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A fundamental challenge in probabilistic modeling is to balance expressivity and inference efficiency. Tractable probabilistic models (TPMs) aim to directly address this tradeoff by imposing constraints that guarantee efficient inference of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-28 John Leland , YooJung Choi

Large-margin classifiers are popular methods for classification. We derive the asymptotic expression for the generalization error of a family of large-margin classifiers in the limit of both sample size $n$ and dimension $p$ going to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-02 Hanwen Huang , Qinglong Yang

In random parameter estimation, Bayesian lower bounds (BLBs) for the mean-square error have been noticed to not be tight in a number of cases, even when the sample size, or the signal-to-noise ratio, grow to infinity. In this paper, we…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-24 Lucien Bacharach , Carsten Fritsche , Umut Orguner , Eric Chaumette

Uncertainty estimation in deep models is essential in many real-world applications and has benefited from developments over the last several years. Recent evidence suggests that existing solutions dependent on simple Gaussian formulations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Jurijs Nazarovs , Ronak R. Mehta , Vishnu Suresh Lokhande , Vikas Singh

Bayesian learning has been recently considered as an effective means of accounting for uncertainty in trained deep network parameters. This is of crucial importance when dealing with small or sparse training datasets. On the other hand,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-13 Harris Partaourides , Sotirios Chatzis

In the Best-$K$ identification problem (Best-$K$-Arm), we are given $N$ stochastic bandit arms with unknown reward distributions. Our goal is to identify the $K$ arms with the largest means with high confidence, by drawing samples from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-22 Haotian Jiang , Jian Li , Mingda Qiao

In this paper we study approximations for boundary crossing probabilities for the moving sums of i.i.d. normal random variables. We propose approximating a discrete time problem with a continuous time problem allowing us to apply developed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Jack Noonan , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

In this paper, we investigate the distribution of the maximum of partial sums of certain cubic exponential sums, commonly known as "Birch sums". Our main theorem gives upper and lower bounds (of nearly the same order of magnitude) for the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Youness Lamzouri

We consider a priori generalization bounds developed in terms of cross-validation estimates and the stability of learners. In particular, we first derive an exponential Efron-Stein type tail inequality for the concentration of a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-20 Karim Abou-Moustafa , Csaba Szepesvari

The aim of this paper, is to define a bivariate exponentiated generalized linear exponential distribution based on Marshall-Olkin shock model. Statistical and reliability properties of this distribution are discussed. This includes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-03 Mohamed Ibrahim , M. S. Eliwa , M. El- Morshedy

We establish a strong Gaussian approximation for high-dimensional non-degenerate U-statistics with diverging dimension. Under mild assumptions, we construct, on a sufficiently rich probability space, a Gaussian process that uniformly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Weijia Li , Leheng Cai , Qirui Hu

Invariant ensemble, which are characterised by the joint distribution of eigenvalues $P(\lambda_1,\ldots,\lambda_N)$, play a central role in random matrix theory. We consider the truncated linear statistics $L_K = \sum_{n=1}^K f(\lambda_n)$…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-09 Aurélien Grabsch

We develop a framework for the operationalization of models and parameters by combining de Finetti's representation theorem with a conditional form of Sanov's theorem. This synthesis, the tilted de Finetti theorem, shows that conditioning…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Nicholas G. Polson , Daniel Zantedeschi

We consider a kernelized bandit problem with a compact arm set ${X} \subset \mathbb{R}^d $ and a fixed but unknown reward function $f^*$ with a finite norm in some Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS). We propose a class of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Bingshan Hu , Zheng He , Danica J. Sutherland

We study a family of distributions that arise in critical unitary random matrix ensembles. They are expressed as Fredholm determinants and describe the limiting distribution of the largest eigenvalue when the dimension of the random…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-11-16 Tom Claeys , Sheehan Olver

Bandits with Knapsacks (BwK), the generalization of the Bandits problem under global budget constraints, has received a lot of attention in recent years. Previous work has focused on one of the two extremes: Stochastic BwK where the rewards…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Giannis Fikioris , Éva Tardos

Flexible Bayesian models are typically constructed using limits of large parametric models with a multitude of parameters that are often uninterpretable. In this article, we offer a novel alternative by constructing an exponentially tilted…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Abhisek Chakraborty , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

In the multiarmed bandit problem a gambler chooses an arm of a slot machine to pull considering a tradeoff between exploration and exploitation. We study the stochastic bandit problem where each arm has a reward distribution supported in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-29 Junya Honda , Akimichi Takemura

We investigate stochastic combinatorial multi-armed bandit with semi-bandit feedback (CMAB). In CMAB, the question of the existence of an efficient policy with an optimal asymptotic regret (up to a factor poly-logarithmic with the action…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-05 Pierre Perrault , Etienne Boursier , Vianney Perchet , Michal Valko

We consider the problem of predicting as well as the best linear combination of d given functions in least squares regression under L^\infty constraints on the linear combination. When the input distribution is known, there already exists…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-14 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni
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