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In the analysis of Markov chains and processes, it is sometimes convenient to replace an unbounded state space with a "truncated" bounded state space. When such a replacement is made, one often wants to know whether the equilibrium behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Alex Infanger , Peter W. Glynn , Yuanyuan Liu

We consider the policy synthesis problem for continuous-state controlled Markov processes evolving in discrete time, when the specification is given as a B\"uchi condition (visit a set of states infinitely often). We decompose computation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-17 Rupak Majumdar , Kaushik Mallik , Sadegh Soudjani

The parameters of a discrete stationary Markov model are transition probabilities between states. Traditionally, data consist in sequences of observed states for a given number of individuals over the whole observation period. In such a…

Computation · Statistics 2012-04-30 Alberto Pasanisi , Shuai Fu , Nicolas Bousquet

Two moment-matching methods for model reduction of linear switched systems (LSSs) are presented. The methods are similar to the Krylov subspace methods used for moment matching for linear systems. The more general one of the two methods, is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Mert Bastug , Mihaly Petreczky , Rafael Wisniewski , John Leth

Security-constrained unit commitment (SCUC) is solved for power system day-ahead generation scheduling, which is a large-scale mixed-integer linear programming problem and is very computationally intensive. Model reduction of SCUC may bring…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-14 Arun Venkatesh Ramesh , Xingpeng Li

In this paper, we consider the finite-state approximation of a discrete-time constrained Markov decision process (MDP) under the discounted and average cost criteria. Using the linear programming formulation of the constrained discounted…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-10 Naci Saldi

For continuous-time Markov chains, the model-checking problem with respect to continuous-time stochastic logic (CSL) has been introduced and shown to be decidable by Aziz, Sanwal, Singhal and Brayton in 1996. Their proof can be turned into…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Lijun Zhang , David N. Jansen , Flemming Nielson , Holger Hermanns

We show a methodology for the computation of the probability of deadline miss for a periodic real-time task scheduled by a resource reservation algorithm. We propose a modelling technique for the system that reduces the computation of such…

Performance · Computer Science 2016-04-28 Luigi Palopoli , Daniele Fontanelli , Luca Abeni , Bernardo Villalba Frías

The paper investigates the problem of estimating the state of a time-varying system with a linear measurement model; in particular, the paper considers the case where the number of measurements available can be smaller than the number of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-07 Guido Cavraro , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Joshua Comden , Andrey Bernstein

Motivated by the recent interest in risk-aware control, we study a continuous-time control synthesis problem to bound the risk that a stochastic linear system violates a given specification. We use risk signal temporal logic as a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-12 Sleiman Safaoui , Lars Lindemann , Iman Shames , Tyler H. Summers

Recent literature has found conditional transition rates to be a useful tool for avoiding Markov assumptions in multi-state models. While the estimation of univariate conditional transition rates has been extensively studied, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-30 Theis Bathke

Motivated by robotic surveillance applications, this paper studies the novel problem of maximizing the return time entropy of a Markov chain, subject to a graph topology with travel times and stationary distribution. The return time entropy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-29 Xiaoming Duan , Mishel George , Francesco Bullo

We are interested in understanding stability (almost sure boundedness) of stochastic approximation algorithms (SAs) driven by a `controlled Markov' process. Analyzing this class of algorithms is important, since many reinforcement learning…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-05-18 Arunselvan Ramaswamy , Shalabh Bhatnagar

Continuous-time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) are graphical representations of multi-component continuous-time Markov processes as directed graphs. The edges in the network represent direct influences among components. The joint rate matrix of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Nir Friedman , Raz Kupferman

This article describes an accurate procedure for computing the mean first passage times of a finite irreducible Markov chain and a Markov renewal process. The method is a refinement to the Kohlas, Zeit fur Oper Res, 30,197-207, (1986)…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Jeffrey J. Hunter

We consider continuous-time Markov chains on integers which allow transitions to adjacent states only, with alternating rates. We give explicit formulas for probability generating functions, and also for means, variances and state…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci , Barbara Martinucci

In this paper we develop a novel hidden Markov graphical model to investigate time-varying interconnectedness between different financial markets. To identify conditional correlation structures under varying market conditions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-06 Beatrice Foroni , Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella

We present a sufficient condition for a non-injective function of a Markov chain to be a second-order Markov chain with the same entropy rate as the original chain. This permits an information-preserving state space reduction by merging…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-12-20 Bernhard C. Geiger , Christoph Temmel

Scaled type Markov renewal processes generalize classical renewal processes: renewal times come from a one parameter family of probability laws and the sequence of the parameters is the trajectory of an ergodic Markov chain. Our primary…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Zsolt Pajor-Gyulai , Domokos Szász

We propose a Markov chain model for credit rating changes. We do not use any distributional assumptions on the asset values of the rated companies but directly model the rating transitions process. The parameters of the model are estimated…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-21 David Wozabal , Ronald Hochreiter