English
Related papers

Related papers: Pathwise estimates for an effective dynamics

200 papers

The quantitative long time behavior of absorbing, finite, irreducible Markov processes is considered. Via Doob transforms, it is shown that only the knowledge of the ratio of the values of the underlying first Dirichlet eigenvector is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-10 Persi Diaconis , Laurent Miclo

We consider again the fast-slow motions setups in the continuous time $\frac {dX_N(t)}{dt}=N^{1/2} \sig(X_N(t))(\xi(tN))+b(X_N(t)),\, t\in [0,T]$ and the discrete time $X_N((n+1)/N)=X_N(n/N)+N^{-1/2}\sig(X_N(n/N))\xi(n)+N^{-1}b(X_N(n/N)),\,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Yuri Kifer

Let X_t, 0<=t<=T be a one-dimensional stochastic process with independent and stationary increments. This paper considers the problem of stopping the process X_t "as close as possible" to its eventual supremum M_T:=sup{X_t: 0<=t<=T}, when…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-21 Pieter C. Allaart

The purpose of this paper is to ensure the conditions of G\"artner-Ellis Theorem for evaluations of the empirical measure. We show that up-to-date conditions for ensuring the convergence to a quasi-stationary distribution can be applied…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Aurélien Velleret

Recent rapid advances in single particle tracking and supercomputing techniques resulted in an unprecedented abundance of diffusion data exhibiting complex behaviours, such the presence of power law tails of the msd and memory functions,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-10-08 Jakub Ślęzak

Consider a non-autonomous continuous-time linear system in which the time-dependent matrix determining the dynamics is piecewise constant and takes finitely many values $A_1, \dotsc, A_N$. This paper studies the equality cases between the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Yacine Chitour , Guilherme Mazanti , Pierre Monmarché , Mario Sigalotti

Path-wise observables--functionals of stochastic trajectories--are at the heart of time-average statistical mechanics and are central to thermodynamic inequalities such as uncertainty relations, speed limits, and correlation-bounds. They…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-21 Lars Torbjørn Stutzer , Cai Dieball , Aljaž Godec

We study a discrete-time Markov process on triangular arrays of matrices of size $d\geq 1$, driven by inverse Wishart random matrices. The components of the right edge evolve as multiplicative random walks on positive definite matrices with…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Jonas Arista , Elia Bisi , Neil O'Connell

The slow processes of metastable stochastic dynamical systems are difficult to access by direct numerical simulation due the sampling problem. Here, we suggest an approach for modeling the slow parts of Markov processes by approximating the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2012-12-03 Frank Noé , Feliks Nüske

We study weak convergence of empirical processes of dependent data $(X_i)_{i\geq0}$, indexed by classes of functions. Our results are especially suitable for data arising from dynamical systems and Markov chains, where the central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Herold Dehling , Olivier Durieu , Marco Tusche

We consider a diffusion process $X_{t}$ and a skeleton curve $x_{t}(\phi)$ and we give a lower bound for $P(\sup_{t\leq T}d(X_{t},x_{t}(\phi))\leq R)$. This result is obtained under the hypothesis that the strong H\"{o}rmander condition of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-23 Vlad Bally , Lucia Caramellino

We are interested in the quasi-stationarity of the time-inhomogeneous Markov process X t = B t (t + 1) $\kappa$ where (B t) t$\ge$0 is a one-dimensional Brownian motion and $\kappa$ $\in$ (0, $\infty$). We first show that the law of X t…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 William Oçafrain

We consider the inverse problem of reconstructing the posterior measure over the trajec- tories of a diffusion process from discrete time observations and continuous time constraints. We cast the problem in a Bayesian framework and derive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-21 Botond Cseke , David Schnoerr , Manfred Opper , Guido Sanguinetti

In this paper, we develop necessary and sufficient conditions for the validity of a martingale approximation for the partial sums of a stationary process in terms of the maximum of consecutive errors. Such an approximation is useful for…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Mikhail Gordin , Magda Peligrad

We consider a one-dimensional jumping Markov process $\{X^x_t\}_{t \geq 0}$, solving a Poisson-driven stochastic differential equation. We prove that the law of $X^x_t$ admits a smooth density for $t>0$, under some regularity and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nicolas Fournier

We derive explicit pointwise bounds for the spatial derivative $\left| \frac{\partial V}{\partial x} \right|$ of solutions to linear parabolic PDEs with Neumann boundary conditions. The bound is fully explicit in the sense that it depends…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-25 C Ciccarella

The purpose of the article is twofold. Firstly, we review some recent results on the maximum likelihood estimation in the regression model of the form $X_t = \theta G(t) + B_t$, where $B$ is a Gaussian process, $G(t)$ is a known function,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

Continuous-time Markov processes over finite state-spaces are widely used to model dynamical processes in many fields of natural and social science. Here, we introduce an maximum likelihood estimator for constructing such models from data…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-01 Robert T. McGibbon , Vijay S. Pande

This paper is devoted to the problem of sample path large deviations for the Markov processes on R_+^N having a constant but different transition mechanism on each boundary set {x:x_i=0 for i\notin\Lambda, x_i>0 for i\in\Lambda}. The global…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Irina Ignatiouk-Robert

Suppose $(f,\mathcal{X},\mu)$ is a measure preserving dynamical system and $\phi \colon \mathcal{X} \to \mathbb{R}$ a measurable function. Consider the maximum process $M_n:=\max\{X_1 \ldots,X_n\}$, where $X_i=\phi\circ f^{i-1}$ is a time…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Mark Holland , Maxim Kirsebom , Philipp Kunde , Tomas Persson