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We develop the idea of using Monte Carlo sampling of random portfolios to solve portfolio investment problems. In this first paper we explore the need for more general optimization tools, and consider the means by which constrained random…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-24 William T. Shaw

Portfolio optimization is a ubiquitous problem in financial mathematics that relies on accurate estimates of covariance matrices for asset returns. However, estimates of pairwise covariance could be better and calculating time-sensitive…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 James S. Cummins , Natalia G. Berloff

We consider the problem of optimizing a portfolio of financial assets, where the number of assets can be much larger than the number of observations. The optimal portfolio weights require estimating the inverse covariance matrix of excess…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-29 Anik Burman , Sayantan Banerjee

The use of improved covariance matrix estimators as an alternative to the sample estimator is considered an important approach for enhancing portfolio optimization. Here we empirically compare the performance of 9 improved covariance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-27 Ester Pantaleo , Michele Tumminello , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

The optimization of the variance supplemented by a budget constraint and an asymmetric $\ell_1$ regularizer is carried out analytically by the replica method borrowed from the theory of disordered systems. The asymmetric regularizer allows…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-16 Imre Kondor , Gábor Papp , Fabio Caccioli

We study mean-risk optimal portfolio problems where risk is measured by Recovery Average Value at Risk, a prominent example in the class of recovery risk measures. We establish existence results in the situation where the joint distribution…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-03 Cosimo Munari , Justin Plückebaum , Stefan Weber

We study the design of portfolios under a minimum risk criterion. The performance of the optimized portfolio relies on the accuracy of the estimated covariance matrix of the portfolio asset returns. For large portfolios, the number of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-20 Liusha Yang , Romain Couillet , Matthew R. McKay

The typical behavior of optimal solutions to portfolio optimization problems with absolute deviation and expected shortfall models using replica analysis was pioneeringly estimated by S. Ciliberti and M. M\'ezard [Eur. Phys. B. 57, 175…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-15 Takashi Shinzato , Muneki Yasuda

In portfolio risk minimization, the inverse covariance matrix of returns is often unknown and has to be estimated in practice. This inverse covariance matrix also prescribes the hedge trades in which a stock is hedged by all the other…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-15 Lim Hao Shen Keith

This paper studies the portfolio optimization problem when the investor's utility is general and the return and volatility of the risky asset are fast mean-reverting, which are important to capture the fast-time scale in the modeling of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-31 Ruimeng Hu

We consider the problem of choosing an optimal portfolio, assuming the asset returns have a Gaussian mixture (GM) distribution, with the objective of maximizing expected exponential utility. In this paper we show that this problem is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-12 Eric Luxenberg , Stephen Boyd

The global minimum-variance portfolio is a typical choice for investors because of its simplicity and broad applicability. Although it requires only one input, namely the covariance matrix of asset returns, estimating the optimal solution…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-08 Sven Husmann , Antoniya Shivarova , Rick Steinert

We introduce a novel covariance estimator for portfolio selection that adapts to the non-stationary or persistent heteroskedastic environments of financial time series by employing exponentially weighted averages and nonlinearly shrinking…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-23 Vincent Tan , Stefan Zohren

We address the problem of portfolio optimization under the simplest coherent risk measure, i.e. the expected shortfall. As it is well known, one can map this problem into a linear programming setting. For some values of the external…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Stefano Ciliberti , Imre Kondor , Marc Mezard

The paper solves the problem of optimal portfolio choice when the parameters of the asset returns distribution, like the mean vector and the covariance matrix are unknown and have to be estimated by using historical data of the asset…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 David Bauder , Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Wolfgang Schmid

In this paper, we tackle the dynamic mean-variance portfolio selection problem in a {\it model-free} manner, based on (generative) diffusion models. We propose using data sampled from the real model $\mathbb P$ (which is unknown) with…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Ahmad Aghapour , Erhan Bayraktar , Fengyi Yuan

In many practical situations we would like to estimate the covariance matrix of a set of variables from an insufficient amount of data. More specifically, if we have a set of $N$ independent, identically distributed measurements of an $M$…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Thomas L. Marzetta , Gabriel H. Tucci , Steven H. Simon

Portfolio optimization aims at constructing a realistic portfolio with significant out-of-sample performance, which is typically measured by the out-of-sample Sharpe ratio. However, due to in-sample optimism, it is inappropriate to use the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Xuran Meng , Yuan Cao , Weichen Wang

In this note, we claim that diagonal scaling of a sample covariance matrix is asymptotically inconsistent if the ratio of the dimension to the sample size converges to a positive constant, where population is assumed to be Gaussian with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Tomonari Sei

In this paper, we revisit the portfolio optimization problems of the minimization/maximization of investment risk under constraints of budget and investment concentration (primal problem) and the maximization/minimization of investment…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-17 Daichi Tada , Hisashi Yamamoto , Takashi Shinzato