English
Related papers

Related papers: Analyzing a stochastic process driven by Ornstein-…

200 papers

We consider a transformed Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process model that can be a good candidate for modelling real-life processes characterized by a combination of time-reverting behaviour with heavy distribution tails. We begin with presenting the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-01 K. Borovkov , G. Decrouez

Given the observation of a high-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process in continuous time, we proceed to the inference of the drift parameter under a row-sparsity assumption. Towards that aim, we consider the negative log-likelihood of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-12 Stéphane Gaïffas , Gustaw Matulewicz

We present a simulation methodology for Bayesian estimation of rate parameters in Markov jump processes arising for example in stochastic kinetic models. To handle the problem of missing components and measurement errors in observed data,…

Computation · Statistics 2010-09-01 Michael Amrein , Hans R. Kuensch

This work proposes a general framework for capturing noise-driven transitions in spatially extended non-equilibrium systems and explains the emergence of coherent patterns beyond the instability onset. The framework relies on stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams

We develop a Bayesian inference method for diffusions observed discretely and with noise, which is free of discretisation bias. Unlike existing unbiased inference methods, our method does not rely on exact simulation techniques. Instead,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-10 Neil K. Chada , Jordan Franks , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Matti Vihola

We formulate a discrete-time Bayesian stochastic volatility model for high-frequency stock-market data that directly accounts for microstructure noise, and outline a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for parameter estimation. The methods…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-02 Georgi Dinolov , Abel Rodriguez , Hongyun Wang

We present a numerical method to compute non-equilibrium memory kernels based on experimental data or molecular dynamics simulations. The procedure uses a recasting of the non-stationary generalized Langevin equation, in which we expand the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-29 Hugues Meyer , Philipp Pelagejcev , Tanja Schilling

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process describes the dynamics of Brownian particles in a confining harmonic potential, thereby constituting the paradigmatic model of overdamped, mean-reverting Langevin dynamics. Despite its widespread…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-16 Luca Cocconi , Henry Alston , Jacopo Romano , Thibault Bertrand

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, a mean-reverting stochastic process, has been widely applied as a time series model in various domains. This paper describes the design and implementation of a model-based synthetic time series model…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Haibei Zhu , Svitlana Vyetrenko , Tucker Balch

Even in a simple stochastic process, the study of the full distribution of time integrated observables can be a difficult task. This is the case of a much-studied process such as the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process where, recently, anomalous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-09 Alberto Bassanoni , Alessandro Vezzani , Eli Barkai , Raffaella Burioni

We describe a simple stochastic method, so-called Langevin approach, which enables one to extract evolution equations of stochastic variables from a set of measurements. Our method is parameter-free and it is based on the nonlinear Langevin…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-19 Nico Reinke , André Fuchs , Wided Medjroubi , Pedro G. Lind , Matthias Wächter , Joachim Peinke

Statistical testing is classically used as an exploratory tool to search for association between a phenotype and many possible explanatory variables. This approach often leads to multiple testing under dependence. We assume a hierarchical…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-28 Antoine Bichat , Christophe Ambroise , Mahendra Mariadassou

This paper addresses the problem of estimating drift parameter of the Ornstein - Uhlenbeck type process, driven by the sum of independent standard and fractional Brownian motions. The maximum likelihood estimator is shown to be consistent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-03 Pavel Chigansky , Marina Kleptsyna

For a Markov process the detailed balance condition is equivalent to the time-reversibility of the process. For stochastic differential equations (SDE's) time discretization numerical schemes usually destroy the property of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Markos Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis , Luc Rey-Bellet

We discuss simulation schemes for continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) processes driven by tempered stable L\'evy noises. CARMA processes are the continuous-time analogue of ARMA processes as well as a generalization of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Till Massing

Consider the linear stochastic differential equation (SDE) on $\mathbb{R}^n$: \[\mathrm {d}{X}_t=AX_t\,\mathrm{d}t+B\,\mathrm{d}L_t,\] where $A$ is a real $n\times n$ matrix, $B$ is a real $n\times d$ real matrix and $L_t$ is a L\'{e}vy…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-06 Feng-Yu Wang

This study examines a nonparametric inference on a stationary L\'evy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process $X = (X_{t})_{t \geq 0}$ with a compound Poisson subordinator. We propose a new spectral estimator for the L\'evy measure of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-12 Daisuke Kurisu

In this article, we consider McKean stochastic differential equations, as well as their corresponding McKean-Vlasov partial differential equations, which admit a unique stationary state, and we study the linearized It\^o diffusion process…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Andrea Zanoni

We consider a discrete-time approximation of paths of an Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process as a mean for estimation of a price of European call option in the model of financial market with stochastic volatility. The Euler--Maruyama approximation…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-07 Sergii Kuchuk-Iatsenko , Yuliya Mishura