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We consider the problem of mean-variance portfolio optimization for a generic covariance matrix subject to the budget constraint and the constraint for the expected return, with the application of the replica method borrowed from the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-04 Istvan Varga-Haszonits , Fabio Caccioli , Imre Kondor

Mean-variance portfolio decisions that combine prediction and optimisation have been shown to have poor empirical performance. Here, we consider the performance of various shrinkage methods by their efficient frontiers under different…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-03 Andrew Paskaramoorthy , Tim Gebbie , Terence van Zyl

This paper explores option portfolio optimization when the underlying returns are skew-elliptical t-distributed. We use the variance and value at risk (VaR) to measure portfolio risk. The novelty of our work is the departure from the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-01 Kyle Sung , Traian A. Pirvu

When the number of assets is larger than the sample size, the minimum variance portfolio interpolates the training data, delivering pathological zero in-sample variance. We show that if the weights of the zero variance portfolio are learned…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Jinyuan Chang , Yi Ding , Zhentao Shi , Bo Zhang

The standard approach for constructing a Mean-Variance portfolio involves estimating parameters for the model using collected samples. However, since the distribution of future data may not resemble that of the training set, the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-12 Duy Khanh Lam

In this paper, a shrinkage estimator for the population mean is proposed under known quadratic loss functions with unknown covariance matrices. The new estimator is non-parametric in the sense that it does not assume a specific parametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-07 Cheng Wang , Tiejun Tong , Longbing Cao , Baiqi Miao

Estimating a covariance matrix is an important task in applications where the number of variables is larger than the number of observations. Shrinkage approaches for estimating a high-dimensional covariance matrix are often employed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-18 Anestis Touloumis

The classical mean-variance framework characterizes portfolio risk solely through return variance and the covariance matrix, implicitly assuming that all relevant sources of risk are captured by second moments. In modern financial markets,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-13 Yimeng Qiu

In this paper, we study the portfolio optimization problem with general utility functions and when the return and volatility of underlying asset are slowly varying. An asymptotic optimal strategy is provided within a specific class of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-08 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ruimeng Hu

The paper solves the problem of optimal portfolio choice when the parameters of the asset returns distribution, like the mean vector and the covariance matrix are unknown and have to be estimated by using historical data of the asset…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 David Bauder , Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Wolfgang Schmid

This paper is concerned with optimizing the global minimum-variance portfolio's (GMVP) weights in high-dimensional settings where both observation and population dimensions grow at a bounded ratio. Optimizing the GMVP weights is highly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-13 Maaz Mahadi , Tarig Ballal , Muhammad Moinuddin , Tareq Y. Al-Naffouri , Ubaid Al-Saggaf

We consider an investor who seeks to maximize her expected utility derived from her terminal wealth relative to the maximum performance achieved over a fixed time horizon, and under a portfolio drawdown constraint, in a market with local…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-28 Ankush Agarwal , Ronnie Sircar

This paper explores the estimation of a panel data model with cross-sectional interaction that is flexible both in its approach to specifying the network of connections between cross-sectional units, and in controlling for unobserved…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-23 Ayden Higgins , Federico Martellosio

Variable selection for structured covariates lying on an underlying known graph is a problem motivated by practical applications, and has been a topic of increasing interest. However, most of the existing methods may not be scalable to high…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-27 Changgee Chang , Suprateek Kundu , Qi Long

The expanding number of assets offers more opportunities for investors but poses new challenges for modern portfolio management (PM). As a central plank of PM, portfolio selection by expected utility maximization (EUM) faces uncontrollable…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-24 Jin-Hong Du , Yifeng Guo , Xueqin Wang

When shrinking a covariance matrix towards (a multiple) of the identity matrix, the trace of the covariance matrix arises naturally as the optimal scaling factor for the identity target. The trace also appears in other context, for example…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-01 Ansgar Steland

Stein showed that the multivariate sample mean is outperformed by "shrinking" to a constant target vector. Ledoit and Wolf extended this approach to the sample covariance matrix and proposed a multiple of the identity as shrinkage target.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-08 Daniel Bartz , Johannes Höhne , Klaus-Robert Müller

This paper introduces a new functional optimization approach to portfolio optimization problems by treating the unknown weight vector as a function of past values instead of treating them as fixed unknown coefficients in the majority of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-10 Ka Wai Tsang , Zhaoyi He

Shrinkage estimators have profound impacts in statistics and in scientific and engineering applications. In this article, we consider shrinkage estimation in the presence of linear predictors. We formulate two heteroscedastic hierarchical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Samuel Kou , Justin J. Yang

This work develops non-asymptotic theory for estimation of the long-run variance matrix and its inverse, the so-called precision matrix, for high-dimensional time series under general assumptions on the dependence structure including…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Changryong Baek , Marie-Christine Düker , Vladas Pipiras