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This paper proposes self-normalized tests for multistep conditional predictive ability in forecast comparison. By normalizing the sample mean of the transformed loss differential using functionals of its cumulative sum (CUSUM) process,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Qitong Chen , Shuwen Lai

We consider the problem of simulating a Gaussian vector X, conditional on the fact that each component of X belongs to a finite interval [a_i,b_i], or a semi-finite interval [a_i,+infty). In the one-dimensional case, we design a table-based…

Computation · Statistics 2012-01-31 Nicolas Chopin

Phase matching has been studied for the Grover algorithm as a way of enhancing the efficiency of the quantum search. Recently Li and Li found that a particular form of phase matching yields, with a single Grover operation, a success…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 F. M. Toyama , W. van Dijk , Y. Nogami , M. Tabuchi , Y. Kimura

Estimating the conditional average treatment effect (CATE) from observational data plays a crucial role in areas such as e-commerce, healthcare, and economics. Existing studies mainly rely on the strong ignorability assumption that there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Chuan Zhou , Yaxuan Li , Chunyuan Zheng , Haiteng Zhang , Haoxuan Li , Mingming Gong

Two algorithms are proposed to simulate space-time Gaussian random fields with a covariance function belonging to an extended Gneiting class, the definition of which depends on a completely monotone function associated with the spatial…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-05 Denis Allard , Xavier Emery , Céline Lacaux , Christian Lantuéjoul

Techniques to evaluate a program's cache performance fall into two camps: 1. Traditional trace-based cache simulators precisely account for sophisticated real-world cache models and support arbitrary workloads, but their runtime is…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Canberk Morelli , Jan Reineke

Graphical models describe associations between variables through the notion of conditional independence. Gaussian graphical models are a widely used class of such models where the relationships are formalized by non-null entries of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Sagnik Bhadury , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

A Gaussian operator basis provides a means to formulate phase-space simulations of the real- and imaginary-time evolution of quantum systems. Such simulations are guaranteed to be exact while the underlying distribution remains…

Computational Physics · Physics 2012-04-04 M. Ogren , K. V. Kheruntsyan , J. F. Corney

Gaussian processes are notorious for scaling cubically with the size of the training set, preventing application to very large regression problems. Computation-aware Gaussian processes (CAGPs) tackle this scaling issue by exploiting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-24 Disha Hegde , Mohamed Adil , Jon Cockayne

We propose an efficient way to sample from a class of structured multivariate Gaussian distributions which routinely arise as conditional posteriors of model parameters that are assigned a conditionally Gaussian prior. The proposed…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-28 Anirban Bhattacharya , Antik Chakraborty , Bani K. Mallick

We study ``selective'' or ``conditional'' classification problems under an agnostic setting. Classification tasks commonly focus on modeling the relationship between features and categories that captures the vast majority of data. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Jizhou Huang , Brendan Juba

Sparse high dimensional graphical model selection is a popular topic in contemporary machine learning. To this end, various useful approaches have been proposed in the context of $\ell_1$-penalized estimation in the Gaussian framework.…

Computation · Statistics 2022-02-04 Sang-Yun Oh , Onkar Dalal , Kshitij Khare , Bala Rajaratnam

Understanding and predicting environmental phenomena often requires the construction of spatio-temporal statistical models, which are typically Gaussian processes. A common assumption made on Gaussian processes is that of covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-17 Quan Vu , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Stephen J. Chuter

Gaussian processes (GPs) are crucial in machine learning for quantifying uncertainty in predictions. However, their associated covariance matrices, defined by kernel functions, are typically dense and large-scale, posing significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Theresa Wagner , Tianshi Xu , Franziska Nestler , Yuanzhe Xi , Martin Stoll

Parametric stochastic simulators are ubiquitous in science, often featuring high-dimensional input parameters and/or an intractable likelihood. Performing Bayesian parameter inference in this context can be challenging. We present a neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-27 Benjamin Kurt Miller , Alex Cole , Patrick Forré , Gilles Louppe , Christoph Weniger

Graph partitioning has long been seen as a viable approach to address Graph DBMS scalability. A partitioning, however, may introduce extra query processing latency unless it is sensitive to a specific query workload, and optimised to…

Databases · Computer Science 2016-06-24 Hugo Firth , Paolo Missier

With the development of new remote sensing technology, large or even massive spatial datasets covering the globe become available. Statistical analysis of such data is challenging. This article proposes a semiparametric approach to model…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-24 Pulong Ma , Emily L. Kang

To use control charts in practice, the in-control state usually has to be estimated. This estimation has a detrimental effect on the performance of control charts, which is often measured for example by the false alarm probability or the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-30 Axel Gandy , Jan Terje Kvaløy

We analyse and explain the increased generalisation performance of iterate averaging using a Gaussian process perturbation model between the true and batch risk surface on the high dimensional quadratic. We derive three phenomena…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-02 Diego Granziol , Xingchen Wan , Samuel Albanie , Stephen Roberts

The estimation of small probabilities of failure from computer simulations is a classical problem in engineering, and the Subset Simulation algorithm proposed by Au & Beck (Prob. Eng. Mech., 2001) has become one of the most popular method…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-10 Ling Li , Julien Bect , Emmanuel Vazquez