-Marie Lagniez , Pierre Marquis

The goal of these lectures is to survey some of the recent progress on the description of large-scale structure of random trees. We use the framework of Markov-Branching sequences of trees and discuss several applications.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-26 Bénédicte Haas

Inference is a main task in structured prediction and it is naturally modeled with a graph. In the context of Markov random fields, noisy observations corresponding to nodes and edges are usually involved, and the goal of exact inference is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-12 Hanbyul Lee , Kevin Bello , Jean Honorio

An inequality of K. Marton shows that the joint distribution of a Markov chain with uniformly contracting transition kernels exhibits concentration. We prove an analogous inequality for broadcast models on finite trees. We use this…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-23 Christopher Shriver

Rooted bifurcating trees are mathematical objects used to model evolutionary relationships and arise naturally in both coalescent theory and phylogenetics. Recent numerical representations of tree topologies, known as F-matrices, allow for…

Recursive decision trees are widely used to estimate heterogeneous causal treatment effects in experimental and observational studies. These methods are typically implemented using CART-type recursive partitioning and are often viewed as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Matias D. Cattaneo , Jason M. Klusowski , Ruiqi Rae Yu

We study a class of Markov processes that combine local dynamics, arising from a fixed Markov process, with regenerations arising at a state-dependent rate. We give conditions under which such processes possess a given target distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Andi Q. Wang , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts , David Steinsaltz