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If we follow an asexually reproducing population through time, then the amount of time that has passed since the most recent common ancestor (MRCA) of all current individuals lived will change as time progresses. The resulting "MRCA age"…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Steven N. Evans , Peter L. Ralph

We consider the random field M(t)=\sup_{n\geq 1}\big\{-\log A_{n}+X_{n}(t)\big\}\,,\qquad t\in T\, for a set $T\subset \mathbb{R}^{m}$, where $(X_{n})$ is an iid sequence of centered Gaussian random fields on $T$ and $0<A_{1}<A_{2}<\cdots $…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Zhipeng Liu , Jose H. Blanchet , A. B. Dieker , Thomas Mikosch

We prove that certain asymptotic moments exist for some random distance expanding dynamical systems and Markov chains in random dynamical environment, and compute them in terms of the derivatives at the $0$ of an appropriate pressure…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-05-13 Yeor Hafouta

Suppose that $X=\{X_t, t\ge 0\}$ is a supercritical superprocess on a locally compact separable metric space $(E, m)$. Suppose that the spatial motion of $X$ is a Hunt process satisfying certain conditions and that the branching mechanism…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Zhen-Qing Chen , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song , Rui Zhang

We observe the continuous-time Markov Branching Process without high-order moments and allowing Immigration. Limit properties of transition functions and their convergence to invariant measures are investigated. Main mathematical tool is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-18 Azam A. Imomov , Abror Kh. Meyliev

Maximal repetition of a string is the maximal length of a repeated substring. This paper investigates maximal repetition of strings drawn from stochastic processes. Strengthening previous results, two new bounds for the almost sure growth…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-03-11 Łukasz Dębowski

In environmental applications of extreme value statistics, the underlying stochastic process is often modeled either as a max-stable process in continuous time/space or as a process in the domain of attraction of such a max-stable process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Holger Drees , Laurens de Haan , Feridun Turkman

A class of stochastic processes strongly related to random sums plays an important role in network and in finance. In this paper we study this kind of stochastic process discuss an overtime unchanged parameter and reveal its asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Yu Li

We study properties of a subclass of Markov processes that have all moments that are continuous functions of the time parameter and more importantly are characterized by the property that say their $n-$th conditional moment given the past…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-08 Paweł J. Szabłowski

We study in this paper the large-time asymptotics of the empirical vector associated with a family of finite-state mean-field systems with multi-classes. The empirical vector is composed of local empirical measures characterizing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-18 Donald A. Dawson , Ahmed Sid-Ali , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

Let $Z = (Z_t)_{t\in[0,\infty)}$ be an ergodic Markov process and, for every $n\in\mathbb{N}$, let $Z^n = (Z_{n^2 t})_{t\in[0,\infty)}$ drive a process $X^n$. Classical results show under suitable conditions that the sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Martin Hutzenthaler , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Clemens Printz

This paper considers the asymptotic properties of the recursive maximum likelihood estimation in hidden Markov models. The paper is focused on the asymptotic behavior of the log-likelihood function and on the point-convergence and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-24 Vladislav B. Tadić

Hidden Markov chains are widely applied statistical models of stochastic processes, from fundamental physics and chemistry to finance, health, and artificial intelligence. The hidden Markov processes they generate are notoriously…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-05-26 Alexandra M. Jurgens , James P. Crutchfield

We prove a large deviation principle for the point process associated to $k$-element connected components in $\mathbb R^d$ with respect to the connectivity radii $r_n\to\infty$. The random points are generated from a homogeneous Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Christian Hirsch , Takashi Owada

This article examines large time behaviour of finite state mean-field interacting particle systems. Our first main result is a sharp estimate (in the exponential scale) on the time required for convergence of the empirical measure process…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Sarath Yasodharan , Rajesh Sundaresan

We study the small-time asymptotics of sample paths of L\'evy processes and L\'evy-type processes. Namely, we investigate under which conditions the limit $$\limsup_{t \to 0} \frac{1}{f(t)} |X_t-X_0|$$ is finite resp.\ infinite with…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Franziska Kühn

We deal with a random graph model evolving in discrete time steps by duplicating and deleting the edges of randomly chosen vertices. We prove the existence of an a.s. asymptotic degree distribution, with streched exponential decay; more…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-10 Ágnes Backhausz , Tamás F. Móri

We study a family of memory-based persistent random walks and we prove weak convergences after space-time rescaling. The limit processes are not only Brownian motions with drift. We have obtained a continuous but non-Markov process $(Z_t)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-06 Samuel Herrmann , Pierre Vallois

Identifying and quantifying memory are often critical steps in developing a mechanistic understanding of stochastic processes. These are particularly challenging and necessary when exploring processes that exhibit long-range correlations.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-04-20 Sarah E. Marzen , James P. Crutchfield

Continuous-time Mallows processes are processes of random permutations of the set $\{1, \ldots, n\}$ whose marginal at time $t$ is the Mallows distribution with parameter $t$. Recently Corsini showed that there exists a unique Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-15 Radosław Adamczak , Michał Kotowski