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Forecast reconciliation is a post-forecasting process that involves transforming a set of incoherent forecasts into coherent forecasts which satisfy a given set of linear constraints for a multivariate time series. In this paper we extend…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-25 Daniele Girolimetto , George Athanasopoulos , Tommaso Di Fonzo , Rob J Hyndman

This paper introduces a structural equation formulation that gives rise to a new family of quasi-periodic Gaussian processes, useful to process a broad class of natural and physiological signals. The proposed formulation simplifies…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-04 Unnati Nigam , Radhendushka Srivastava , Faezeh Marzbanrad , Michael Burke

Fitting a theoretical model to experimental data in a Bayesian manner using Markov chain Monte Carlo typically requires one to evaluate the model thousands (or millions) of times. When the model is a slow-to-compute physics simulation,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-25 Steven Stetzler , Michael Grosskopf , Earl Lawrence

The fracture characterization using a geostatistical tool with conditioning data is a computationally efficient tool for subsurface flow and transport applications. The main objective of the paper is to propose a framework of geostatistical…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-03-04 Yerlan Amanbek , Timur Merembayev , Sanjay Srinivasan

This paper presents a general-purpose formulation of a large class of discrete-time planning problems, with hybrid state and control-spaces, as factored transition systems. Factoring allows state transitions to be described as the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-02-13 Caelan Reed Garrett , Tomás Lozano-Pérez , Leslie Pack Kaelbling

This paper introduces factored conditional filters, new filtering algorithms for simultaneously tracking states and estimating parameters in high-dimensional state spaces. The conditional nature of the algorithms is used to estimate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Dawei Chen , Samuel Yang-Zhao , John Lloyd , Kee Siong Ng

Standard meta-learning for representation learning aims to find a common representation to be shared across multiple tasks. The effectiveness of these methods is often limited when the nuances of the tasks' distribution cannot be captured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Giulia Denevi , Massimiliano Pontil , Carlo Ciliberto

Benchmark experiments are required to test, compare, tune, and understand optimization algorithms. Ideally, benchmark problems closely reflect real-world problem behavior. Yet, real-world problems are not always readily available for…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-08-17 Martin Zaefferer , Frederik Rehbach

A Gaussian Process GP based ground segmentation method is proposed in this paper which is fully developed in a probabilistic framework. The proposed method tends to obtain a continuous realistic model of the ground. The LiDAR…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Pouria Mehrabi , Hamid D. Taghirad

There are a large number of methods for solving under-determined linear inverse problem. Many of them have very high time complexity for large datasets. We propose a new method called Two-Stage Sparse Representation (TSSR) to tackle this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-12-09 Chengyu Peng , Hong Cheng , Manchor Ko

Gaussian processes are popular and flexible models for spatial, temporal, and functional data, but they are computationally infeasible for large datasets. We discuss Gaussian-process approximations that use basis functions at multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Matthias Katzfuss , Wenlong Gong

Bayesian estimation of Gaussian graphical models has proven to be challenging because the conjugate prior distribution on the Gaussian precision matrix, the G-Wishart distribution, has a doubly intractable partition function. Recent…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-10 Max Hinne , Alex Lenkoski , Tom Heskes , Marcel van Gerven

Accurately simulating the atmospheric turbulence behaviour is always challenging. The well-known FFT based method falls short in correctly predicting both the low and high frequency behaviours. Sub-harmonic compensation aids in…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-15 Sorabh Chhabra , Jyotirmay Paul , A. N. Ramaprakash , Avinash Surendran

Gaussian process hyperparameter optimization requires linear solves with, and log-determinants of, large kernel matrices. Iterative numerical techniques are becoming popular to scale to larger datasets, relying on the conjugate gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Jonathan Wenger , Geoff Pleiss , Philipp Hennig , John P. Cunningham , Jacob R. Gardner

Gaussian processes are a powerful class of non-linear models, but have limited applicability for larger datasets due to their high computational complexity. In such cases, approximate methods are required, for example, the recently…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Soham Mukherjee , Manfred Claassen , Paul-Christian Bürkner

A major enterprise in compressed sensing and sparse approximation is the design and analysis of computationally tractable algorithms for recovering sparse, exact or approximate, solutions of underdetermined linear systems of equations. Many…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-04-13 Jeffrey D. Blanchard , Coralia Cartis , Jared Tanner , Andrew Thompson

Simulation metamodeling refers to the construction of lower-fidelity models to represent input-output relations using few simulation runs. Stochastic kriging, which is based on Gaussian process, is a versatile and common technique for such…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-06 Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

A nonparametric procedure to estimate the conditional probability that a nonstationary geostatistical process exceeds a certain threshold value is proposed. The method consists of a bootstrap algorithm that combines conditional simulation…

Hard Thresholding Pursuit (HTP) is an iterative greedy selection procedure for finding sparse solutions of underdetermined linear systems. This method has been shown to have strong theoretical guarantee and impressive numerical performance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-11-26 Xiao-Tong Yuan , Ping Li , Tong Zhang

We compare two theoretically distinct approaches to generating artificial (or ``surrogate'') data for testing hypotheses about a given data set. The first and more straightforward approach is to fit a single ``best'' model to the original…

comp-gas · Physics 2015-06-24 James Theiler , Dean Prichard