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Previous work has shown that for contagion processes on extended star networks (trees with exactly one node of degree > 2), there is a simple, closed-form expression for a highly accurate approximation to the maximum likelihood infection…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-23 Sam Spencer , Lav R. Varshney

We study a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic model on a network of $n$ interacting subpopulations. We analyze the transient and asymptotic behavior of the infection dynamics in each node of the network. In contrast to the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-18 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

Detection of patient-zero can give new insights to the epidemiologists about the nature of first transmissions into a population. In this paper, we study the statistical inference problem of detecting the source of epidemics from a snapshot…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-24 Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Alen Lancic , Tomislav Smuc , Hrvoje Stefancic , Mile Sikic

Min-SEIS-Cluster is an optimization problem which aims at minimizing the infection spreading in networks. In this problem, nodes can be susceptible to an infection, exposed to an infection, or infectious. One of the main features of this…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-07-19 Fernando Concatto , Wellington Zunino , Luigi A. Giancoli , Rafael Santiago , Luís C. Lamb

The spread of an epidemic is often modeled by an SIR random process on a social network graph. The MinINF problem for optimal social distancing involves minimizing the expected number of infections, when we are allowed to break at most $B$…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-02-18 Amy Babay , Michael Dinitz , Aravind Srinivasan , Leonidas Tsepenekas , Anil Vullikanti

In this paper, a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model with identical infectivity, where each node is assigned with the same capability of active contacts, $A$, at each time step, is presented. We found that on scale-free networks,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Rui Yang , Jie Ren , Wen-Jie Bai , Tao Zhou , Ming-Feng Zhang , Bing-Hong Wang

We derive an analytical expression for the critical infection rate r_c of the susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) disease spreading model on random networks. To obtain r_c, we first calculate the probability of reinfection, pi, defined…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-07-16 Roni Parshani , Shai Carmi , Shlomo Havlin

The transmission dynamics of some infectious diseases is related to the contact structure between individuals in a network. We used five algorithms to generate contact networks with different topological structure but with the same…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-28 Raul Ossada , José H. H. Grisi-Filho , Fernando Ferreira , Marcos Amaku

Entropic causal inference is a recent framework for learning the causal graph between two variables from observational data by finding the information-theoretically simplest structural explanation of the data, i.e., the model with smallest…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Spencer Compton , Kristjan Greenewald , Dmitriy Katz , Murat Kocaoglu

In previous work, we developed the scaled SIS process, which models the dynamics of SIS epidemics over networks. With the scaled SIS process, we can consider networks that are finite-sized and of arbitrary topology (i.e., we are not…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-10-10 June Zhang , José M. F. Moura

Epidemic threshold is one of the most important features of the epidemic dynamics. Through a lot of numerical simulations in classic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) and Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) models on various types of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-10-16 Panpan Shu , Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Younghae Do

Assume one has the capability of determining whether a node in a network is infectious or not by probing them. Then problem of optimizing sentinel surveillance in networks is to identify the nodes to probe such that an emerging disease…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-17 Petter Holme

In this paper, we study a problem of detecting the source of diffused information by querying individuals, given a sample snapshot of the information diffusion graph, where two queries are asked: {\em (i)} whether the respondent is the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Jaeyoung Choi , Sangwoo Moon , Jiin Woo , Kyunghwan Son , Jinwoo Shin , Yung Yi

Spread of computer viruses can be modeled as the SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) epidemic propagation. We show that in order to ensure the random immunization or the targeted immunization effectively prevent computer viruses…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-17 Jinyu Huang

We investigate the expected time to extinction in the susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) model of disease spreading. Rather than using stochastic simulations, or asymptotic calculations in network models, we solve the extinction time…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-26 Petter Holme , Liubov Tupikina

We study the problem of estimating the origin of an epidemic outbreak -- given a contact network and a snapshot of epidemic spread at a certain time, determine the infection source. Finding the source is important in different contexts of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-20 Andrey Y. Lokhov , Marc Mézard , Hiroki Ohta , Lenka Zdeborová

Identifying the diffusion source in complex networks is critical for understanding and controlling epidemic spread. In realistic settings, full observation of node states is rarely available, making sensor-based source detection a practical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-02 Qiao Ke , Chengjun Zhang , Chuang Liu , Mingxia Jing , Suoyi Tan , Xiu-Xiu Zhan

We consider the problem of detecting an epidemic in a population where individual diagnoses are extremely noisy. The motivation for this problem is the plethora of examples (influenza strains in humans, or computer viruses in smartphones,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-02-07 Eli A. Meirom , Chris Milling , Constantine Caramanis , Shie Mannor , Ariel Orda , Sanjay Shakkottai

We consider the so-called Independent Cascade Model for rumor spreading or epidemic processes popularized by Kempe et al.\ [2003]. In this model, a small subset of nodes from a network are the source of a rumor. In discrete time steps, each…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Petra Berenbrink , Max Hahn-Klimroth , Dominik Kaaser , Lena Krieg , Malin Rau

Defining an optimal protection strategy against viruses, spam propagation or any other kind of contamination process is an important feature for designing new networks and architectures. In this work, we consider decentralized optimal…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-03 Stojan Trajanovski , Yezekael Hayel , Eitan Altman , Huijuan Wang , Piet Van Mieghem
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