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Accurately detecting multiple change-points is critical for various applications, but determining the optimal number of change-points remains a challenge. Existing approaches based on information criteria attempt to balance goodness-of-fit…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 Hui Chen , Yinxu Jia , Guanghui Wang , Changliang Zou

In this paper, we introduce two robust, nonparametric methods for multiple change-point detection in the variability of a multivariate sequence of observations. We demonstrate that changes in ranks generated from data depth functions can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Kelly Ramsay , Shoja'eddin Chenouri

This paper considers the problems of detecting a change point and estimating the location in the correlation matrices of a sequence of high-dimensional vectors, where the dimension is large enough to be comparable to the sample size or even…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-07 Zhaoyuan Li , Jie Gao

A stochastic process is at thermodynamic equilibrium if it obeys time-reversal symmetry; forward and reverse time are statistically indistinguishable at steady state. Non-equilibrium processes break time-reversal symmetry by maintaining…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-11-13 Alexander Strang

We first study the drift parameter estimation of the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process (fOU) with periodic mean for every $\frac{1}{2}<H<1$. More precisely, we extend the consistency proved in \cite{DFW} for $\frac{1}{2}<H<\frac{3}{4}$…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Salwa Bajja , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Lauri Viitasaari

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process may be used to generate a noise signal with a finite correlation time. If a one-dimensional stochastic process is driven by such a noise source, it may be analysed by solving a Fokker-Planck equation in two…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-14 Michael Wilkinson

We investigate the joint distribution and the multivariate survival functions for the maxima of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process in consecutive time-intervals. A PDE method, alongside an eigenfunction expansion, is adopted with which we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-19 Yupeng Jiang , Andrea Macrina , Gareth W. Peters

Linear mixed models with large imbalanced crossed random effects structures pose severe computational problems for maximum likelihood estimation and for Bayesian analysis. The costs can grow as fast as $N^{3/2}$ when there are N…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-30 K. Gao , A. B. Owen

We collect, scattered through literature, as well as we prove some new properties of two Markov processes that in many ways resemble Wiener and Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes. Although processes considered in this paper were defined either…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-18 Paweł J. Szabłowski

The detection of change-points in a spatially or time ordered data sequence is an important problem in many fields such as genetics and finance. We derive the asymptotic distribution of a statistic recently suggested for detecting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Gérard Biau , Kevin Bleakley , David Mason

Change-point models are widely used by statisticians to model drastic changes in the pattern of observed data. Least squares/maximum likelihood based estimation of change-points leads to curious asymptotic phenomena. When the change-point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Rui Song , Moulinath Banerjee , Michael R. Kosorok

In this paper, we study the problem of multiple change-point detection for a univariate sequence under the epidemic setting, where the behavior of the sequence alternates between a common normal state and different epidemic states. This is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-07 Zifeng Zhao , Chun Yip Yau

We explore the dynamics of active elements performing persistent random motion with fluctuating active speed and in the presence of translational noise in a $d$-dimensional harmonic trap, modeling active speed generation through an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-02-18 Manish Patel , Amir Shee , Debasish Chaudhuri

Generalisations of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process defined through Langevin equation $dU_t = - \Theta U_t dt + dG_t,$ such as fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, have recently received a lot of attention in the literature. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-20 Marko Voutilainen , Lauri Viitasaari , Pauliina Ilmonen , Soledad Torres , Ciprian Tudor

The aim of online change-point detection is for a accurate, timely discovery of structural breaks. As data dimension outgrows the number of data in observation, online detection becomes challenging. Existing methods typically test only the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-17 Yang-Wen Sun , Katerina Papagiannouli , Vladimir Spokoiny

Piecewise $\alpha$-stable Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes arising in queue networks usually do not have an explicit dissipation, which makes the related numerical methods such as Euler-Maruyama (EM) scheme more difficult to analyze. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-11 Xinghu Jin , Guodong Pang , Yu Wang , Lihu Xu

Starting from a basic model in which the dynamic of the transaction prices is a geometric Brownian motion disrupted by a microstructure white noise, corresponding to the random alternation of bids and asks, we propose moment-based…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-07 Xavier Brouty , Matthieu Garcin , Hugo Roccaro

Online algorithms for detecting changepoints, or abrupt shifts in the behavior of a time series, are often deployed with limited resources, e.g., to edge computing settings such as mobile phones or industrial sensors. In these scenarios it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-27 Gregory W. Gundersen , Diana Cai , Chuteng Zhou , Barbara E. Engelhardt , Ryan P. Adams

We consider the pricing problem related to payoffs that can have discontinuities of polynomial growth. The asset price dynamic is modeled within the Black and Scholes framework characterized by a stochastic volatility term driven by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Viktor Bezborodov , Luca Di Persio , Yuliya Mishura

We derive an equation to compute directly the expected occupation time of the centered Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. This allows us to identify the parameters of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process for available occupation times via a standard…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-05-30 Wolfgang Bock , Thomas Götz , Martin Grothaus , Uditha Prabhath Liyanage
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