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A new standpoint on financial time series, without the use of any mathematical model and of probabilistic tools, yields not only a rigorous approach of trends and volatility, but also efficient calculations which were already successfully…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-11 Michel Fliess , Cédric Join , Frédéric Hatt

Without probability theory, we define classes of supermartingales, martingales, and semimartingales in idealized financial markets with continuous price paths. This allows us to establish probability-free versions of a number of standard…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-28 Vladimir Vovk , Glenn Shafer

We prove a rough It\^o formula for path-dependent functionals of $\alpha$-H\"older continuous paths for $\alpha\in(0,1)$. Our approach combines the sewing lemma and a Taylor approximation in terms of path-dependent derivatives.

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-14 Franziska Bielert

In this article we study existence of pathwise stochastic integrals with respect to a general class of $n$-dimensional Gaussian processes and a wide class of adapted integrands. More precisely, we study integrands which are functions that…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Zhe Chen , Lauri Viitasaari

I discuss some theoretical results with a view to motivate some practical choices in portfolio optimization. Even though the setting is not completely general (for example, the covariance matrix is assumed to be non-singular), I attempt to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-29 Vassilios Papathanakos

We consider the problem of optimal portfolio selection under forward investment performance criteria in an incomplete market. Given multiple traded assets, the prices of which depend on multiple observable stochastic factors, we construct a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-15 Levon Avanesyan , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov , Ronnie Sircar

We construct a deep portfolio theory. By building on Markowitz's classic risk-return trade-off, we develop a self-contained four-step routine of encode, calibrate, validate and verify to formulate an automated and general portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-16 J. B. Heaton , N. G. Polson , J. H. Witte

This paper studies a type of periodic utility maximization for portfolio management in an incomplete market model, where the underlying price diffusion process depends on some external stochastic factors. The portfolio performance is…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-29 Wenyuan Wang , Kaixin Yan , Xiang Yu

In the present paper, a discrete version of It\^o's formula for a class of multi-dimensional random walk is introduced and applied to the study of a discrete-time complete market model which we call He's framework. The formula unifies…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jirô Akahori

We consider an investor who wants to hedge a path-dependent option with maturity $T$ using a static hedging portfolio using cash, the underlying, and vanilla put/call options on the same underlying with maturity $ t_1$, where $0 < t_1 < T$.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-04 Purba Banerjee , Srikanth Iyer , Shashi Jain

A market portfolio is a portfolio in which each asset is held at a weight proportional to its market value. Functionally generated portfolios are portfolios for which the logarithmic return relative to the market portfolio can be decomposed…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-29 Ricardo T. Fernholz , Robert Fernholz

We derive a stochastic Gronwall lemma with suprema over the paths in the upper bound of the assumed affine-linear growth assumption. This allows applications to It\^o processes with coefficients which depend on earlier time points such as…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-03 Martin Hutzenthaler , Tuan Anh Nguyen

We consider the terminal wealth utility maximization problem from the point of view of a portfolio manager who is paid by an incentive scheme, which is given as a convex function $g$ of the terminal wealth. The manager's own utility…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-24 Maxim Bichuch , Stephan Sturm

In a recent paper, the author introduced a rich class $NC^k(\mathbb{R})$ of "noncommutative $C^k$" functions $\mathbb{R} \to \mathbb{C}$ whose operator functional calculus is $k$-times differentiable and has derivatives expressible in terms…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Evangelos A. Nikitopoulos

Path dependence is omnipresent in many disciplines such as engineering, system theory and finance. It reflects the influence of the past on the future, often expressed through functionals. However, non-Markovian problems are often…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-03 Bruno Dupire , Valentin Tissot-Daguette

We prove the It\^o-Wentzell formula for processes with values in the space of generalized functions by using the stochastic Fubini theorem and the It\^o-Wentzell formula for real-valued processes, appropriate versions of which are also…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-15 N. V. Krylov

This paper derives a portfolio decomposition formula when the agent maximizes utility of her wealth at some finite planning horizon. The financial market is complete and consists of multiple risky assets (stocks) plus a risk free asset. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Traian A Pirvu , Ulrich G Haussmann

A drawdown constraint forces the current wealth to remain above a given function of its maximum to date. We consider the portfolio optimisation problem of maximising the long-term growth rate of the expected utility of wealth subject to a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-23 Vladimir Cherny , Jan Obloj

We establish existence of Predictable Forward Performance Processes (PFPPs) in complete markets, which has been previously shown only in the binomial setting. Our market model can be a discrete-time or a continuous-time model, and the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-22 Bahman Angoshtari

In the seminal work [9], several macroscopic market observables have been introduced, in an attempt to find characteristics capturing the diversity of a financial market. Despite the crucial importance of such observables for investment…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Sergio A. Almada Monter , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov , Jiacheng Zhang