Related papers: Upper tails for arithmetic progressions in a rando…

Branching Processes in a Random Environment (BPREs) $(Z_n:n\geq0)$ are a generalization of Galton Watson processes where in each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly in an i.i.d. manner. We determine here the upper large…

We study numerically the distributions of the length $L$ of the longest increasing subsequence (LIS) for the two cases of random permutations and of one-dimensional random walks. Using sophisticated large-deviation algorithms, we are able…

Given a fixed graph H, what is the (exponentially small) probability that the number X_H of copies of H in the binomial random graph G_{n,p} is at least twice its mean? Studied intensively since the mid 1990s, this so-called infamous upper…

For a class of additive processes driven by the affine recursion $X_{n+1} = A_n X_n + B_n$, we develop a sample-path large deviations principle in the $M_1'$ topology on $D [0,1]$. We allow $B_n$ to have both signs and focus on the case…

We consider the elliptic Ginibre ensembles in the real, complex and symplectic symmetry classes. As the matrix size tends to infinity, we derive the asymptotic behaviour of the upper tail large deviation probabilities for both the spectral…

Denote by $p(k)$ the limit, as $n \rightarrow \infty$, of the probability that a random permutation on a set of size $n$ has an invariant set of size $k$. We give an asymptotic formula for $p(k)$, showing that it is asymptotically…

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the (skew) Macdonald and Jack symmetric polynomials as the number of variables grows to infinity. We characterize their limits in terms of certain variational problems. As an intermediate…

We prove that for any fixed $k$, the probability that a random vertex of a random increasing plane tree is of rank $k$, that is, the probability that a random vertex is at distance $k$ from the leaves, converges to a constant $c_k$ as the…

Asymptotics deviation probabilities of the sum S n = X 1 + $\times$ $\times$ $\times$ + X n of independent and identically distributed real-valued random variables have been extensively investigated , in particular when X 1 is not…

The large deviations theory for heavy-tailed processes has seen significant advances in the recent past. In particular, Rhee et al. (2019) and Bazhba et al. (2020) established large deviation asymptotics at the sample-path level for L\'evy…

Starting from one-point tail bounds, we establish an upper tail large deviation principle for the directed landscape at the metric level. Metrics of finite rate are in one-to-one correspondence with measures supported on a set of countably…

In this paper we propose a framework that enables the study of large deviations for point processes based on stationary sequences with regularly varying tails. This framework allows us to keep track not of the magnitude of the extreme…

We examine the behavior of the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions in a random subset of $\mathbb{Z}/n\mathbb{Z}$. We prove that if a set is chosen by including each element of $\mathbb{Z}/n\mathbb{Z}$ independently with constant…

We study large deviation asymptotics for processes defined in terms of continued fraction digits. We use the continued fraction digit sum process to define a stopping time and derive a joint large deviation asymptotic for the upper and…

Let $\xi_1, \xi_2,\ldots$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables with zero mean, finite second moment and regularly varying right distribution tail. Motivated by a stop-loss insurance model, we consider a…

We establish finite-step probabilistic upper bounds on the contraction ratios $\rho_k = \Delta_{k+1}/\Delta_k$ for iterated Pearson correlation dynamics. Let $(P_k)_{k\ge 0}$ be the sequence generated by the Pearson update. Define $\Delta_k…

We prove an asymptotic formula for the number of integers $\leq x$ which can be written as the product of $k ~(\geq 2)$ distinct primes $p_1\cdots p_k$ with each prime factor in an arithmetic progression $p_j\equiv a_j \bmod q$, $(a_j,…

We study arithmetic progressions $\{a,a+b,a+2b,\dots,a+(\ell-1) b\}$, with $\ell\ge 3$, in random subsets of the initial segment of natural numbers $[n]:=\{1,2,\dots, n\}$. Given $p\in[0,1]$ we denote by $[n]_p$ the random subset of $[n]$…

The Marcinkiewicz Strong Law, $\displaystyle\lim_{n\to\infty}\frac{1}{n^{\frac1p}}\sum_{k=1}^n (D_{k}- D)=0$ a.s. with $p\in(1,2)$, is studied for outer products $D_k=X_k\overline{X}_k^T$, where $\{X_k\},\{\overline{X}_k\}$ are both…

Let $\alpha$ be an irrational number, let $X_1, X_2, \ldots$ be independent, identically distributed, integer-valued random variables, and put $S_k=\sum_{j=1}^k X_j$. Assuming that $X_1$ has finite variance or heavy tails $P (|X_1|>t)\sim…