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Motivated by the ongoing pandemic COVID-19, we propose a closed-loop framework that combines inference from testing data, learning the parameters of the dynamics and optimal resource allocation for controlling the spread of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-27 Ashish R. Hota , Jaydeep Godbole , Philip E Paré

Consider a fully connected network of nodes, some of which have a piece of data to be disseminated to the whole network. We analyze the following push-type epidemic algorithm: in each push round, every node that has the data, i.e., every…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-12 Mine Caglar , Ali Devin Sezer

The identification of important nodes in complex networks is an area of exciting growth due to its applications across various disciplines like disease controlling, community finding, data mining, network system controlling, just to name a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Qiuyan Shang , Yong Deng , Kang Hao Cheong

The problem of identifying important players in a given network is of pivotal importance for viral marketing, public health management, network security and various other fields of social network analysis. In this work we find the most…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2017-11-03 Juvaria Tariq , Muhammad Ahmad , Imdadullah Khan , Mudassir Shabbir

Epidemics, neural cascades, power failures, and many other phenomena can be described by a diffusion process on a network. To identify the causal origins of a spread, it is often necessary to identify the triggering initial node. Here we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-10-04 V. AT. Nguyen , D. C. Vural

A growing family of approaches to causal inference rely on Bayesian formulations of assumptions that go beyond causal graph structure. For example, Bayesian approaches have been developed for analyzing instrumental variable designs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Sam Witty , David Jensen , Vikash Mansinghka

Network intervention problems often benefit from selecting a highly-connected node to perform interventions using these nodes, e.g. immunization. However, in many network contexts, the structure of network connections is unknown, leading to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-05-20 Vineet Kumar , David Krackhardt , Scott Feld

We propose a novel method for network inference from partially observed edges using a node-specific degree prior. The degree prior is derived from observed edges in the network to be inferred, and its hyper-parameters are determined by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-09 Qingming Tang , Lifu Tu , Weiran Wang , Jinbo Xu

Network-based interventions against epidemic spread are most powerful when the full network structure is known. However, in practice, resource constraints require decisions to be made based on partial network information. We investigated…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-19 Yingrui Yang , Ashley McKhann , Sixing Chen , Guy Harling , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

The goal of this note is to assess whether simple machine learning algorithms can be used to determine whether and how a given network has been attacked. The procedure is based on the $k$-Nearest Neighbor and the Random Forest…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-30 Davide Coppes , Paolo Cermelli

We address the problem of localizing the source of infection in an undirected, tree-structured network under a susceptible-infected outbreak model. The infection propagates with independent random time increments (i.e., edge-delays) between…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Kesler O'Connor , Julia M. Jess , Devlin Costello , Manuel E. Lladser

In social networks, information and influence diffuse among users as cascades. While the importance of studying cascades has been recognized in various applications, it is difficult to observe the complete structure of cascades in practice.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-10-15 Bo Zong , Yinghui Wu , Ambuj K. Singh , Xifeng Yan

Motivated by the study of controlling (curing) epidemics, we consider the spread of an SI process on a known graph, where we have a limited budget to use to transition infected nodes back to the susceptible state (i.e., to cure nodes).…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-02-27 Jessica Hoffmann , Constantine Caramanis

We study the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic on a random graph chosen uniformly over all graphs with certain critical, heavy-tailed degree distributions. For this model, each vertex infects all its susceptible neighbors and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-14 David Clancy

In this research, we introduce a robust metric to identify Systemically Important Financial Institution (SIFI) in a financial network by taking into account both common idiosyncratic shocks and contagion through counterparty exposures. We…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-23 Amirhossein Sadoghi

This paper investigates a missing feature imputation problem for graph learning tasks. Several methods have previously addressed learning tasks on graphs with missing features. However, in cases of high rates of missing features, they were…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Daeho Um , Jiwoong Park , Seulki Park , Jin Young Choi

Given a graph G, a budget k and a misinformation seed set S, Influence Minimization (IMIN) via node blocking aims to find a set of k nodes to be blocked such that the expected spread of S is minimized. This problem finds important…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Jinghao Wang , Yanping Wu , Xiaoyang Wang , Ying Zhang , Lu Qin , Wenjie Zhang , Xuemin Lin

In this paper, we are concerned with the stochastic susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model on the complete graph with $n$ vertices. This model has two parameters, which are the infection rate and the recovery rate. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Huazheng Bu , Xiaofeng Xue

How can we localize the source of diffusion in a complex network? Due to the tremendous size of many real networks--such as the Internet or the human social graph--it is usually infeasible to observe the state of all nodes in a network. We…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-11 Pedro C. Pinto , Patrick Thiran , Martin Vetterli

We study the problem of parameter estimation based on infection data from an epidemic outbreak on a graph. We assume that successive infections occur via contagion; i.e., transmissions can only spread across existing directed edges in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-15 Justin Khim , Po-Ling Loh