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Markov automata (MAs) extend labelled transition systems with random delays and probabilistic branching. Action-labelled transitions are instantaneous and yield a distribution over states, whereas timed transitions impose a random delay…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Dennis Guck , Hassan Hatefi , Holger Hermanns , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Mark Timmer

We study the approximation of a Markov chain on a reduced state space, for both discrete- and continuous-time Markov chains. In this context, we extend the existing theory of formal error bounds for the approximated transient distributions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-12 Fabian Michel , Markus Siegle

Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms have shown tremendous success in simulation environments, but their application to real-world problems faces significant challenges, with safety being a major concern. In particular, enforcing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Weiye Zhao , Rui Chen , Yifan Sun , Tianhao Wei , Changliu Liu

Modeling the time evolution of discrete sets of items (e.g., genetic mutations) is a fundamental problem in many biomedical applications. We approach this problem through the lens of continuous-time Markov chains, and show that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Alkis Gotovos , Rebekka Burkholz , John Quackenbush , Stefanie Jegelka

Classical CTL temporal logics are built over systems with interleaving model concurrency. Many attempts are made to fight a state space explosion problem (for instance, compositional model checking). There are some methods of reduction of a…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2017-10-27 Wiktor B. Daszczuk

We compare different selection criteria to choose the number of latent states of a multivariate latent Markov model for longitudinal data. This model is based on an underlying Markov chain to represent the evolution of a latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-04 Silvia Bacci , Silvia Pandolfi , Fulvia Pennoni

In this paper, we present an online reinforcement learning algorithm for constrained Markov decision processes with a safety constraint. Despite the necessary attention of the scientific community, considering stochastic stopping time, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Abhijit Mazumdar , Rafal Wisniewski , Manuela L. Bujorianu

We consider parametric version of fixed-delay continuous-time Markov chains (or equivalently deterministic and stochastic Petri nets, DSPN) where fixed-delay transitions are specified by parameters, rather than concrete values. Our goal is…

Performance · Computer Science 2016-04-18 Tomáš Brázdil , Ľuboš Korenčiak , Jan Krčál , Petr Novotný , Vojtěch Řehák

State-of-the-art probabilistic model checkers perform verification on explicit-state Markov models defined in a high-level programming formalism like the PRISM modeling language. Typically, the low-level models resulting from such…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-11-15 Tobias Winkler , Johannes Lehmann , Joost-Pieter Katoen

Motivated by applications arising in networked systems, this work examines controlled regime-switching systems that stem from a mean-variance formulation. A main point is that the switching process is a hidden Markov chain. An additional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-21 Zhixin Yang , George Yin , Qing Zhang

In this paper, a state-dependent control updating period framework is proposed that leads to real-time implementable Model Predictive Control with certified practical stability results and constraints satisfaction. The scheme is illustrated…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-08-19 Mazen Alamir

In this paper we consider stopping problems for continuous-time Markov chains under a general risk-sensitive optimization criterion for problems with finite and infinite time horizon. More precisely our aim is to maximize the certainty…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-05 Nicole Bäuerle , Anton Popp

Constrained Markov Decision Processes are a class of stochastic decision problems in which the decision maker must select a policy that satisfies auxiliary cost constraints. This paper extends upper confidence reinforcement learning for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Liyuan Zheng , Lillian J. Ratliff

The paper studies an improved estimate for the rate of convergence for nonlinear homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains. These processes are nonlinear in terms of the distribution law. Hence, the transition kernels are dependent on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Aleksandr Shchegolev

The cover time of a Markov chain on a finite state space is the expected time until all states are visited. We show that if the cover time of a discrete-time Markov chain with rational transitions probabilities is bounded, then it is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 John Sylvester

This paper studies the estimation of low-rank Markov chains from empirical trajectories. We propose a non-convex estimator based on rank-constrained likelihood maximization. Statistical upper bounds are provided for the Kullback-Leiber…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-20 Xudong Li , Mengdi Wang , Anru Zhang

Classical linear regression is considered for a case when regression parameters depend on the external random environment. The last is described as a continuous time Markov chain with finite state space. Here the expected sojourn times in…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-29 Alexander M. Andronov , Nadezda Spiridovska

This paper concentrates on the minimal hitting probability of continuous-time controlled Markov systems (CTCMSs) with countable state and finite admissible action spaces. The existence of an optimal policy is first proved. In particular,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-08 Yanyun Li , Junping Li

Many complex systems can be described by population models, in which a pool of agents interacts and produces complex collective behaviours. We consider the problem of verifying formal properties of the underlying mathematical representation…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-11-13 Luca Bortolussi , Roberta Lanciani , Laura Nenzi

This work concerns controlled Markov chains with finite state and action spaces. The transition law satisfies the simultaneous Doeblin condition, and the performance of a control policy is measured by the (long-run) risk-sensitive average…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rolando Cavazos-Cadena , Daniel Hernandez-Hernandez