English

Optimal multiple testing under family-wise error control: elementary symmetric polynomials and a scalable algorithm

Methodology 2026-04-14 v1 Computation

Abstract

Simultaneously testing KK hypotheses while controlling the family-wise error rate is a fundamental problem in statistics. Existing procedures (Bonferroni, Holm, Hochberg, Hommel) provide valid control but sacrifice power, increasingly so as KK grows, because they base decisions on marginal pp-value ranks rather than the joint likelihood. Rosset et al. (2022) formulated the most powerful family-wise-error-rate-controlling test as a dual program and proved the existence of an optimal dual vector μ\mu^*, but left its computation as an open problem. We solve this problem for KK exchangeable hypotheses. The key insight is that the family-wise error rate constraint coefficients bl,k(u)b_{l,k}(\vec{u}) admit closed-form expressions through elementary symmetric polynomials of the likelihood-ratio values g(u1),,g(uK)g(u_1), \ldots, g(u_K). This algebraic structure implies a global monotonicity theorem: the target functions Fγ(μ)=FWERγ(Dμ)F_\gamma(\mu) = {\rm FWER}_\gamma(\vec{D}^\mu) are simultaneously non-increasing in every component of μ\mu, for arbitrary KK, which guarantees unique coordinate-wise roots and enables a bisection-based coordinate-descent algorithm with O(logε1)O(\log \varepsilon^{-1}) convergence rate. The relative power gain over Hommel's method grows from 15\% at K=3K{=}3 to 84\% at K=12K{=}12. Applications to replication studies, a clinical trial, and a replicability assessment illustrate both the power gains and the role of the exchangeability assumption.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2604.10986,
  title  = {Optimal multiple testing under family-wise error control: elementary symmetric polynomials and a scalable algorithm},
  author = {Prasanjit Dubey and Xiaoming Huo},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2604.10986},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T12:05:35.650Z