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Vaccination against the SARS-CoV-2 disease has significantly reduced its mortality rate and spread. However, despite its availability, a considerable proportion of the public has either refused or delayed getting vaccinated. This reluctance…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-10 Wajid Ali , Javad Mohamadichamgavi , Juan Ramirez , Jose Aguilar , Antonio Fernández Anta , Kieran J. Sharkey

Vaccination is crucial for the control of epidemics. Yet it is a social dilemma since non-vaccinators can benefit from the herd immunity created by the vaccinators. Thus the optimum vaccination level is not reached via voluntary vaccination…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-06 Yuting Wei , Yaosen Lin , Bin Wu

Life expectancy is a fundamental indicator of population health and socio-economic well-being, yet accurately forecasting it remains challenging due to the interplay of demographic, environmental, and healthcare factors. This study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Roman Dolgopolyi , Ioanna Amaslidou , Agrippina Margaritou

Vaccine hesitancy, which has recently been driven by online narratives, significantly degrades the efficacy of vaccination strategies, such as those for COVID-19. Despite broad agreement in the medical community about the safety and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-11-07 Matheus Schmitz , Goran Murić , Keith Burghardt

Studies have shown that exposure to air pollution, even at low levels, significantly increases mortality. As regulatory actions are becoming prohibitively expensive, robust evidence to guide the development of targeted interventions to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-20 Kwonsang Lee , Dylan S. Small , Francesca Dominici

Process mining is a discipline sitting between data mining and process science, whose goal is to provide theoretical methods and software tools to analyse process execution data, known as event logs. Although process mining was originally…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Adriano Augusto , Timothy Deitz , Noel Faux , Jo-Anne Manski-Nankervis , Daniel Capurro

In diseases with long-term immunity, vaccination is known to increase the average age at infection as a result of the decrease in the pathogen circulation. This implies that a vaccination campaign can have negative effects when a disease is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-04 Fabio A. C. C. Chalub , Paulo Doutor , Paula Patrício , Maria do Céu Soares

Childhood vaccination is a cornerstone of public health, yet disparities in vaccination coverage persist across England. These disparities are shaped by complex interactions among various factors, including geographic, demographic,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Amin Noroozi , Sidratul Muntaha Esha , Mansoureh Ghari

Vaccination campaigns have both direct and indirect effects that act to control an infectious disease as it spreads through a population. Indirect effects arise when vaccinated individuals block disease transmission in any infection chains…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-08 Lixin Lin , Homayoun Hamedmoghadam , Robert Shorten , Lewi Stone

Despite ample supply of COVID-19 vaccines, the proportion of fully vaccinated individuals remains suboptimal across much of the US. Rapid vaccination of additional people will prevent new infections among both the unvaccinated and the…

The advent and subsequent widespread availability of preventive vaccines has altered the course of public health over the past century. Despite this success, effective vaccines to prevent many high-burden diseases, including HIV, have been…

Vaccine randomized trials are typically designed to be blinded, ensuring that the estimated vaccine efficacy (VE) reflects the immunological effect of the vaccine. When blinding is broken, however, the estimated VE reflects not only the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Rachel Axelrod , Uri Obolski , Daniel Nevo

Studies of HPV vaccine efficacy usually record infections with vaccine targeted and nontargeted strains. Contrary to blinded randomized controlled trials, confounding bias can be a threat and risk compensation may occur in observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Lola Etievant

In order for epidemiological forecasts to be useful for decision-makers the forecasts need to be properly validated and evaluated. Although several metrics fore evaluation have been proposed and used none of them account for the potential…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-12 Philip Gerlee , Torbjörn Lundh , Anna Saxne Jöud , Henrik Thorén

We investigated the negative relationship between mortality and COVID-19 vaccination at ecological level, which has been established through clinical trials and other investigations at the individual level. We conducted an exploratory,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-26 Cosima Rughinis , Mihai Dima , Simona-Nicoleta Vulpe , Razvan Rughinis , Sorina Vasile

Public health interventions are a fundamental tool for mitigating the spread of an infectious disease. However, it is not always possible to obtain a conclusive estimate for the impact of an intervention, especially in situations where the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-12-22 Vasileios Lampos

The dynamics of strongly immunizing childhood infections is still not well understood. Although reports of successful modeling of several incidence data records can be found in the literature, the key determinants of the observed temporal…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-09 Ganna Rozhnova , Ana Nunes

Understanding the COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy, such as who and why, is very crucial since a large-scale vaccine adoption remains as one of the most efficient methods of controlling the pandemic. Such an understanding also provides insights…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-04-17 Raed Alharbi , Sylvia Chan-Olmsted , Huan Chen , My T. Thai

The threat of avian influenza and the 2004-2005 influenza vaccine supply shortage in the United States has sparked a debate about optimal vaccination strategies to reduce the burden of morbidity and mortality caused by the influenza virus.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-02-10 Shweta Bansal , Babak Pourbohloul , Lauren Ancel Meyers

In this work we analyze the evolution of voluntary vaccination in networked populations by entangling the spreading dynamics of an influenza-like disease with an evolutionary framework taking place at the end of each influenza season so…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-11 Alessio Cardillo , Catalina Reyes-Suárez , Fernando Naranjo , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes
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