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In this article we study the asymptotic behaviour of the realized quadratic variation of a process $\int_{0}^{t}u_{s}dY_{s}^{(1)}$% , where $u$ is a $\beta$-H\"older continuous process with $\beta > 1-H$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-28 Salwa Bajja , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Lauri Viitasaari

In this work, we propose a non-parametric and robust change detection algorithm to detect multiple change points in time series data under contamination. The contamination model is sufficiently general, in that, the most common model used…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-24 Sujay Bhatt , Guanhua Fang , Ping Li

We consider the class of all stationary Gaussian process with explicit parametric spectral density. Under some conditions on the autocovariance function, we defined a GMM estimator that satisfies consistency and asymptotic normality, using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-18 Luis A. Barboza , Frederi G. Viens

We discuss approaches to computing eigenfunctions of the Ornstein--Uhlenbeck (OU) operator in more than two dimensions. While the spectrum of the OU operator and theoretical properties of its eigenfunctions have been well characterized in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Benjamin J. Zhang , Tuhin Sahai , Youssef M. Marzouk

We consider the testing and estimation of change-points, locations where the distribution abruptly changes, in a sequence of multivariate or non-Euclidean observations. We study a nonparametric framework that utilizes similarity information…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-23 Lynna Chu , Hao Chen

We develop an infinite mixture model of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck(OU) processes for describing the optical variability of QSOs based on treating the variability as a stochastic process. This enables us to get the parameters of the power spectral…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-09 Tadafumi Takata , Yusuke Mukuta , Yoshihiko Mizumoto

This paper addresses the open problem of conducting change-point analysis for interval-valued time series data using the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) framework. Motivated by financial time series, we analyze data that includes daily…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-15 Li-Hsien Sun , Zong-Yuan Huang , Chi-Yang Chiu , Ning Ning

The problem of detecting change points in the parameters of a linear regression model with errors and covariates exhibiting heteroscedasticity is considered. Asymptotic results for weighted functionals of the cumulative sum (CUSUM)…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Lajos Horvath , Gregory Rice , Yuqian Zhao

Regression curves for studying trait relationships are developed herein. The adaptive evolution model is considered an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck system whose parameters are estimated by a novel engagement of generalized least-squares and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-04 Dwueng-Chwuan Jhwueng , Vasileios Maroulas

The research described herewith investigates detecting change points of means and of variances in a sequence of observations. The number of change points can be divergent at certain rate as the sample size goes to infinity. We define a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-04 Wenbiao Zhao , Xuehu Zhu , Lixing Zhu

Changes in the statistical properties of a stochastic process are typically assumed to occur via change-points, which demark instantaneous moments of complete and total change in process behavior. In cases where these transitions occur…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-06 Chris Browne

Time series, as frequently the case in neuroscience, are rarely stationary, but often exhibit abrupt changes due to attractor transitions or bifurcations in the dynamical systems producing them. A plethora of methods for detecting such…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-05 Hazem Toutounji , Daniel Durstewitz

In preliminary analysis of control charts, one may encounter multiple shifts and/or outliers especially with a large number of observations. The following paper addresses this problem. A statistical model for detecting and estimating…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-05 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

While a substantial literature on structural break change point analysis exists for univariate time series, research on large panel data models has not been as extensive. In this paper, a novel method for estimating panel models with…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-24 Oualid Bada , Alois Kneip , Dominik Liebl , Tim Mensinger , James Gualtieri , Robin C. Sickles

We consider the problem of detecting distributional changes in a sequence of high dimensional data. Our approach combines two separate statistics stemming from $L_p$ norms whose behavior is similar under $H_0$ but potentially different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-15 B. Cooper Boniece , Lajos Horváth , Peter Jacobs

Fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of the second kind $(\text{fOU}_{2})$ is solution of the Langevin equation $\mathrm{d}X_t = -\theta X_t\,\mathrm{d}t+\mathrm{d}Y_t^{(1)}, \ \theta >0$ with Gaussian driving noise $ Y_t^{(1)} := \int^t_0…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-12 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Lauri Viitasaari

This paper is concerned with estimation and inference for the location of a change point in the mean of independent high-dimensional data. Our change point location estimator maximizes a new U-statistic based objective function, and its…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-12 Runmin Wang , Xiaofeng Shao

Early-warning indicators (increase of autocorrelation and variance) are commonly applied to time series data to try and detect tipping points of real-world systems. The theory behind these indicators originates from approximating the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-09-26 Paul Ritchie , Jan Sieber

I introduce a general, Bayesian method for modelling univariate time series data assumed to be drawn from a continuous, stochastic process. The method accommodates arbitrary temporal sampling, and takes into account measurement…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2012-10-24 C. A. L. Bailer-Jones

The assessing resources dynamics problem, in the context of an economic system with Gaussian consumption and deterministic productivity, is considered in this paper. Basically it is presented a discrete time recursive equation that supports…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-04 Manuel Alberto M. Ferreira , José António Filipe