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We consider a Markov chain $(M_{n})_{n\ge 0}$ on the set $\mathbb{N}_{0}$ of nonnegative integers which is eventually decreasing, i.e. $\mathbb{P}\{M_{n+1}<M_{n}|M_{n}\ge a\}=1$ for some $a\in\mathbb{N}$ and all $n\ge 0$. We are interested…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Gerold Alsmeyer , Alexander Marynych

In a general class of one dimensional random differential equation the convergence of the distribution function of the solution to stationary state distribution is studied. In particular it is proved the boundedness respectively the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-07 Gyorgy Steinbrecher , Xavier Garbet , Boris Weyssow

We consider a class of semi-Markov processes (SMP) such that the embedded discrete time Markov chain may be non-homogeneous. The corresponding augmented processes are represented as semi-martingales using stochastic integral equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Anindya Goswami , Subhamay Saha , Ravishankar Kapildev Yadav

We consider maximum rooted tree extension counts in random graphs, i.e., we consider M_n = \max_v X_v where X_v counts the number of copies of a given tree in G_{n,p} rooted at vertex v. We determine the asymptotics of M_n when the random…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-29 Pedro Araújo , Simon Griffiths , Matas Šileikis , Lutz Warnke

Extreme value functionals of stochastic processes are inverse functionals of the first passage time -- a connection that renders their probability distribution functions equivalent. Here, we deepen this link and establish a framework for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-30 David Hartich , Aljaz Godec

We consider optimal stopping problems, in which a sequence of independent random variables is drawn from a known continuous density. The objective of such problems is to find a procedure which maximizes the expected reward; this is often…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Hugh Entwistle , Christopher Lustri , Georgy Sofronov

We study the effect of observing a stationary process at irregular time points via a renewal process. We establish a sharp difference in the asymptotic behaviour of the self-normalized sample mean of the observed process depending on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-04 Mohamedou Ould-Haye , Anne Philippe

We continue the investigation of the spectral theory and exponential asymptotics of Markov processes, following Kontoyiannis and Meyn (2003). We introduce a new family of nonlinear Lyapunov drift criteria, characterizing distinct subclasses…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ioannis Kontoyiannis , S. P. Meyn

We present an explicit construction of a Markovian random growth process on integer partitions such that given it visits some level $n$, it passes through any partition $\lambda$ of $n$ with equal probabilities. The construction has…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Yuri Yakubovich

Let $\{X_i\}$ be a sequence of independent identically distributed random variables with an intermediate regularly varying (IR) right tail $\bar{F}$. Let $(N, C_1, ..., C_N)$ be a nonnegative random vector independent of the $\{X_i\}$ with…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-18 Mariana Olvera-Cravioto

Growth-fragmentation processes model systems of cells that grow continuously over time and then fragment into smaller pieces. Typically, on average, the number of cells in the system exhibits asynchronous exponential growth and, upon…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-08 Emma Horton , Alexander R. Watson

We derive the exact asymptotics of $P(\sup_{u\leq t}X(u) > x)$ if $x$ and $t$ tend to infinity with $x/t$ constant, for a L\'{e}vy process $X$ that admits exponential moments. The proof is based on a renewal argument and a two-dimensional…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-26 Zbigniew Palmowski , Martijn Pistorius

Many real phenomena may be modelled as locally finite unions of $d$-dimensional time dependent random closed sets in $\mathbb{R}^d$, described by birth-and-growth stochastic processes, so that their mean volume and surface densities, as…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-06 Elena Villa

We consider a finite number of $N$ statistically equal agents, each moving on a finite set of states according to a continuous-time Markov Decision Process (MDP). Transition intensities of the agents and generated rewards depend not only on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Nicole Bäuerle , Sebastian Höfer

We consider minimizing the probability of falling below a target growth rate of the wealth process up to a time horizon $T$ in an incomplete market model, and then study the asymptotic behavior of minimizing probability as $T\to\infty$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-04 Hideo Nagai

Consider a branching random walk evolving in a macroscopic time-inhomogeneous environment, that scales with the length $n$ of the process under study. We compute the first two terms of the asymptotic of the maximal displacement at time $n$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-01 Bastien Mallein

The methods of the probability theory have been used in order to build up a new model of hysteresis. It turns out that the reversal points of the control parameter (e. g., the magnetic field) are Markov points which determine the stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 L. Pal

This paper investigates the second order properties of a stationary process after random sampling. While a short memory process gives always rise to a short memory one, we prove that long-memory can disappear when the sampling law has heavy…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-10 Anne Philippe , Marie-Claude Viano

A Peskun ordering between two samplers, implying a dominance of one over the other, is known among the Markov chain Monte Carlo community for being a remarkably strong result. It is however also known for being a result that is notably…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-20 Philippe Gagnon , Florian Maire

Given an R^d-valued supercritical branching Wiener process, let D(A,T) be the number of particles in a subset A of R^d at time T, (T=0,1,2,...). We provide a complete asymptotic expansion of D(A,T) as T goes to infinity, generalizing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Pál Révész , Jay Rosen , Zhan Shi