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The reconstruction of a species phylogeny from genomic data faces two significant hurdles: 1) the trees describing the evolution of each individual gene--i.e., the gene trees--may differ from the species phylogeny and 2) the molecular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-17 Gautam Dasarathy , Elchanan Mossel , Robert Nowak , Sebastien Roch

The seminal work of Chow and Liu (1968) shows that approximation of a finite probabilistic system by Markov trees can achieve the minimum information loss with the topology of a maximum spanning tree. Our current paper generalizes the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-01-23 Liang Ding , Di Chang , Russell Malmberg , Aaron Martinez , David Robinson , Matthew Wicker , Hongfei Yan , Liming Cai

Consider an information source generating a symbol at the root of a tree network whose links correspond to noisy communication channels, and broadcasting it through the network. We study the problem of reconstructing the transmitted symbol…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Marc Mezard , Andrea Montanari

Several computational problems in phylogenetic reconstruction can be formulated as restrictions of the following general problem: given a formula in conjunctive normal form where the literals are rooted triples, is there a rooted binary…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Manuel Bodirsky , Jens K Mueller

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating the marginal density in some nonlinear autoregressive time series models for which the conditional mean and variance have a parametric specification. Under some regularity conditions, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-31 Lionel Truquet

Rooted phylogenetic networks provide an explicit representation of the evolutionary history of a set $X$ of sampled species. In contrast to phylogenetic trees which show only speciation events, networks can also accommodate reticulate…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Peter L. Erdos , Charles Semple , Mike Steel

A phylogenetic tree shows the evolutionary relationships among species. Internal nodes of the tree represent speciation events and leaf nodes correspond to species. A goal of phylogenetics is to combine such trees into larger trees, called…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-16 Neil C. A. Moore , Patrick Prosser

A weighted recursive tree is an evolving tree in which vertices are assigned random vertex-weights and new vertices connect to a predecessor with a probability proportional to its weight. Here, we study the maximum degree and near-maximum…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Laura Eslava , Bas Lodewijks , Marcel Ortgiese

We consider random recursive trees that are grown via community modulated schemes that involve random attachment or degree based attachment. The aim of this paper is to derive general techniques based on continuous time embedding to study…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Shankar Bhamidi , Ruituo Fan , Nicolas Fraiman , Andrew Nobel

A recurring theme in the least squares approach to phylogenetics has been the discovery of elegant combinatorial formulas for the least squares estimates of edge lengths. These formulas have proved useful for the development of efficient…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Radu Mihaescu , Lior Pachter

We study a variable length Markov chain model associated with a group of stationary processes that share the same context tree but each process has potentially different conditional probabilities. We propose a new model selection and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-01 Alexandre Belloni , Roberto I. Oliveira

Conformal prediction constructs a confidence set for an unobserved response of a feature vector based on previous identically distributed and exchangeable observations of responses and features. It has a coverage guarantee at any nominal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-08 Eugene Ndiaye , Ichiro Takeuchi

Dynamic regression trees are an attractive option for automatic regression and classification with complicated response surfaces in on-line application settings. We create a sequential tree model whose state changes in time with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-23 Matthew A. Taddy , Robert B. Gramacy , Nicholas G. Polson

Two coupled spatial birth-and-death Markov evolutions on $\mathbb{R}^d$ are obtained as unique weak solutions to the associated Fokker-Planck equations. Such solutions are constructed by its associated sequence of correlation functions…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-09 Martin Friesen , Oleksandr Kutoviy

Given natural limitations on the length DNA sequences, designing phylogenetic reconstruction methods which are reliable under limited information is a crucial endeavor. There have been two approaches to this problem: reconstructing partial…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2008-12-10 Radu Mihaescu , Cameron Hill , Satish Rao

We consider the Wright-Fisher model for a population of $N$ individuals, each identified with a sequence of a finite number of sites, and single-crossover recombination between them. We trace back the ancestry of single individuals from the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-24 Ellen Baake , Ute von Wangenheim

This work builds upon the recent monograph [5] on self-similar Markov trees. A self-similar Markov tree is a random real tree equipped with a function from the tree to $[0,\infty)$ that we call the decoration. Here, we construct local time…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Jean Bertoin , Armand Riera , Alejandro Rosales-Ortiz

We classify the possible behaviors of a class of one-dimensional stochastic recurrent growth models. In our main result, we obtain nearly optimal bounds for the tail of hitting times of some compact sets. If the process is an aperiodic…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Etienne Adam

We give a realization of the stable L\'evy forest of a given size conditioned by its mass from the path of the unconditioned forest. Then, we prove an invariance principle for this conditioned forest by considering $k$ independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-19 Loic Chaumont , Juan Carlos Pardo Millan

We provide simplified proofs for the asymptotic distribution of the number of cuts required to cut down a Galton-Watson tree with critical, finite-variance offspring distribution, conditioned to have total progeny $n$. Our proof is based on…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-08 Louigi Addario-Berry , Nicolas Broutin , Cecilia Holmgren