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While generative models, especially large language models (LLMs), are ubiquitous in today's world, principled mechanisms to assess their (in)correctness are limited. Using the conformal prediction framework, previous works construct sets of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-02 Guneet S. Dhillon , Javier González , Teodora Pandeva , Alicia Curth

When testing many hypotheses, often we do not have strong expectations about the directions of the effects. In some situations however, the alternative hypotheses are that the parameters lie in a certain direction or interval, and it is in…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Jesse Hemerik

Modern biomedical research frequently involves testing multiple related hypotheses, while maintaining control over a suitable error rate. In many applications the false discovery rate (FDR), which is the expected proportion of false…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-27 David S. Robertson , James M. S. Wason

The synthetic control method is often applied to problems with one treated unit and a small number of control units. A common inferential task in this setting is to test null hypotheses regarding the average treatment effect on the treated.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Lihua Lei , Timothy Sudijono

We propose an evaluation framework for class probability estimates (CPEs) in the presence of label uncertainty, which is commonly observed as diagnosis disagreement between experts in the medical domain. We also formalize evaluation metrics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-23 Takahiro Mimori , Keiko Sasada , Hirotaka Matsui , Issei Sato

There has been a misconception that only one type of error rate control is necessary in clinical trials, leading to debates over whether to prioritize Familywise Error Rate (FWER) or False Discovery Rate (FDR). This misconception has led to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Xinping Cui , Emily Ouyang , Yi Liu , Jingjing Yan Schneider , Hong Tian , Bushi Wang , Jason C. Hsu

Despite the popularity of the false discovery rate (FDR) as an error control metric for large-scale multiple testing, its close Bayesian counterpart the local false discovery rate (lfdr), defined as the posterior probability that a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-22 Jake A. Soloff , Daniel Xiang , William Fithian

Recently, recommender systems have been able to emit substantially improved recommendations by leveraging user-provided reviews. Existing methods typically merge all reviews of a given user or item into a long document, and then process…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Xin Dong , Jingchao Ni , Wei Cheng , Zhengzhang Chen , Bo Zong , Dongjin Song , Yanchi Liu , Haifeng Chen , Gerard de Melo

Hypothesis test plays a key role in uncertain statistics based on uncertain measure. This paper extends the parametric hypothesis of a single uncertain population to multiple cases, thereby addressing a broader range of scenarios. First, an…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-03 Fan Zhang , Zhiming Li

The cluster mass test has been widely used for massively univariate tests in M/EEG, fMRI and, recently, pupillometry analysis. It is a powerful method for detecting effects while controlling weakly the family-wise error rate (FWER),…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-08 Jaromil Frossard , Olivier Renaud

We consider the problem of multiple hypothesis testing with generic side information: for each hypothesis $H_i$ we observe both a p-value $p_i$ and some predictor $x_i$ encoding contextual information about the hypothesis. For large-scale…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-26 Lihua Lei , William Fithian

We propose new simultaneous inference methods for diagnostic trials with elaborate factorial designs. Instead of the commonly used total area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, our parameters of interest are partial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-22 Maximilian Wechsung , Frank Konietschke

While fiducial inference was widely considered a big blunder by R.A. Fisher, the goal he initially set --`inferring the uncertainty of model parameters on the basis of observations' -- has been continually pursued by many statisticians. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-01 Faming Liang , Sehwan Kim , Yan Sun

Response-adaptive randomization allows the probabilities of allocating patients to treatments in a clinical trial to change based on the previously observed response data, in order to achieve different experimental goals. One concern over…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-13 Ekkehard Glimm , David Robertson

The double hypothesis test (DHT) is a test that allows controlling Type I (producer) and Type II (consumer) errors. It is possible to say whether the batch has a defect rate, p, between 1.5 and 2%, or between 2 and 5%, or between 5 and 10%,…

Multivariate meta-analysis is gaining prominence in evidence synthesis research because it enables simultaneous synthesis of multiple correlated outcome data, and random-effects models have generally been used for addressing between-studies…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-14 Hisashi Noma , Kengo Nagashima , Toshi A. Furukawa

Learning to infer Bayesian posterior from a few-shot dataset is an important step towards robust meta-learning due to the model uncertainty inherent in the problem. In this paper, we propose a novel Bayesian model-agnostic meta-learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Taesup Kim , Jaesik Yoon , Ousmane Dia , Sungwoong Kim , Yoshua Bengio , Sungjin Ahn

In genome-wide association (GWA) studies the goal is to detect association between one or more genetic markers and a given phenotype. The number of genetic markers in a GWA study can be in the order hundreds of thousands and therefore…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-22 Kari Krizak Halle , Srdjan Djurovic , Ole Andreas Andreassen , Mette Langaas

In this paper, we use the results in Andrews and Cheng (2012), extended to allow for parameters to be near or at the boundary of the parameter space, to derive the asymptotic distributions of the two test statistics that are used in the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-21 Philipp Ketz

The problem of joint sequential detection and isolation is considered in the context of multiple, not necessarily independent, data streams. A multiple testing framework is proposed, where each hypothesis corresponds to a different subset…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Anamitra Chaudhuri , Georgios Fellouris
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