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Modern machine learning models (such as deep neural networks and boosting decision tree models) have become increasingly popular in financial market prediction, due to their superior capacity to extract complex non-linear patterns. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Chuheng Zhang , Yuanqi Li , Xi Chen , Yifei Jin , Pingzhong Tang , Jian Li

Deep neural networks has been increasingly applied in fault diagnostics, where it uses historical data to capture systems behavior, bypassing the need for high-fidelity physical models. However, despite their competence in prediction tasks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Arman Mohammadi , Mattias Krysander , Daniel Jung , Erik Frisk

We address unsupervised dependency parsing by building an ensemble of diverse existing models through post hoc aggregation of their output dependency parse structures. We observe that these ensembles often suffer from low robustness against…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Behzad Shayegh , Hobie H. -B. Lee , Xiaodan Zhu , Jackie Chi Kit Cheung , Lili Mou

Deep neural networks have achieved substantial achievements in several computer vision areas, but have vulnerabilities that are often fooled by adversarial examples that are not recognized by humans. This is an important issue for security…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-29 Hakmin Lee , Hong Joo Lee , Seong Tae Kim , Yong Man Ro

Ensembling is a popular method used to improve performance as a last resort. However, ensembling multiple models finetuned from a single pretrained model has been not very effective; this could be due to the lack of diversity among ensemble…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Sosuke Kobayashi , Shun Kiyono , Jun Suzuki , Kentaro Inui

Neural network ensembles is a simple yet effective approach for enhancing generalization capabilities. The most common method involves independently training multiple neural networks initialized with different weights and then averaging…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Shunsuke Sakai , Shunsuke Tsuge , Tatsuhito Hasegawa

Ensembling is now recognized as an effective approach for increasing the predictive performance and calibration of deep networks. We introduce a new approach, Parameter Ensembling by Perturbation (PEP), that constructs an ensemble of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Alireza Mehrtash , Purang Abolmaesumi , Polina Golland , Tina Kapur , Demian Wassermann , William M. Wells

In this paper, we approach the problem of uncertainty quantification in deep learning through a predictive framework, which captures uncertainty in model parameters by specifying our assumptions about the predictive distribution of unseen…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-20 Luhuan Wu , Sinead Williamson

This paper investigates novel classifier ensemble techniques for uncertainty calibration applied to various deep neural networks for image classification. We evaluate both accuracy and calibration metrics, focusing on Expected Calibration…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Michael Schulze , Nikolas Ebert , Laurenz Reichardt , Oliver Wasenmüller

We present a method for making neural network predictions robust to shifts from the training data distribution. The proposed method is based on making predictions via a diverse set of cues (called 'middle domains') and ensembling them into…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-06 Teresa Yeo , Oğuzhan Fatih Kar , Alexander Sax , Amir Zamir

Modern neural networks do not always produce well-calibrated predictions, even when trained with a proper scoring function such as cross-entropy. In classification settings, simple methods such as isotonic regression or temperature scaling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Steven Reich , David Mueller , Nicholas Andrews

Software testing is one of the important ways to ensure the quality of software. It is found that testing cost more than 50% of overall project cost. Effective and efficient software testing utilizes the minimum resources of software.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Ali Nawaz , Attique Ur Rehman , Muhammad Abbas

Numerous real-world decisions rely on machine learning algorithms and require calibrated uncertainty estimates. However, modern methods often yield overconfident, uncalibrated predictions. The dominant approach to quantifying the…

Temporal Ensembling is a semi-supervised approach that allows training deep neural network models with a small number of labeled images. In this paper, we present our preliminary study on the effect of intraclass variability on temporal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-24 Siddharth Vohra , Manikandan Ravikiran

Deep neural networks have enhanced the performance of decision making systems in many applications including image understanding, and further gains can be achieved by constructing ensembles. However, designing an ensemble of deep networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Sara Atito Ali Ahmed , Cemre Zor , Berrin Yanikoglu , Muhammad Awais , Josef Kittler

In recent years, machine learning and deep learning have become popular methods for financial data analysis, including financial textual data, numerical data, and graphical data. This paper proposes to use sentiment analysis to extract…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-27 Yang Li , Yi Pan

State-of-the-art Deep Neural Networks can be easily fooled into providing incorrect high-confidence predictions for images with small amounts of adversarial noise. Does this expose a flaw with deep neural networks, or do we simply need a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-07-25 Akshayvarun Subramanya , Suraj Srinivas , R. Venkatesh Babu

Ensembling in deep learning improves accuracy and calibration over single networks. The traditional aggregation approach, ensemble averaging, treats all individual networks equally by averaging their outputs. Inspired by crowdsourcing we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Danil Kuzin , Olga Isupova , Steven Reece , Brooke D Simmons

Deep neural network (DNN) models are known to be vulnerable to maliciously crafted adversarial examples and to out-of-distribution inputs drawn sufficiently far away from the training data. How to protect a machine learning model against…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Wenqi Wei , Ling Liu

Ensembles are a straightforward, remarkably effective method for improving the accuracy,calibration, and robustness of models on classification tasks; yet, the reasons that underlie their success remain an active area of research. We build…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Neha Gupta , Jamie Smith , Ben Adlam , Zelda Mariet