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Modern deep neural networks can produce badly calibrated predictions, especially when train and test distributions are mismatched. Training an ensemble of models and averaging their predictions can help alleviate these issues. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Asa Cooper Stickland , Iain Murray

While deep ensembles are widely considered to be the default method for uncertainty quantification in deep learning, their effectiveness for graph-structured data is often simply assumed based on successes in domains like computer vision.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Pedro C. Vieira , Pedro Ribeiro , Viacheslav Borovitskiy

Despite deep neural network (DNN)'s impressive prediction performance in various domains, it is well known now that a set of DNN models trained with the same model specification and the same data can produce very different prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-18 Zhe Chen , Yuyan Wang , Dong Lin , Derek Zhiyuan Cheng , Lichan Hong , Ed H. Chi , Claire Cui

Ensemble Learning methods combine multiple algorithms performing the same task to build a group with superior quality. These systems are well adapted to the distributed setup, where each peer or machine of the network hosts one algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Gaëlle Candel , David Naccache

Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method that constructs a prediction set for a previously unseen datum, ensuring the true label is included with a predetermined coverage probability. Adaptive conformal prediction has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

In this paper, we present a simple and efficient method for training deep neural networks in a semi-supervised setting where only a small portion of training data is labeled. We introduce self-ensembling, where we form a consensus…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-03-16 Samuli Laine , Timo Aila

Intelligence relies on an agent's knowledge of what it does not know. This capability can be assessed based on the quality of joint predictions of labels across multiple inputs. In principle, ensemble-based approaches produce effective…

For many practical, high-risk applications, it is essential to quantify uncertainty in a model's predictions to avoid costly mistakes. While predictive uncertainty is widely studied for neural networks, the topic seems to be under-explored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-05 Andrey Malinin , Liudmila Prokhorenkova , Aleksei Ustimenko

A reliable uncertainty estimator is a key ingredient in the successful use of machine-learning force fields for predictive calculations. Important considerations are correlation with error, overhead during training and inference, and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-06-07 Jesús Carrete , Hadrián Montes-Campos , Ralf Wanzenböck , Esther Heid , Georg K. H. Madsen

Neural network ensembles have been effectively used to improve generalization by combining the predictions of multiple independently trained models. However, the growing scale and complexity of deep neural networks have led to these methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Tim Whitaker

This work considers the trade-off between accuracy and test-time computational cost of deep neural networks (DNNs) via \emph{anytime} predictions from auxiliary predictions. Specifically, we optimize auxiliary losses jointly in an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-28 Hanzhang Hu , Debadeepta Dey , Martial Hebert , J. Andrew Bagnell

Existing work on understanding deep learning often employs measures that compress all data-dependent information into a few numbers. In this work, we adopt a perspective based on the role of individual examples. We introduce a measure of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Robert J. N. Baldock , Hartmut Maennel , Behnam Neyshabur

Deep learning based approaches have achieved significant progresses in different tasks like classification, detection, segmentation, and so on. Ensemble learning is widely known to further improve performance by combining multiple…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-05-17 Danlu Chen , Xu-Yao Zhang , Wei Zhang , Yao Lu , Xiuli Li , Tao Mei

Neural networks have proven successful at learning from complex data distributions by acting as universal function approximators. However, they are often overconfident in their predictions, which leads to inaccurate and miscalibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Jeffrey Willette , Juho Lee , Sung Ju Hwang

Model ensembling is a technique to combine the predicted distributions of two or more models, often leading to improved robustness and performance. For ensembling in text generation, the next token's probability distribution is derived from…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Rachel Wicks , Kartik Ravisankar , Xinchen Yang , Philipp Koehn , Matt Post

Uncertainty estimation in deep learning has become a leading research field in medical image analysis due to the need for safe utilisation of AI algorithms in clinical practice. Most approaches for uncertainty estimation require sampling…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-12 Kaisar Kushibar , Víctor Manuel Campello , Lidia Garrucho Moras , Akis Linardos , Petia Radeva , Karim Lekadir

By distributing the training process, local approximation reduces the cost of the standard Gaussian Process. An ensemble technique combines local predictions from Gaussian experts trained on different partitions of the data. Ensemble…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Hamed Jalali , Gjergji Kasneci

Ensembling multiple Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) is a simple and effective way to improve top-line metrics and to outperform a larger single model. In this work, we go beyond top-line metrics and instead explore the impact of ensembling on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-22 Wei-Yin Ko , Daniel D'souza , Karina Nguyen , Randall Balestriero , Sara Hooker

With the growing adoption of deep learning models in different real-world domains, including computational biology, it is often necessary to understand which data features are essential for the model's decision. Despite extensive recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Prashnna K Gyawali , Xiaoxia Liu , James Zou , Zihuai He

Emulator embedded neural networks, which are a type of physics informed neural network, leverage multi-fidelity data sources for efficient design exploration of aerospace engineering systems. Multiple realizations of the neural network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-14 Atticus Beachy , Harok Bae , Jose Camberos , Ramana Grandhi
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