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Modeling unknown systems from data is a precursor of system optimization and sequential decision making. In this paper, we focus on learning a Markov model from a single trajectory of states. Suppose that the transition model has a small…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-30 Ziwei Zhu , Xudong Li , Mengdi Wang , Anru Zhang

Continuous-time Markov chains describing interacting processes exhibit a state space that grows exponentially in the number of processes. This state-space explosion renders the computation or storage of the time-marginal distribution, which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Peter Georg , Lars Grasedyck , Maren Klever , Rudolf Schill , Rainer Spang , Tilo Wettig

The paper is devoted to studies of perturbed Markov chains commonly used for description of information networks. In such models, the matrix of transition probabilities for the corresponding Markov chain is usually regularised by adding a…

We derive a finite-sample probabilistic bound on the parameter estimation error of a system identification algorithm for Linear Switched Systems. The algorithm estimates Markov parameters from a single trajectory and applies a variant of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Daniel Racz , Mihaly Petreczky , Balint Daroczy

Verifying quantum systems has attracted a lot of interest in the last decades.In this paper, we study the quantitative model-checking of quantum continuous-time Markov chains (quantum CTMCs). The branching-time properties of quantum CTMCs…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Ming Xu , Jingyi Mei , Ji Guan , Yuxin Deng , Nengkun Yu

Linear constrained switching systems are linear switched systems whose switching sequences are constrained by a deterministic finite automaton. This work investigates how to generate a sequence of matrices with an asymptotic growth rate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-26 Yuhao Zhang , Xiangru Xu

Structured distributions, i.e. distributions over combinatorial spaces, are commonly used to learn latent probabilistic representations from observed data. However, scaling these models is bottlenecked by the high computational and memory…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Justin T. Chiu , Yuntian Deng , Alexander M. Rush

Markov automata combine non-determinism, probabilistic branching, and exponentially distributed delays. This compositional variant of continuous-time Markov decision processes is used in reliability engineering, performance evaluation and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-05-11 Tim Quatmann , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

We consider networks of finite-state machines having local transitions conditioned by the current state of other automata. In this paper, we depict a reduction procedure tailored for a given reachability property of the form ``from global…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-11-07 Loïc Paulevé

We apply the method of differential inequalities for the computation of upper bounds for the rate of convergence to the limiting regime for one specific class of (in)homogeneous continuous-time Markov chains. To obtain these estimates, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-13 Alexander Zeifman , Yacov Satin , Alexander Sipin

We are interested in the analysis of very large continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) with many distinct rates. Such models arise naturally in the context of reliability analysis, e.g., of computer network performability analysis, of power…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-24 Ernst Moritz Hahn , Holger Hermanns , Ralf Wimmer , Bernd Becker

We present a data-driven model predictive control scheme for chance-constrained Markovian switching systems with unknown switching probabilities. Using samples of the underlying Markov chain, ambiguity sets of transition probabilities are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-02 Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

Many natural and engineered systems can be modeled as discrete state Markov processes. Often, only a subset of states are directly observable. Inferring the conditional probability that a system occupies a particular hidden state, given the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-04 Daniel Chen , Alexander G. Strang , Andrew W. Eckford , Peter J. Thomas

Many applications in networked control require intermittent access of a controller to a system, as in event-triggered systems or information constrained control applications. Motivated by such applications and extending previous work on…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-30 Ramiro Zurkowski , Serdar Yüksel , Tamás Linder

We study inhomogeneous continuous-time weakly ergodic Markov chains with a finite state space. We introduce the notion of a Markov chain with the regular structure of an infinitesimal matrix and study the sharp upper bounds on the rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-17 A. I. Zeifman , Y. A. Satin , K. M. Kiseleva

We present a scalable methodology to verify stochastic hybrid systems. Using the Mori-Zwanzig reduction method, we construct a finite state Markov chain reduction of a given stochastic hybrid system and prove that this reduced Markov chain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-17 Yu Wang , Nima Roohi , Matthew West , Mahesh Viswanathan , Geir E. Dullerud

Continuous-time Markov chains are used to model stochastic systems where transitions can occur at irregular times, e.g., birth-death processes, chemical reaction networks, population dynamics, and gene regulatory networks. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-13 Majerle Reeves , Harish S. Bhat

We obtain an upper escape rate function for a continuous time minimal symmetric Markov chain, defined on a locally finite weighted graph. This upper rate function is given in terms of volume growth with respect to an adapted path metric and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-24 Xueping Huang , Yuichi Shiozawa

This paper develops a new class of conditional Markov jump processes with regime switching and paths dependence. The key novel feature of the developed process lies on its ability to switch the transition rate as it moves from one state to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-16 Budhi Surya

This paper considers linear discrete-time systems with additive disturbances, and designs a Model Predictive Control (MPC) law to minimise a quadratic cost function subject to a chance constraint. The chance constraint is defined as a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-07-15 Shuhao Yan , Paul Goulart , Mark Cannon
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