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In this paper we introduce a compartmental epidemic model describing the transmission of the COVID-19 disease in presence of non-mandatory vaccination. The model takes into account the hesitancy and refusal of vaccination. To this aim, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-23 Bruno Buonomo , Rossella Della Marca , Alberto d'Onofrio , Maria Groppi

Forecasting the hospitalizations caused by the Influenza virus is vital for public health planning so that hospitals can be better prepared for an influx of patients. Many forecasting methods have been used in real-time during the Influenza…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Majd Al Aawar , Ajitesh Srivastava

Health risks from cigarette smoking -- the leading cause of preventable death in the United States -- can be substantially reduced by quitting. Although most smokers are motivated to quit, the majority of quit attempts fail. A number of…

Reluctance or refusal to get vaccinated, referred to as vaccine hesitancy (VH), has hindered the efforts of COVID-19 vaccination campaigns. It is important to understand what factors impact VH behavior. This information can help design…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-03 Hieu Bui , Sandra Eksioglu , Ruben Proano , Sarah Nurre Pinkley

We present three models used to describe the recruitment of the undecided population by pro-vax and no-vax factions. Starting from real-world data of Facebook pages, we compare three opinion dynamics models that catch different behaviours…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-02-08 Jacopo Lenti , Giancarlo Ruffo

Based on recent studies, some COVID-19 symptoms can persist for months after infection, leading to what is termed long COVID. Factors such as vaccination timing, patient characteristics, and symptoms during the acute phase of infection may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Milad Leyli-abadi , Jean-Patrick Brunet , Axel Tahmasebimoradi

Public health surveillance systems often fail to detect emerging infectious diseases, particularly in resource limited settings. By integrating relevant clinical and internet-source data, we can close critical gaps in coverage and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-05 Kai Liu , Ravi Srinivasan , Lauren Ancel Meyers

Models for epidemic spread typically account for variable risk factors but do not account for the correlation between behavior and risk. Here we extend these models to account for such correlations. We find that a positive correlation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-14 Yoel Sanders

Two observational methods are currently being used to monitor post-deployment vaccine effectiveness: the obvious crude method comparing rate testing positive per head of vaccinated population with that rate per head of unvaccinated…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-18 Roger F. Sewell

Objective: We formed community structure based on web page credibility and we measured the types of information for characterizing communities of tweeter users who posted about tweets related to vaccine. Methods: We performed the experiment…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Md. Rafiul Biswas

We estimate patterns of covariation between COVID-19 vaccination rates and a set of widely used indicators of human, social, and economic capital across 146 countries in July 2021 and February 2022. About 70% of the variability in COVID-19…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-02 Cosima Rughinis , Simona-Nicoleta Vulpe , Michael G. Flaherty , Sorina Vasile

Knowing the true effect size of clinical interventions in randomised clinical trials is key to informing the public health policies. Vaccine efficacy is defined in terms of the relative risk or the ratio of two disease risks. However, only…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-03 Yasin Memari

We conducted a prospective analysis of incident dementia and its association with 65 sociodemographic, early-life, economic, health and behavioral, social, and genetic risk factors in a sample of 7,908 adults over the age of 50 from the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-27 Jordan Weiss , Eli Puterman , Aric A. Prather , Erin B. Ware , David H. Rehkopf

Vaccination rates are decreasing in many areas of the world, and outbreaks of preventable diseases tend to follow in areas with particular low rates. Much research has been devoted to improving our understanding of the motivations behind…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Bjarke Mønsted , Sune Lehmann

This study compared the effectiveness of COVID-19 control policies, including wearing masks, and the vaccine rates through proportional infection rate in 28 states of the United States using the eSIR model. The effective rate of policies…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-16 Yile He

Multi-model prediction efforts in infectious disease modeling and climate modeling involve multiple teams independently producing projections under various scenarios. Often these scenarios are produced by the presence and absence of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-11 Yuanhao Lu , Ajitesh Srivastava

This study estimates the overall effect of two influenza vaccination programs consecutively administered in a cluster-randomized trial in western Senegal over the course of two influenza seasons from 2009-2011. We apply cutting-edge…

Influenza, an infectious disease, causes many deaths worldwide. Predicting influenza victims during epidemics is an important task for clinical, hospital, and community outbreak preparation. On-line user-generated contents (UGC), primarily…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Taichi Murayama , Nobuyuki Shimizu , Sumio Fujita , Shoko Wakamiya , Eiji Aramaki

Background: Despite lacking scientific support, vaccine hesitancy is widespread. While vaccine damage as a scientific fact is statistically highly uncommon, emerging social and technological forces have converted probable vaccine damage…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-20 Simona Nicoleta Vulpe , Cosima Rughinis

Background: Mental illness can lead to adverse outcomes such as homelessness and police interaction and understanding of the events leading up to these adverse outcomes is important. Predictive models may help identify individuals at risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Faezehsadat Shahidi , M. Ethan MacDonald , Dallas Seitz , Geoffrey Messier