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The portfolio optimization problem in which the variances of the return rates of assets are not identical is analyzed in this paper using the methodology of statistical mechanical informatics, specifically, replica analysis. We define two…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-15 Takashi Shinzato

We use a replica approach to deal with portfolio optimization problems. A given risk measure is minimized using empirical estimates of asset values correlations. We study the phase transition which happens when the time series is too short…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Stefano Ciliberti , Marc Mezard

In the present work, the optimal portfolio minimizing the investment risk with cost is discussed analytically, where this objective function is constructed in terms of two negative aspects of investment, the risk and cost. We note the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-23 Takashi Shinzato

In the present paper, the primal-dual problem consisting of the investment risk minimization problem and the expected return maximization problem in the mean-variance model is discussed using replica analysis. As a natural extension of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-20 Takashi Shinzato

This paper presents how the most recent improvements made on covariance matrix estimation and model order selection can be applied to the portfolio optimisation problem. The particular case of the Maximum Variety Portfolio is treated but…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-03 Emmanuelle Jay , Eugénie Terreaux , Jean-Philippe Ovarlez , Frédéric Pascal

We study the feasibility and noise sensitivity of portfolio optimization under some downside risk measures (Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall, and semivariance) when they are estimated by fitting a parametric distribution on a finite sample…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Istvan Varga-Haszonits , Imre Kondor

We provide analytical results for a static portfolio optimization problem with two coherent risk measures. The use of two risk measures is motivated by joint decision-making for portfolio selection where the risk perception of the portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-19 Tahsin Deniz Aktürk , Çağın Ararat

In this paper we estimate the mean-variance portfolio in the high-dimensional case using the recent results from the theory of random matrices. We construct a linear shrinkage estimator which is distribution-free and is optimal in the sense…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Yarema Okhrin , Nestor Parolya

We consider the problem of approximating the set of eigenvalues of the covariance matrix of a multivariate distribution (equivalently, the problem of approximating the "population spectrum"), given access to samples drawn from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-18 Weihao Kong , Gregory Valiant

In this paper, we use replica analysis to investigate the influence of correlation among the return rates of assets on the solution of the portfolio optimization problem. We consider the behavior of the optimal solution for the case where…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-19 Takashi Shinzato

In this paper, we use replica analysis to determine the investment strategy that can maximize the net present value for portfolios containing multiple development projects. Replica analysis was developed in statistical mechanical…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-16 Takashi Shinzato

The problem of estimation error in portfolio optimization is discussed, in the limit where the portfolio size N and the sample size T go to infinity such that their ratio is fixed. The estimation error strongly depends on the ratio N/T and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Imre Kondor , Istvan Varga-Haszonits

Previous studies into the budget constraint of portfolio optimization problems based on statistical mechanical informatics have not considered that the purchase cost per unit of each asset is distinct. Moreover, the fact that the optimal…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-26 Takashi Shinzato

According to recent findings [1,2], empirical covariance matrices deduced from financial return series contain such a high amount of noise that, apart from a few large eigenvalues and the corresponding eigenvectors, their structure can…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Szilard Pafka , Imre Kondor

Robust estimation for modern portfolio selection on a large set of assets becomes more important due to large deviation of empirical inference on big data. We propose a distributionally robust methodology for high-dimensional mean-variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-12 Ruike Wu , Yanrong Yang , Han Lin Shang , Huanjun Zhu

This paper considers the mean variance portfolio management problem. We examine portfolios which contain both primary and derivative securities. The challenge in this context is due to portfolio's nonlinearities. The delta-gamma…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-08 Yang Li , Traian A Pirvu

We study the consistency of sample mean-variance portfolios of arbitrarily high dimension that are based on Bayesian or shrinkage estimation of the input parameters as well as weighted sampling. In an asymptotic setting where the number of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Francisco Rubio , Xavier Mestre , Daniel P. Palomar

We discuss an approach to compute the first and second moments of the number of eigenvalues $I_N$ that lie in an arbitrary interval of the real line for $N \times N$ Gaussian random matrices. The method combines the standard…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-11-22 Fernando L. Metz

In this study, we address the challenge of portfolio optimization, a critical aspect of managing investment risks and maximizing returns. The mean-CVaR portfolio is considered a promising method due to today's unstable financial market…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-22 Kei Nakagawa , Masaya Abe , Seiichi Kuroki

A new methodology has been introduced to clean the correlation matrix of single stocks returns based on a constrained principal component analysis using financial data. Portfolios were introduced, namely "Fundamental Maximum Variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-27 Sebastien Valeyre
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