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Exponential random graph models are an important tool in the statistical analysis of data. However, Bayesian parameter estimation for these models is extremely challenging, since evaluation of the posterior distribution typically involves…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-05 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

In this paper, we consider the problem of parameter estimating for a family of exponential distributions. We develop the improved estimation method, which generalized the James--Stein approach for a wide class of distributions. The proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-08 S. B. Kologrivova , E. A. Pchelintsev

We consider the problem where M agents collaboratively interact with an instance of a stochastic K-armed contextual bandit, where K>>M. The goal of the agents is to simultaneously minimize the cumulative regret over all the agents over a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-16 Jiabin Lin , Shana Moothedath

Thompson sampling (TS) is widely used in sequential decision making due to its ease of use and appealing empirical performance. However, many existing analytical and empirical results for TS rely on restrictive assumptions on reward…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Amin Karbasi , Nikki Lijing Kuang , Yi-An Ma , Siddharth Mitra

Let $X_{1}=(W_{1},Y_{1}),\ldots,X_{n}=(W_{n},Y_{n})$ be $n$ pairs of independent random variables. We assume that, for each $i\in\{1,\ldots,n\}$, the conditional distribution of $Y_{i}$ given $W_{i}$ belongs to a one-parameter exponential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-15 Juntong Chen

Simultaneously testing $K$ hypotheses while controlling the family-wise error rate is a fundamental problem in statistics. Existing procedures (Bonferroni, Holm, Hochberg, Hommel) provide valid control but sacrifice power, increasingly so…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Prasanjit Dubey , Xiaoming Huo

We study two-layer belief networks of binary random variables in which the conditional probabilities Pr[childlparents] depend monotonically on weighted sums of the parents. In large networks where exact probabilistic inference is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Michael Kearns , Lawrence Saul

There is accumulating evidence in the literature that stability of learning algorithms is a key characteristic that permits a learning algorithm to generalize. Despite various insightful results in this direction, there seems to be an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-10 Karim Abou-Moustafa , Csaba Szepesvari

For a finite set $P$ of points in the plane in general position, a \emph{crossing family} of size $k$ in $P$ is a collection of $k$ line segments with endpoints in $P$ that are pairwise crossing. It is a long-standing open problem to…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Todor Antić , Martin Balko , Birgit Vogtenhuber

We investigate the problem dependent regime in the stochastic Thresholding Bandit problem (TBP) under several shape constraints. In the TBP, the objective of the learner is to output, at the end of a sequential game, the set of arms whose…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-21 James Cheshire , Pierre Ménard , Alexandra Carpentier

In stochastic bandit problems, a Bayesian policy called Thompson sampling (TS) has recently attracted much attention for its excellent empirical performance. However, the theoretical analysis of this policy is difficult and its asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-11 Junya Honda , Akimichi Takemura

Exponential family extensions of principal component analysis (EPCA) have received a considerable amount of attention in recent years, demonstrating the growing need for basic modeling tools that do not assume the squared loss or Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Arto Klami , Seppo Virtanen , Samuel Kaski

Exploration policies in Bayesian bandits maximize the average reward over problem instances drawn from some distribution $\mathcal{P}$. In this work, we learn such policies for an unknown distribution $\mathcal{P}$ using samples from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Craig Boutilier , Chih-Wei Hsu , Branislav Kveton , Martin Mladenov , Csaba Szepesvari , Manzil Zaheer

We introduce squared families, which are families of probability densities obtained by squaring a linear transformation of a statistic. Squared families are singular, however their singularity can easily be handled so that they form regular…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-28 Russell Tsuchida , Jiawei Liu , Cheng Soon Ong , Dino Sejdinovic

Measuring the concentration of random variables is a fundamental concept in probability and statistics. Here, we explore a type of concentration measure for continuous random variables with bounded support and use it to provide a notion of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-06 S. Portnoy , N. Torrado , J. J. P. Veerman

We approach the Generalized Beta (GB) family of distributions using a mean-reverting stochastic differential equation (SDE) for a power of the variable, whose steady-state (stationary) probability density function (PDF) is a modified GB…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-10 Jiong Liu , R. A. Serota

We study a new kind of proximity graphs called proportional-edge proximity catch digraphs (PCDs)in a randomized setting. PCDs are a special kind of random catch digraphs that have been developed recently and have applications in statistical…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-03-30 Elvan Ceyhan

A nonparametric family of conditional distributions is introduced, which generalizes conditional exponential families using functional parameters in a suitable RKHS. An algorithm is provided for learning the generalized natural parameter,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-10 Michael Arbel , Arthur Gretton

This paper develops an optimal Chernoff type bound for the probabilities of large deviations of sums $\sum_{k=1}^n f (X_k)$ where $f$ is a real-valued function and $(X_k)_{k \in \mathbb{Z}_{\ge 0}}$ is a finite state Markov chain with an…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Vrettos Moulos , Venkat Anantharam

We study a general factor analysis framework where the $n$-by-$p$ data matrix is assumed to follow a general exponential family distribution entry-wise. While this model framework has been proposed before, we here further relax its…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Liang Wang , Luis Carvalho
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