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We consider the problem of inference on the signs of $n>1$ parameters. We aim to provide $1-\alpha$ post-hoc confidence bounds on the number of positive and negative (or non-positive) parameters. The guarantee is simultaneous, for all…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-05 Ruth Heller , Aldo Solari

When many (m) null hypotheses are tested with a single dataset, the control of the number of false rejections is often the principal consideration. Two popular controlling rates are the probability of making at least one false discovery…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-11 Djalel Eddine Meskaldji , Jean-Philippe Thiran , Stephan Morgenthaler

Platform trials evaluate multiple experimental treatments under a single master protocol, where new treatment arms are added to the trial over time. Given the multiple treatment comparisons, there is the potential for inflation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-09 David S. Robertson , James M. S. Wason , Franz König , Martin Posch , Thomas Jaki

Many modern applications require using data to select the statistical tasks and make valid inference after selection. In this article, we provide a unifying approach to control for a class of selective risks. Our method is motivated by a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-11 Zijun Gao , Wenjie Hu , Qingyuan Zhao

The higher criticism of a family of tests starts with the individual uncorrected p-values of each test. It then requires a procedure for deciding whether the collection of p-values indicates the presence of a real effect and if possible…

Conjoint analysis is a popular experimental design used to measure multidimensional preferences. Researchers examine how varying a factor of interest, while controlling for other relevant factors, influences decision-making. Currently,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-20 Dae Woong Ham , Kosuke Imai , Lucas Janson

Establishing the frequentist properties of Bayesian approaches widens their appeal and offers new understanding. In hypothesis testing, Bayesian model averaging addresses the problem that conclusions are sensitive to variable selection. But…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Helen R. Fryer , Nicolas Arning , Daniel J. Wilson

Selective inference (post-selection inference) is a methodology that has attracted much attention in recent years in the fields of statistics and machine learning. Naive inference based on data that are also used for model selection tends…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-25 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya , Yuta Umezu , Ichiro Takeuchi

Based on the work of Romano and Shaikh (2006) and Lehmann and Romano (2005) we give a sufficient criterion for controlling generalised error rates for arbitrarily dependent p-values. This criterion is formulated in terms of matrices…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-16 Sebastian Döhler

We apply multiple testing procedures to the validation of estimated default probabilities in credit rating systems. The goal is to identify rating classes for which the probability of default is estimated inaccurately, while still…

Applications · Statistics 2010-06-28 Sebastian Döhler

We introduce a new multiple type I error criterion for clinical trials with multiple populations. Such trials are of interest in precision medicine where the goal is to develop treatments that are targeted to specific sub-populations…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-05 Werner Brannath , Charlie Hillner , Kornelius Rohmeyer

Missing data are often dealt with multiple imputation. A crucial part of the multiple imputation process is selecting sensible models to generate plausible values for incomplete data. A method based on posterior predictive checking is…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-14 Mingyang Cai , Stef van Buuren , Gerko Vink

This paper tackles the challenge of performing multiple quantile regressions across different quantile levels and the associated problem of controlling the familywise error rate, an issue that is generally overlooked in practice. We propose…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Riccardo De Santis , Anna Vesely , Angela Andreella

In a high dimensional multiple testing framework, we present new confidence bounds on the false positives contained in subsets S of selected null hypotheses. The coverage probability holds simultaneously over all subsets S, which means that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-20 Guillermo Durand , Gilles Blanchard , Pierre Neuvial , Etienne Roquain

Multiple hypothesis testing is a significant problem in nearly all neuroimaging studies. In order to correct for this phenomena, we require a reliable estimate of the Family-Wise Error Rate (FWER). The well known Bonferroni correction…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-17 Chris Hinrichs , Vamsi K Ithapu , Qinyuan Sun , Sterling C Johnson , Vikas Singh

Identifying the most powerful test in multiple hypothesis testing under strong family-wise error rate (FWER) control is a fundamental problem in statistical methodology. State-of-the-art approaches formulate this as a constrained…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Prasanjit Dubey , Xiaoming Huo

We address the multiple testing problem under the assumption that the true/false hypotheses are driven by a Hidden Markov Model (HMM), which is recognized as a fundamental setting to model multiple testing under dependence since the seminal…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-04 Marie Perrot-Dockès , Gilles Blanchard , Pierre Neuvial , Etienne Roquain

We derive inferential procedures for large sample sizes that remain valid under data-dependent significance levels (so-called "post-hoc valid inference"). Classical statistical tools require that the significance level -- the "type-I error"…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Ben Chugg , Etienne Gauthier , Michael I. Jordan , Aaditya Ramdas , Ian Waudby-Smith

Modern data analysis frequently involves large-scale hypothesis testing, which naturally gives rise to the problem of maintaining control of a suitable type I error rate, such as the false discovery rate (FDR). In many biomedical and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-25 David S. Robertson , James M. S. Wason , Aaditya Ramdas

This paper proposes a novel testing procedure for selecting a sparse set of covariates that explains a large dimensional panel. Our selection method provides correct false detection control while having higher power than existing…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-09 Markus Pelger , Jiacheng Zou
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