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Related papers: A note on critical Hawkes processes

200 papers

The Hawkes process is a popular point process model for event sequences that exhibit temporal clustering. The intensity process of a Hawkes process consists of two components, the baseline intensity and the accumulated excitation effect due…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-20 Tsz-Kit Jeffrey Kwan , Feng Chen , William Dunsmuir

Let $\left\{ Z_{n},n=0,1,2,...\right\} $ be a critical branching process in random environment and let $\left\{ S_{n},n=0,1,2,...\right\} $ be its associated random walk. It is known that if the increments of this random walk belong…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

Numerous studies grounded on Hawkes processes have been carried out in many fields including finance, biology and social network. Hawkes processes form a class of selfexciting simple point processes. In this article, we consider a general…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Bartholomé Vieille , Rachid Senoussi , Samuel Soubeyrand

We consider a null-recurrent randomly biased walk $\mathbb{X}$ on a Galton-Watson tree in the (sub)-diffusive regime and we prove that properly renormalized, the local time in a critical generation converges in law towards some function of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Alexis Kagan

Let X_0=0, X_1, X_2, ..., be an aperiodic random walk generated by a sequence xi_1, xi_2, ..., of i.i.d. integer-valued random variables with common distribution p(.) having zero mean and finite variance. For an N-step trajectory…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-25 Ostap Hryniv , Yvan Velenik

* ACTIVATED RANDOM WALK MODEL * This is a conservative particle system on the lattice, with a Markovian continuous-time evolution. Active particles perform random walks without interaction, and they may as well change their state to…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-15 Leonardo T. Rolla

Over the past few decades, the Hawkes process has become a popular framework for modeling temporal events thanks to its flexibility to capture different dependency structures. The objective of this work is to model call sequences emitted by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Anna Bonnet , Stéphane Robin

We analyze a class of continuous time random walks in $\mathbb R^d,d\geq 2,$ with uniformly distributed directions. The steps performed by these processes are distributed according to a generalized Dirichlet law. Given the number of changes…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Alessandro De Gregorio

We consider random walks associated with conductances on Delaunay triangulations, Gabriel graphs and skeletons of Voronoi tilings which are generated by point processes in $\mathbb{R}^d$. Under suitable assumptions on point processes and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-03 Arnaud Rousselle

We study a non-reversible random walk advected by the symmetric simple exclusion process, so that the walk has a local drift of opposite sign when sitting atop an occupied or an empty site. We prove that the back-tracking probability of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Guillaume Conchon--Kerjan , Daniel Kious , Pierre-François Rodriguez

We formulate a framework for discrete-time quantum walks, motivated by classical random walks with memory. We present a specific representation of the classical walk with memory 2 on which this is based. The framework has no need for coin…

In this paper, we are interested in the asymptotic behaviour of the sequence of processes $(W_n(s,t))_{s,t\in[0,1]}$ with \begin{equation*} W_n(s,t):=\sum_{k=1}^{\lfloor nt\rfloor}\big(1_{\{\xi_{S_k}\leq s\}}-s\big) \end{equation*} where…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-17 Nadine Guillotin-Plantard , Francoise Pene , Martin Wendler

We prove the sharpness of the phase transition for speed in the biased random walk on the supercritical percolation cluster on Z^d. That is, for each d at least 2, and for any supercritical parameter p > p_c, we prove the existence of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-18 Alexander Fribergh , Alan Hammond

We study a class of interacting nonlinear Hawkes point processes on the integer lattice in which each component is reset after its own jumps. The intensity of a component depends on the post-reset activity of its nearest neighbours, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-14 Branda P. I. Gonçalves , Lucien Mauffret

We present a careful analysis of possible issues on the application of the self-excited Hawkes process to high-frequency financial data. We carefully analyze a set of effects leading to significant biases in the estimation of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-04 Vladimir Filimonov , Didier Sornette

A Galton-Watson branching process with immigration evolving in a random environment is considered. Its associated random walk is assumed to be oscillating. We prove a functional limit theorem in which the process under consideration is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-17 V. I. Afanasyev

The Hawkes process is a self-exciting sample point process. It has wide applications in finance, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. With the development of storage technology, data-driven models are attracting…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-23 Haixu Wang

The decoupled standard random walk is a sequence of independent random variables $(\hat S_n)_{n\geq 1}$, in which $\hat S_n$ has the same distribution as the position at time $n$ of a standard random walk with nonnegative jumps. Denote by…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Congzao Dong , Iryna Feshchenko , Alexander Iksanov

This paper investigates Hawkes processes on the positive real line exhibiting both self-excitation and inhibition. Each point of this point process impacts its future intensity by the addition of a signed reproduction function. The case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Manon Costa , Carl Graham , Laurence Marsalle , Viet Chi Tran

Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in finance, insurance, neuroscience,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Xuefeng Gao , Lingjiong Zhu