Related papers: Pathwise estimates for an effective dynamics

Let $(X_t)$ be a reflected diffusion process in a bounded convex domain in $\mathbb R^d$, solving the stochastic differential equation $$dX_t = \nabla f(X_t) dt + \sqrt{2f (X_t)} dW_t, ~t \ge 0,$$ with $W_t$ a $d$-dimensional Brownian…

In this paper, we study a class of quasi-invariant measures on paths generated by discrete dynamical systems. Our main result characterizes the subfamily of these measures which admit a certain desintegration. This is a desintegration with…

This paper studies the estimation of low-rank Markov chains from empirical trajectories. We propose a non-convex estimator based on rank-constrained likelihood maximization. Statistical upper bounds are provided for the Kullback-Leiber…

We consider the system of stochastic differential equation $dX_t = A(X_{t-}) \, dZ_t$, $ X_0 = x$, driven by cylindrical $\alpha$-stable process $Z_t$ in $\mathbb{R}^d$. We assume that $A(x) = (a_{ij}(x))$ is diagonal and $a_{ii}(x)$ are…

Markov-modulated Brownian motion is a popular tool to model continuous-time phenomena in a stochastic context. The main quantity of interest is the invariant density, which satisfies a differential equation associated with the quadratic…

We study the limit behaviour of upper and lower bounds on expected time averages in imprecise Markov chains; a generalised type of Markov chain where the local dynamics, traditionally characterised by transition probabilities, are now…

Stochastic reduced-order models are widely used to represent the effective dynamics of complex systems, but estimating their drift and diffusion coefficients from data remains challenging. Standard approaches often rely on short-time…

We study one-sided and $\alpha$-correct sequential hypothesis testing for data generated by an ergodic Markov chain. The null hypothesis is that the unknown transition matrix belongs to a prescribed set $P$ of stochastic matrices, and the…

The governing equations of stochastic dynamical systems often become cost-prohibitive for numerical simulation at large scales. Surrogate models of the governing equations, learned from data of the high-fidelity system, are routinely used…

In this note we consider SDEs of the type $\mathrm{d} X_t=[F (X_t) -A X_t] \mathrm{d} t +D \mathrm{d} W_t$ under the assumptions that $A$'s eigenvalues are all of positive real parts and $F (\cdot)$ has slower-than-linear growth rate. It is…

Let $\{D(s), s \geq 0 \}$ be a L\'evy subordinator, that is, a non-decreasing process with stationary and independent increments and suppose that $D(0) = 0$. We study the first-hitting time of the process $D$, namely, the process $E(t) =…

This paper considers an optimization problem for a dynamical system whose evolution depends on a collection of binary decision variables. We develop scalable approximation algorithms with provable suboptimality bounds to provide…

In this work we consider the unbiased estimation of expectations w.r.t.~probability measures that have non-negative Lebesgue density, and which are known point-wise up-to a normalizing constant. We focus upon developing an unbiased method…

A Markov Additive Process is a bi-variate Markov process $(\xi,J)=\big((\xi_t,J_t),t\geq0\big)$ which should be thought of as a multi-type L\'evy process: the second component $J$ is a Markov chain on a finite space $\{1,\ldots,K\}$, and…

We prove the consistency of an adaptive importance sampling strategy based on biasing the potential energy function $V$ of a diffusion process $dX_t^0=-\nabla V(X_t^0)dt+dW_t$; for the sake of simplicity, periodic boundary conditions are…

In this paper we propose a new method for approximating the nonstationary moment dynamics of one dimensional Markovian birth-death processes. By expanding the transition probabilities of the Markov process in terms of Poisson-Charlier…

In this paper we study the approximation of the distribution of $X_t$ Hilbert--valued stochastic process solution of a linear parabolic stochastic partial differential equation written in an abstract form as $$ dX_t+AX_t dt = Q^{1/2} d W_t,…

In this article, we obtain properties of the law associated to the first hitting time of a threshold by a one-dimensional uniformly elliptic diffusion process and to the associated process stopped at the threshold. Our methodology relies on…

Consider a stable L\'evy process $X=(X_t,t\geq 0)$ and let $T_x$, for $x>0$, denote the first passage time of $X$ above the level $x$. In this work, we give an alternative proof of the absolute continuity of the law of $T_x$ and we obtain a…

We propose a novel stochastic method to generate Brownian paths conditioned to start at an initial point and end at a given final point during a fixed time $t_{f}$ under a given potential $U(x)$. These paths are sampled with a probability…