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We discuss an extension of the fluctuation theorem to stochastic models that, in the limit of zero external drive, are not able to equilibrate with their environment, extending results presented by Sellitto (cond-mat/9809186). We show that…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 F. Zamponi , F. Bonetto , L. F. Cugliandolo , J. Kurchan

Climate change is one of the most significant global challenges, yet misconceptions persist regarding its causes and impact. This report addresses common myths surrounding climate change and presents scientific evidence to clarify its…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-17 Sihua Lu

We study low--temperature non Gaussian thermal fluctuations of a system of classical particles around a (hypothetical) crystalline ground state. These thermal fluctuations are described by the behaviour of a system of long range interacting…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Sergio Albeverio , Roman Gielerak , Helge Holden , Torbjørn Kolsrud , Mohammed Mebkhout

A generalized fluctuation-response relation is found for thermal systems driven out of equilibrium. Its derivation is independent of many details of the dynamics, which is only required to be first-order. The result gives a correction to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-07-12 Marco Baiesi , Christian Maes , Bram Wynants

We argue that specific fluctuations observed in high-energy nuclear collisions can be attributed to intrinsic fluctuations of temperature of the hadronizing system formed in such processes and therefore can be described by the same…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2011-11-28 Grzegorz Wilk , Zbigniew Wlodarczyk

In recent years, the climate change research community has become highly interested in describing the anthropogenic influence on extreme weather events, commonly termed "event attribution." Limitations in the observational record and in…

The modeling of spatio-temporal trends in temperature extremes can help better understand the structure and frequency of heatwaves in a changing climate. Here, we study annual temperature maxima over Southern Europe using a century-spanning…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-08 Peng Zhong , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz

With the success of machine learning (ML) applied to climate reaching further every day, emulators have begun to show promise not only for weather but for multi-year time scales in the atmosphere. Similar work for the ocean remains nascent,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-05 Surya Dheeshjith , Adam Subel , Shubham Gupta , Alistair Adcroft , Carlos Fernandez-Granda , Julius Busecke , Laure Zanna

In thermal equilibrium, the fluctuation-dissipation theorem relates the linear response and correlation functions in a model and observable independent fashion. Out of equilibrium, these relations still hold if the equilibrium temperature…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-23 T. S. Bortolin , A. Iucci

Fluctuations of energy and heat are investigated during the relaxation following the instantaneous temperature quench of an extended system. Results are obtained analytically for the Gaussian model and for the large $N$ model quenched below…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 M. Zannetti , F. Corberi , G. Gonnella , A. Piscitelli

Record-breaking temperature events are now frequently in the news, proffered as evidence of climate change, and often bring significant economic and human impacts. Our previous work undertook the first substantial spatial modelling…

A set of idealized experiments are performed to analyze the competing effects of declining atmospheric CO2 concentrations, the opening of an ocean gateway, and varying orbital parameters. These forcing mechanisms, which influence the global…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-02-04 Eileen Hertwig , Frank Lunkeit , Klaus Fraedrich

The Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity has received much attention because of its relevance and importance for global warming policymaking. This paper focuses on the Earth's \emph{thermal inertia time scale} which has received…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-07-26 B. S. H. Royce , S. H. Lam

The warm inflation scenario is an alternative mechanism which can explain the isotropic and homogeneous Universe which we are living in. In this work I extend a previously introduced formalism, without the restriction of slow - roll regime.…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-10-31 Mauricio Bellini

The temporal fluctuations in global mean surface temperature is an example of a geophysical quantity which can be described using the notions of long-range persistence and scale invariance/scaling, but this description has suffered from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-10-11 Hege-Beate Fredriksen , Martin Rypdal

A few decades after Hill's work on nano-thermodynamics, the development of a thermodynamic framework, to account consistently for the fluctuations of small systems due to their interactions with the surrounding environment, is still…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-23 Salvatore Calabrese , Lamberto Rondoni , Amilcare Porporato

Temperature Modulated calorimetry is widely used but still raises some fundamental questions. In this paper we study a model system as a test sample to address some of them. The model has a nontrivial spectrum of relaxation times. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-04-04 Jean-Luc Garden , Michel Peyrard

The past twenty years have seen a resurgence of interest in nonequilibrium thermodynamics, thanks to advances in the theory of stochastic processes and in their thermodynamic interpretation. Fluctuation theorems provide fundamental…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-11-16 Robert Marsland , Jeremy England

This study investigates temporal variability in U.S. climate using harmonic decomposition techniques, specifically Fourier and wavelet transforms. Monthly temperature, precipitation, and drought index data from the National Oceanic and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-13 Thomas Xiao

Multiple changes in Earth's climate system have been observed over the past decades. Determining how likely each of these changes are to have been caused by human influence, is important for decision making on mitigation and adaptation…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-01 Alexis Hannart , Philippe Naveau