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Mean-field models approximate large stochastic systems by simpler differential equations that are supposed to approximate the mean of the larger system. It is generally assumed that as the stochastic systems get larger (i.e., more people or…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Benjamin Armbruster

Let $\mathbb{F}_q$ be the finite field of order $q$, and $\mathcal{A}$ a non-empty proper subset of $\mathbb{F}_q$. Let $\mathbf{M}$ be a random $m \times n$ matrix of rank $r$ over $\mathbb{F}_q$ taken with uniform distribution. It was…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Chin Hei Chan , Maosheng Xiong

We give some rates of convergence in the distances of Kolmogorov and Wasserstein for standardized martingales with differences having finite variances. For the Kolmogorov distances, we present some exact Berry-Esseen bounds for martingales,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-18 Xiequan Fan , Zhonggen Su

We develop a calculus of space-time controlled fields for rough stochastic systems. This approach provides a unified composition rule for evaluating random fields along rough semimartingales and yields a rough stochastic It\^o-Wentzell…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Jannis R. Dause , Peter K. Friz , Arnulf Jentzen , Jian Song

We build on the recent techniques of Codogni and Patakfalvi, from \cite{Codogni:Patakfalvi:2021}, which were used to establish theorems about semi-positivity of the Chow Mumford line bundles for families of $\K$-semistable Fano varieties.…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2022-06-13 Nathan Grieve

In arXiv:1004.1407, Flandoli, Gubinelli, and Priola proposed a stochastic variant of the classical point vortex system of Helmholtz and Kirchoff in which multiplicative noise of transport-type is added to the dynamics. An open problem in…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Matthew Rosenzweig

In the paper we consider Lamperti type theorems for random fields. Together with known results we present some new results on ${\mathbb R}^m$-valued self-similar fields $\{{\bf X} ({\bf t}), \ {\bf t} \in {\mathbb R}^d \}$, their domains of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-02 Youri Davydov , Vygantas Paulauskas

We consider a real random variable X represented through a random pair of real random variables (R,T) and a deterministic function u as X=Ru(T). Under some additional assumptions, we prove a limit theorem for (R,T) given X>x, as x tends to…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Ph. Barbe , Miriam Isabel Seifert

We study some sufficient conditions imposed on the sequence of martingale differences (m.d.) in the separable Banach spaces of continuous functions defined on the metric compact set for the Central Limit Theorem in this space. We taking…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-11 L. Sirota

We study limit theorems in the context of random perturbations of dispersing billiards in finite and infinite measure. In the context of a planar periodic Lorentz gas with finite horizon, we consider random perturbations in the form of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Mark F. Demers , Francoise Pene , Hong-Kun Zhang

We use martingale embeddings to prove a central limit theorem (CLT) for one-dimensional projections of high-dimensional random vectors in $\{-1,1\}^n$ satisfying a Poincar\'e inequality. We obtain a non-asymptotic error bound involving…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Xiao Fang , Yang Xie , Yi-Kun Zhao

From the perspective of expectations of randomly stopped sums, Wald's equation and the Optional Sampling Theorem identify situations in which the stopping time can be decoupled from the stopping place, acting as if the two were independent.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Michael J. Klass , Victor H. de la Pena

We introduce the first probabilistic framework tailored for sequential random projection, an approach rooted in the challenges of sequential decision-making under uncertainty. The analysis is complicated by the sequential dependence and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Yingru Li

In continuous time, the laws of martingales tend to be singular to each other. Notably, N. Gantert introduced the concept of specific relative entropy between real-valued continuous martingales, defined as a scaling limit of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-19 Julio Backhoff , Edoardo Kimani Bellotto

Strassen's classical martingale coupling theorem states that two real-valued random variables are ordered in the convex (resp.\ increasing convex) stochastic order if and only if they admit a martingale (resp.\ submartingale) coupling. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-11 Lasse Leskelä , Matti Vihola

De Moivre (1733), investigating the limit distribution of the binomial distribution, was the first to discover the existence of the normal distribution and the central limit theorem. In this review article, we briefly recall the history of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-31 Vladimir V. Ulyanov

The martingale posterior framework is a generalization of Bayesian inference where one elicits a sequence of one-step ahead predictive densities instead of the likelihood and prior. Posterior sampling then involves the imputation of unseen…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Edwin Fong , Andrew Yiu

In this paper we develop tools for studying limit theorems by means of convexity. We establish bounds for the discrepancy in total variation between probability measures $\mu$ and $\nu$ such that $\nu$ is log-concave with respect to $\mu$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Arturo Jaramillo , James Melbourne

We study dynamical systems arising as time-dependent compositions of Pomeau-Manneville-type intermittent maps. We establish central limit theorems for appropriately scaled and centered Birkhoff-like partial sums, with estimates on the rate…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-14 Olli Hella , Juho Leppänen

Adaptive randomized experiments update treatment probabilities as data accrue, but still require an end-of-study interval for the average treatment effect (ATE) at a prespecified horizon. Under adaptive assignment, propensities can keep…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Gabriel Saco
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